WRF cast
Satellite Loop
Current Watches
Current Snow Cover
Conus Radar
Regional Radar
Tennessee Radar
SE RADAR
Enlarge
24 hr Temp change
Current MDs
Regional Temps
Conus Temps
Current CPC NAO and forecast
Top posters
Toot (6644)
 
Stovepipe (4148)
 
Adam2014 (1424)
 
tennessee storm09 (1302)
 
Jed33 (930)
 
windstorm (891)
 
John1122 (885)
 
snowdog (855)
 
Homemommy (824)
 
WxFreak (812)
 


Spring 2012 weather discussion

Page 2 of 13 Previous  1, 2, 3, ... 11, 12, 13  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-03-11, 10:02 pm

Bruce caught one of them on camera...it jumped right out in front of him on a chase this evening...lolz


_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Stovepipe on 2012-03-11, 10:43 pm

That might be, quite possibly, the craziest tornader footage I've ever seen. Would love to find a real video of it. How did that guy's truck not get blown off the road??!?


Last edited by Stovepipe on 2012-03-12, 12:55 am; edited 1 time in total
avatar
Stovepipe
Founding Member

Posts : 4148
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 41
Location : Knoxville, TN

View user profile http://thecountryisgoingtohell.tumblr.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Stovepipe on 2012-03-12, 12:52 am

Reed Timmer is getting fired up about some of these naders on Facebook.



VERY STRONG ROTATION! Had to delete post from 5 min ago and repost this since it has intensified even more. Almost definitely strong water spout/tornado near Pecan Island. Vermillion Parish take cover now it's moving northeast.
avatar
Stovepipe
Founding Member

Posts : 4148
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 41
Location : Knoxville, TN

View user profile http://thecountryisgoingtohell.tumblr.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2012-03-12, 7:35 pm

i know one thing, this summer like pattern were almost in is killing any serious severe weather event for our part of the country... strong bermuda high is keeping any system that develops way west northwest.... tell you one thing, when this pattern does break down some... there will be plenty of cape to work with...just a matter of getting a strong system with shear to meet up with it... then boom goes the dynamite.

tennessee storm09
Severe Wx Specialist

Posts : 1302
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 54
Location : jackson,tennessee(home of 3 ef4 tornadoes since 1999)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Adam2014 on 2012-03-12, 7:43 pm

Your correct... This strong severe season is going to go down the drain if we can't get some powerful cold fronts thorugh here.

_________________
GO VOLS!!!
avatar
Adam2014
Founding Member

Posts : 1424
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 21
Location : Lawrenceburg,TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-03-13, 5:53 pm

Death ridge seems to be setting up early this year


_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by snowdog on 2012-03-14, 7:17 am

Toot wrote:Death ridge seems to be setting up early this year


This weather can suck it. I enjoy a nice long spring before we turn to summer. This 80 degree crap in mid-march for an extended period sucks. Going to be a looooong summer I'm afraid (which only makes a lack of winter that much worse).

snowdog
Winter Specialist

Posts : 855
Join date : 2011-12-14
Age : 39
Location : Mount Juliet, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-03-14, 10:56 am

I personally think that this summer will be more avg in terms of temps and probably also be a bit shorter than normal

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by snowdog on 2012-03-14, 12:28 pm

It will be hard to be shorter than normal when it has started much earlier than normal. I hope you are right though.

snowdog
Winter Specialist

Posts : 855
Join date : 2011-12-14
Age : 39
Location : Mount Juliet, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by John1122 on 2012-03-14, 3:42 pm

There will be a doomsday freeze here before spring ends like in April a few years ago. We had this same extended period of 70s in March, everything bloomed then we had low 20s in April a couple of mornings that just killed everything.

