WRF cast
Satellite Loop
Current Watches
Current Snow Cover
Conus Radar
Regional Radar
Tennessee Radar
SE RADAR
Enlarge
24 hr Temp change
Current MDs
Regional Temps
Conus Temps
Current CPC NAO and forecast
Top posters
Toot (6644)
 
Stovepipe (4148)
 
Adam2014 (1424)
 
tennessee storm09 (1302)
 
Jed33 (930)
 
windstorm (891)
 
John1122 (885)
 
snowdog (855)
 
Homemommy (824)
 
WxFreak (812)
 


Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Page 2 of 22 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 12 ... 22  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Reb on 2012-01-02, 12:50 am

booo!!! lol. also...i just noticed...this place sorda looks almost like tnwx in terms of just looks wash hahahaha

_________________
Happy Holidays!!!
avatar
Reb
Admin

Posts : 745
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Maryville, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by keithinala on 2012-01-02, 2:00 am

New Euro...hmmm


keithinala
Founding Member

Posts : 62
Join date : 2011-12-30

View user profile http://www.milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Reb on 2012-01-02, 2:11 am

that looks awfully sexy

_________________
Happy Holidays!!!
avatar
Reb
Admin

Posts : 745
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Maryville, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by keithinala on 2012-01-02, 2:12 am

Reb wrote:that looks awfully sexy
You looking at those new maps, or still the milk and bread bama gal? santa

keithinala
Founding Member

Posts : 62
Join date : 2011-12-30

View user profile http://www.milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Reb on 2012-01-02, 2:25 am

new maps? what new maps? wash

_________________
Happy Holidays!!!
avatar
Reb
Admin

Posts : 745
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Maryville, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by keithinala on 2012-01-02, 2:27 am

Reb wrote:new maps? what new maps? wash
The ones you said looked sexy..I thought. Now I'm confused. scratch

keithinala
Founding Member

Posts : 62
Join date : 2011-12-30

View user profile http://www.milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Reb on 2012-01-02, 2:32 am

lol joking! yes the maps, keith drool

_________________
Happy Holidays!!!
avatar
Reb
Admin

Posts : 745
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Maryville, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Stovepipe on 2012-01-02, 5:32 am

Yeah it's very encouraging that the Euro is also showing a big storm during this time period. Tons of moisture to work with, a big cut off low, and temps, while somewhat marginal, don't look too far off the mark. This is going to be a fun one to watch this week.

hurry
avatar
Stovepipe
Founding Member

Posts : 4148
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 41
Location : Knoxville, TN

View user profile http://thecountryisgoingtohell.tumblr.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Guest on 2012-01-02, 7:24 am

Eh, I don't think so as much as you all do.. Geaux TIGERS

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2012-01-02, 8:57 am

the 0z euro is looking sweet for eas. sneaky t arkie, west tn, north miss. with snow developing on the backside of the ull. going to be fun watching this system unfold

tennessee storm09
Severe Wx Specialist

Posts : 1302
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 54
Location : jackson,tennessee(home of 3 ef4 tornadoes since 1999)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Guest on 2012-01-02, 9:42 am

tennessee storm09 wrote:the 0z euro is looking sweet for eas. sneaky t arkie, west tn, north miss. with snow developing on the backside of the ull. going to be fun watching this system unfold

Eh, when is East Tn gonna get their load of snow?? Its been West Tn this whole year except for a few flurries here and there... yuck.

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Stovepipe on 2012-01-02, 10:07 am

Tom it's too early to say who is going to cash in the best on this potential. Just be glad there is something to track.
avatar
Stovepipe
Founding Member

Posts : 4148
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 41
Location : Knoxville, TN

View user profile http://thecountryisgoingtohell.tumblr.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by keithinala on 2012-01-02, 10:16 am

Doubting Thomas, lol

keithinala
Founding Member

Posts : 62
Join date : 2011-12-30

View user profile http://www.milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Guest on 2012-01-02, 10:20 am

keithinala wrote:Doubting Thomas, lol

Its better than what I was last year haha.... last year I was 'Weenie Thomas' lol. This year, not so much. I've learned to have more patience with the patterns and not jump onboard every single model run, just like I learned not to jump offboard with a single bad model run when models had been consistent in showing something good for a while.

So in a way, I've actually taken a more reasonable, cautious approach to weather. Besides, we have no say in what ends up happening, whether we are forecasting something huge to happen or just a dusting or whatnot. Wink

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Stovepipe on 2012-01-02, 10:23 am

I don't think anyone around here is "on board" with this threat per say, but are just interested in tracking the possibility. We all know it'll change a hundred times and odds are not in our favor that we'll get hit with something big. Hell the 6z GFS lost the storm lol. But, it's the thrill of the chase that keeps us hitting F5.
avatar
Stovepipe
Founding Member

Posts : 4148
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 41
Location : Knoxville, TN

View user profile http://thecountryisgoingtohell.tumblr.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Guest on 2012-01-02, 10:27 am

Stovepipe wrote:I don't think anyone around here is "on board" with this threat per say, but are just interested in tracking the possibility. We all know it'll change a hundred times and odds are not in our favor that we'll get hit with something big. Hell the 6z GFS lost the storm lol. But, it's the thrill of the chase that keeps us hitting F5.

I'm talking in more general ways than just this possible event. I'm talking the whole scope of weather events (eg. cold air outbreaks, major snows, severe weather outbreaks, etc.)

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by keithinala on 2012-01-02, 11:08 am

here you go doubting thomas, from the HPC this morning:
THE BIG QUESTION MARK OVER THE CONTIGUOUS
UNITED STATES COMES AT THE END OF THE PERIOD...WITH THE ECMWF AND
GFS INDICATING A POTENT WAVE OVER THE GULF STATES...WITH NEITHER
RESPECTIVE ENSEMBLE MEAN DOING SO. THE LARGE SCALE FLOW COULD
SUPPORT A DISTINCT CYCLONE AT THAT POINT...SO FELT THAT THE
APPEARANCE OF THE SYSTEM ON BOTH THE DETERMINISTIC ECMWF AND GFS
LENT SOME CREDENCE TO THOSE SOLUTIONS.

keithinala
Founding Member

Posts : 62
Join date : 2011-12-30

View user profile http://www.milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2012-01-02, 11:11 am

Tom23 wrote:
Stovepipe wrote:I don't think anyone around here is "on board" with this threat per say, but are just interested in tracking the possibility. We all know it'll change a hundred times and odds are not in our favor that we'll get hit with something big. Hell the 6z GFS lost the storm lol. But, it's the thrill of the chase that keeps us hitting F5.

I'm talking in more general ways than just this possible event. I'm talking the whole scope of weather events (eg. cold air outbreaks, major snows, severe weather outbreaks, etc.)
relax tom, the euro has the ull going over north georgia so the backside snows do get pulled through middle and east tennessee also... bad part about it is, the euro is the only one on board at this time, like stove said, nobody has jumped on this ship yet... lets just see how other models trend

tennessee storm09
Severe Wx Specialist

Posts : 1302
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 54
Location : jackson,tennessee(home of 3 ef4 tornadoes since 1999)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by keithinala on 2012-01-02, 11:20 am

As the HPC states in my post, the GFS also is showing a potent wave, it's not just the Euro.
Even GSP NWS over in South Carolina mentioned it:
HOWEVER LOOKING PAST DAY 7...IT IS POSSIBLE THE UPPER
LOW/TROF COULD HAVE A WINTRY TYPE IMPACT BY THE TIME IT CROSSES THE
AREA LATE MON INTO TUE. THERE IS VERY LOW CONFIDENCE ON THAT
PARTICULAR SCENARIO AT THIS POINT THOUGH.
Edit: not liking the look of the 12Z GFS though


Last edited by keithinala on 2012-01-02, 11:43 am; edited 1 time in total

keithinala
Founding Member

Posts : 62
Join date : 2011-12-30

View user profile http://www.milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Guest on 2012-01-02, 11:50 am

keithinala wrote:here you go doubting thomas, from the HPC this morning:
THE BIG QUESTION MARK OVER THE CONTIGUOUS
UNITED STATES COMES AT THE END OF THE PERIOD...WITH THE ECMWF AND
GFS INDICATING A POTENT WAVE OVER THE GULF STATES...WITH NEITHER
RESPECTIVE ENSEMBLE MEAN DOING SO. THE LARGE SCALE FLOW COULD
SUPPORT A DISTINCT CYCLONE AT THAT POINT...SO FELT THAT THE
APPEARANCE OF THE SYSTEM ON BOTH THE DETERMINISTIC ECMWF AND GFS
LENT SOME CREDENCE TO THOSE SOLUTIONS.

Good deal! I hope that happens. But I am not going to give any sort of credence to anything until about 3 days out. How many times have we seen a monster snowstorm modeled up to the 3-5 day range, but then it is completely lost, then people start jumping off the cliffs?? I choose not to do that this year. In order to keep myself from doing that, I've chosen to wait until 3 days out on ANY system before I get pumped even in the slightest.

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by snowman72 on 2012-01-02, 11:57 am

LOL I think it fun to watch Tom Panic.

snowman72
Founding Member

Posts : 98
Join date : 2011-12-09
Age : 45
Location : foothills of the Smokies (Walland)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Toot on 2012-01-02, 11:58 am

lol...Tom's on some kind of crazy kick this morning....im actually having fun with it. hurry

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by snowman72 on 2012-01-02, 12:00 pm

I have noticed that the local mets have at least put moisture in the forecast 10-15 but they have not lowered the temps yet.

snowman72
Founding Member

Posts : 98
Join date : 2011-12-09
Age : 45
Location : foothills of the Smokies (Walland)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Toot on 2012-01-02, 12:50 pm

snowman72 wrote:I have noticed that the local mets have at least put moisture in the forecast 10-15 but they have not lowered the temps yet.

This setup screams ice somewhere IMO...hopefully that changes

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by keithinala on 2012-01-02, 1:45 pm

Tom23 2.0 wrote:
keithinala wrote:here you go doubting thomas, from the HPC this morning:

Good deal! I hope that happens. But I am not going to give any sort of credence to anything until about 3 days out. How many times have we seen a monster snowstorm modeled up to the 3-5 day range, but then it is completely lost, then people start jumping off the cliffs?? I choose not to do that this year. In order to keep myself from doing that, I've chosen to wait until 3 days out on ANY system before I get pumped even in the slightest.
If you feel that way, don't comment on anything until 3 days out. The constant negativity sucks, quite frankly lmao

keithinala
Founding Member

Posts : 62
Join date : 2011-12-30

View user profile http://www.milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com

Back to top Go down

Re: Jan 12th-15th Clipper Systems

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 22 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 12 ... 22  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum