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Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

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Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Toot on 2011-12-30, 5:34 pm

The ensembles support a very nicely placed system around Jan 10th-15th with NAO/AO values expected to be near 0



Last edited by Toot on 2012-01-21, 1:27 pm; edited 11 times in total

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Stovepipe on 2011-12-30, 9:15 pm

According to the 18z GFS it's back to back storms for the foreseeable future. Marginal temps mind you and not snow verbatim, but I like having the consecutive chances. One of them will pan out I bet.
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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by skillsweather on 2011-12-30, 9:18 pm

Agreed we have the cold here it may not be here for good yet but it broke the ridge enough that I think more colder shots can come. I was worried about having a cold/dry winter even if we got the pattern change. But if there showing alot of storms I feel maybe we can get some good storms. At this point I will be happy for just 1 storm for the whole season as long as its a big one.

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Toot on 2011-12-30, 9:22 pm

Skills you wil have at leastwo good snows this winter....thats about avg

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by skillsweather on 2011-12-30, 9:24 pm

Thats all i need Smile Im like a little kid when it snows no lie lol im only person in my whole neighborhood out at like 5am playing in it.

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Reb on 2011-12-30, 9:46 pm

skills you and i are the same haha. im always out playing in it or watching it. its like cocaine lol

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Toot on 2011-12-30, 9:53 pm

18z gfs Jan 10





evl I feel for all those forecasters that switched their winter outlooks from cold too warm..It has to be there worse bust of recent memory...but there's was a double bust they made one for Dec and busted then changed the rest of the winter to warm and it now looks to be sustained winter until march evl

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2011-12-30, 11:18 pm

Cyclonicjunkie wrote:18z gfs Jan 10





evl I feel for all those forecasters that switched their winter outlooks from cold too warm..It has to be there worse bust of recent memory...but there's was a double bust they made one for Dec and busted then changed the rest of the winter to warm and it now looks to be sustained winter until march evl
i sure take a good cold n snowy january all the way to most of february, but by as most of you know by now, i am a severe weather guru at heart... so by march i am usually studying long range data for severe and constantly studying the products over at spc. but if winter keeps getting delayed, i take a good snow in march anytime rock on

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Homemommy on 2011-12-31, 10:33 am

Oooh, goody goody! My birthday is Jan 10!! It snowed last year on my birthday too. That would be such a great gift! rock on

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Adam2014 on 2011-12-31, 12:27 pm

Cyclonicjunkie wrote:
Toot, the 12z GFS won't show up It says you can't do that.

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Toot on 2011-12-31, 12:32 pm

fixed

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Adam2014 on 2011-12-31, 12:34 pm

Alright cool, check out the I 40 north event on the 12z GFS dang.

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Toot on 2011-12-31, 3:44 pm

keithinala wrote:GFS has a potential huge ice storm at the end of the run(around the 15th) for western half of tenn, north ala, north miss, arkansas...some amounts of an inch or more

Adam2014 wrote:First off, nice to have you on here man. It is great to have someone near my area on here. Second, we sure are due a big Ice storm.

ok i couldnt merge the other thread for some reason so i just quoted the two posts in it

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by John1122 on 2011-12-31, 3:58 pm

I will be shocked to no end if that ice storm shows up the same on the 00z run.

There will probably be a system in the East in that time frame simply due to the wet pattern, but that's about all you can say right now.

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Toot on 2011-12-31, 6:16 pm

Theres a signal of a deep trough around the 11th which could up the chances for snow during this period



and the op GFS has a consistent wintry type setup going on during this period


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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Toot on 2011-12-31, 9:01 pm

Actually day 10 is really sexy

GFS ensemble mean



Even the euro agrees





Thats a east based NAO block there

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Reb on 2011-12-31, 9:58 pm

oh momma

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Toot on 2012-01-01, 10:34 am

0z CMC



0zgfs




hurry

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2012-01-01, 10:38 am

looks like models are wanting to paint a apps runner around this period. rock on

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2012-01-01, 11:55 am

12z tries to develop a system at or around this time frame. but the shortwave just goes pooof.

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Stovepipe on 2012-01-02, 12:23 am

0z GFS is certainly interesting around the 9th.





Plenty of time for that to shape up. Or disappear... Showing an abundance of cold on tap for the extended range though so at least it's looking like we'll have several shots this month.



Last edited by Stovepipe on 2012-01-02, 12:29 am; edited 1 time in total
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My latest blog post

Post by keithinala on 2012-01-02, 12:27 am

Note: this is not for weather experts, just for fun for those in my area that like to be updates on what is going on.

http://milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com/2012/01/02/coldest-weather-since-last-winter-to-help-usher-in-new-year/

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Toot on 2012-01-02, 12:38 am

keithinala wrote:Note: this is not for weather experts, just for fun for those in my area that like to be updates on what is going on.

http://milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com/2012/01/02/coldest-weather-since-last-winter-to-help-usher-in-new-year/

I like chicks that wear bama shirts wash

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Reb on 2012-01-02, 12:42 am

Cyclonicjunkie wrote:
keithinala wrote:Note: this is not for weather experts, just for fun for those in my area that like to be updates on what is going on.

http://milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com/2012/01/02/coldest-weather-since-last-winter-to-help-usher-in-new-year/

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no kidding shes hot as crap popcorn

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by keithinala on 2012-01-02, 12:44 am

LOL, Roll Tide!

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Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

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