John1122
Winter Specialist

Posts : 885
Join date : 2011-12-06
Location : Campbell Co

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by jmundie on 2012-03-14, 4:35 pm

John1122 wrote:There will be a doomsday freeze here before spring ends like in April a few years ago. We had this same extended period of 70s in March, everything bloomed then we had low 20s in April a couple of mornings that just killed everything.
'

Yep - that was a disaster. Even the most serious winter lover shouldn't wish that on anyone.


jmundie
Winter Specialist

Posts : 743
Join date : 2011-12-19

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-03-14, 5:00 pm

snowdog wrote:It will be hard to be shorter than normal when it has started much earlier than normal. I hope you are right though.

Thats the main reason I think it will be shorter..... the summer pattern has setup early and in theory it should also end early because of this.

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-03-14, 5:14 pm

Can you say TORCH? And there is really NO sign of this letting up anytime soon



yikes


_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Adam2014 on 2012-03-14, 5:42 pm

That is a nasty ridge right there, if the air keeps drying we could get up into the 90s for highs. I don't want that at all yet.

_________________
GO VOLS!!!
avatar
Adam2014
Founding Member

Posts : 1424
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 21
Location : Lawrenceburg,TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Adam2014 on 2012-03-14, 6:04 pm

We have some hailers in the midstate right now. The one in Hickman county has a POSH of 100% and a potential to produce 3 inch sized hail. Baseball sized lol!

_________________
GO VOLS!!!
avatar
Adam2014
Founding Member

Posts : 1424
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 21
Location : Lawrenceburg,TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-03-14, 6:46 pm

Adam2014 wrote:That is a nasty ridge right there, if the air keeps drying we could get up into the 90s for highs. I don't want that at all yet.

Im pretty confident that parts of southern Tennessee will hit the 90's before this early warm spell is over.

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Stovepipe on 2012-03-14, 8:31 pm

Adam2014 wrote:We have some hailers in the midstate right now. The one in Hickman county has a POSH of 100% and a potential to produce 3 inch sized hail. Baseball sized lol!

Can you explain what this POSH is? Don't reckon I ever heard tell of it before.

rabbit
avatar
Stovepipe
Founding Member

Posts : 4148
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 41
Location : Knoxville, TN

View user profile http://thecountryisgoingtohell.tumblr.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-03-14, 9:03 pm

First I have heard of it too....but I assume it stands for Probability of significant hail

Just the first thing that entered my mind though


Last edited by Toot on 2012-03-14, 9:14 pm; edited 2 times in total

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Math/Met on 2012-03-14, 9:12 pm

POSH = Probability of Severe Hail.

Math/Met
Meteorologist

Posts : 226
Join date : 2011-12-05

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Stovepipe on 2012-03-14, 9:15 pm

Where does one see what the POSH value is for a given cell?
avatar
Stovepipe
Founding Member

Posts : 4148
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 41
Location : Knoxville, TN

View user profile http://thecountryisgoingtohell.tumblr.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-03-14, 9:31 pm

On level three radar its one of the settings under storm attributes

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Stovepipe on 2012-03-14, 9:36 pm

Ah HA! Another reason to break down and get a copy of that software.
avatar
Stovepipe
Founding Member

Posts : 4148
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 41
Location : Knoxville, TN

View user profile http://thecountryisgoingtohell.tumblr.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2012-03-14, 9:51 pm

Toot wrote:Can you say TORCH? And there is really NO sign of this letting up anytime soon
yikes

actually the euro is starting to show signs of the ridge completly breaking down... 18z gfs showing signs too aftter late next week. heading into april will be a different pattern

tennessee storm09
Severe Wx Specialist

Posts : 1302
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 54
Location : jackson,tennessee(home of 3 ef4 tornadoes since 1999)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Adam2014 on 2012-03-14, 9:59 pm

Yes that is what POSH means lol sorry guys.

_________________
GO VOLS!!!
avatar
Adam2014
Founding Member

Posts : 1424
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 21
Location : Lawrenceburg,TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-03-14, 10:07 pm

Not really Bruce

12z Euro at 240 still has the Death Ridge...there is just a cuttoff low that made its way in...and would likely just give way to the ridge







Here is the 18z gfs ensembles at 10+ days out all still agreeing on the death ridge,



She aint going anywhere no time soon

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 13 Previous  1, 2, 3, ... 11, 12, 13  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum