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Toot (6644)
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Winter 2011/2012 Pattern Discussion

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Snowmania
jmundie
Vanster67
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snowman72
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Winter 2011/2012 Pattern Discussion - Page 7 Empty Re: Winter 2011/2012 Pattern Discussion

Post by Stovepipe 2011-12-18, 7:28 pm

Skillsweather wrote:Hey lets all help out and grab it and take whatever we can get to help us out of this lame pattern. No one handers use both your hands and your feet too if you can!

Funny, I said the same thing to my wife the other night.
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Post by Southeastbutter 2011-12-18, 11:07 pm

Euro... good for some

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Post by Reb 2011-12-18, 11:46 pm

Winter 2011/2012 Pattern Discussion - Page 7 29p2oeq

wash
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Post by Stovepipe 2011-12-18, 11:47 pm

Winter 2011/2012 Pattern Discussion - Page 7 1237576337_daffy-jerking
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Post by Toot 2011-12-19, 12:17 am

The gfs has been horrible but believe it or not the GFS is in line with what i think may happen to some degree..It may be catching on now that it has sampled the shortwave nicely..but if you read my blog you know that im expecting a strong cold front to march through and down into the gulf. This cold front will be attached to the system that has blizzard warnings in effect out in the midwest right now.

Along this boundary down in the gulf im expecting another low to form. This low pressure system will have cold air to its west to work with as it rides up this boundary. It will likely produce some snow in the cold sector but who gets the snow will depend on the exact strength and track of this system. The gfs could be close because the CMC has showed this off and on several runs...but I will caution you.. it could also be further south and east providing a near miss or a glancing blow. Still about 5-6 days out so there will be many more model runs and the outcome is in no way set in stone.
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Post by Stovepipe 2011-12-19, 12:40 am

Winter 2011/2012 Pattern Discussion - Page 7 Cheryl11

Too soon?
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Post by John1122 2011-12-19, 12:44 am

This has been on and off since hour 348 when I first saw it. At that time it was running 3-5 inches along the Alabama/TN/GA borders with 1-4 of most of the rest of Middle and East Tennessee.

Sadly, the GFS has been so bad this year that even it's relative consistency in the longer ranges makes me very doubtful that we see this solution again tomorrow.

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Post by Reb 2011-12-19, 12:48 am

nah stove. too soon would be if someone were to make one of these:

Winter 2011/2012 Pattern Discussion - Page 7 J7t9ap
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Post by Stovepipe 2011-12-19, 12:51 am

John1122 wrote:This has been on and off since hour 348 when I first saw it. At that time it was running 3-5 inches along the Alabama/TN/GA borders with 1-4 of most of the rest of Middle and East Tennessee.

Sadly, the GFS has been so bad this year that even it's relative consistency in the longer ranges makes me very doubtful that we see this solution again tomorrow.

Well the very fact that you've seen this since 348 is encouraging to me. I'm sure it's a long shot but we are closing in on a week now so at least it's something. I'll take what I can get right now. You know it's pretty dismal when even the DGEX doesn't provide your much needed snow porn at this point in the year.
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Post by John1122 2011-12-19, 1:21 am

Honestly with the last two winters I'd be much more excited about this kind of potential. But all the climate signals were in place for winter weather potential the past couple of years.

Right now we are fighting several that make wintry weather less likely and things always have to come together near perfectly to get significant snow in a good portion of Tennessee.

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Post by Southeastbutter 2011-12-19, 1:28 am

Reb wrote:nah stove. too soon would be if someone were to make one of these:

Winter 2011/2012 Pattern Discussion - Page 7 J7t9ap

hahahahah

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Post by Vanster67 2011-12-19, 7:22 am

Joe Bastardi's twitter feed shows him saying we might be in for some snow around the 26th or 27th. Bring it. Christmas would be nice, but just some decent snow sometime soon will do me just fine drool
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Post by Toot 2011-12-19, 8:23 am

Well...the gfs has ensemble and canadian model support this morning so it looks like we officially have something to track. Miller A time hopefully rock on

Two snows around Christmas in a row??? with all these people cliff diving over the pattern and cancelling winter already.. say it aint so smartass

And no...I am not calling for a white Christmas at this point
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Post by Toot 2011-12-19, 8:35 am

The world famous batshit crazy 6zdgex yikes

Winter 2011/2012 Pattern Discussion - Page 7 Eta.totsnow192

yikes
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Post by Guest 2011-12-19, 8:43 am

Cyclonicjunkie wrote:The world famous batshit crazy 6zdgex yikes

Winter 2011/2012 Pattern Discussion - Page 7 Eta.totsnow192

yikes

lol... lets go DGEX!!!! Bring 'er on in, baby! lolz...

I wonder if mets even take a second to even look at the Dgex? Or do they just leave it alone and never take a peek at it?

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Post by Stovepipe 2011-12-19, 8:50 am

Time to start a thread for this storm me thinks.
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Post by Guest 2011-12-19, 8:53 am

Stovepipe wrote:Time to start a thread for this storm me thinks.

Same here. The models have kept the storm/storms over the weekend. Even if this thing does not pan out the way its being modeled as of now, it should still be interesting to watch.

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Post by jmundie 2011-12-19, 9:26 am

Stovepipe wrote:Winter 2011/2012 Pattern Discussion - Page 7 Cheryl11

Too soon?

You know you've made it when you get gif love from stove

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Post by Guest 2011-12-19, 9:30 am

jmundie wrote:
Stovepipe wrote:

Too soon?

You know you've made it when you get gif love from stove

Good to see ya hear Bro!!

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Post by Toot 2011-12-19, 9:53 am

Jmundie rock on
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Post by Stovepipe 2011-12-19, 10:01 am

jmundie wrote:
Stovepipe wrote:

Too soon?

You know you've made it when you get gif love from stove

Welcome stranger! That pic was made last season haha. I was itching to bust it out again this year.
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Post by Vanster67 2011-12-19, 10:05 am

Good to see ya JMUNDIE. Saw the firing squad out elsewhere this A.M. Liked the Euro post tho!
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Post by jmundie 2011-12-19, 10:15 am

Stovepipe wrote:
jmundie wrote:
Stovepipe wrote:

Too soon?

You know you've made it when you get gif love from stove

Welcome stranger! That pic was made last season haha. I was itching to bust it out again this year.

I don't know how I missed it last year. Lol

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Post by tennessee storm09 2011-12-19, 10:51 am

welcome aboard mundie, glad to have you over here man. post away brother.

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Post by snowdog 2011-12-19, 2:38 pm

I thought I would be brave and peek into the long range. Bad idea. Don't look. Imagine Rosie O'Donnell in a thong and you have a pretty accurate image. Continued heavily positive AO with no blocking in sight. I need to go throw up.

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