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Fall 2012 wx discussion

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by skillsweather on 2012-11-25, 6:06 am

Today's Record low in Nashville was -1 back in 1950. I just wonder how that winter turned out.. Burr lool. Its only November 25th.. And Crossville (way east of Nashville) Was over 12 atleast because there record low for today was 12 back in 1970. So probably was a strong cold front that caused that. (or Crossville didnt have records back then).

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by windstorm on 2012-11-25, 7:47 am

Coldest morning so far here. 24 degrees. Chatta/Harrison..... cold
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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by windstorm on 2012-11-25, 7:51 am

Up to 26 now at 7:55.a.m.
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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by etnwx on 2012-11-25, 5:20 pm

I nailed my forecasted low this mornin. Predicted 23, reached down to 22.6. rock on

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2012-11-25, 7:33 pm

man, looking at the longer range stuff... its just one slp right after another in the northern pacific region... th pacific is a freaking train wreck at the moment... wake me up yall, when this changes. Sleep

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by skillsweather on 2012-11-25, 11:22 pm

Well it looks like the CPC will be wrong in the precip prediction for California's area. (ofc this is a freak system). They are going to be getting a ton of rain in like a week like a foot or more in total. Im sure there normal for each month isn't that much and they will have that in like a weeks time in December. The CPC has them in below normal precip.

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by Jed33 on 2012-11-27, 8:28 pm

Not sure about overnight lows tnite here in E TN as clouds are hanging tough and according to MRX, moisture has become trapped under an inversion. That is usually a recipe for very slow or even no clearing at night. I suspect that we will not clear out and our forecast lows near 30 will bust by about the same amount as the highs from today. About 5-10 degrees. Pro0ably near 40, or only upper 30s at most tonight if clouds don't move out

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-11-27, 8:59 pm

Jed33 wrote:I suspect that we will not clear out and our forecast lows near 30 will bust by about the same amount as the highs from today.

I think you're right!

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-11-28, 6:11 pm

Looks like we gonna get down to about the 25 mark here in Morristown tonight that is about 10 degrees below normal FWIW

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by Jed33 on 2012-11-28, 9:11 pm

Easily 25 Toot. Coming home from church tonight, the thermometer on my car read 28 here just a few mins. Ago in a few places. It is 32 up here on the ridge. I'd say 20-25 is doable tnight provided no clouds and wind move in. rock on

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by etnwx on 2012-11-28, 9:45 pm

I'm going with a low of 27 tonight here in NW Knoxville also provided no clouds or wind.

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by windstorm on 2012-11-28, 10:14 pm

At 10:10 p.m. est am at 31 degrees. Should hit between 26 - 28 am thinking.
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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by windstorm on 2012-11-28, 10:17 pm

Jed33 . I am fixing to put my weather station online in 2 to 3 days. How do i go about doing that ? thanks popcorn
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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by Jed33 on 2012-11-28, 10:50 pm

I'm working on the answer for you. Honestly, I have no idea exactly, as i've never done that. however, I have several friends that are computer geniouses, so i'll ask. I imagine it depends upon what kind of station it is, and where you want to put it. If anyone else knows, post it here. We'll all learn together

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-11-28, 10:53 pm


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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by windstorm on 2012-11-29, 6:46 am

Hey guy's thanks so much for all your help. Have a good day and always think SNOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! pals
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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by Jed33 on 2012-11-29, 9:45 am

23 this AM at the house. Nice and Cold beer

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by snowdog on 2012-11-29, 9:55 am

Long range ensemble tele's from both GFS and Euro continue to look rather bleh. The Pac really reminds me a lot of last year, which scares me. I'm not saying this winter will be like last because there are many other factors, but I think one has to be at least a little worried about the possibility of the Pac doing the majority of the driving this winter. Will be interesting to see how it all unfolds.

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by jmundie on 2012-11-29, 11:13 am

snowdog wrote:Long range ensemble tele's from both GFS and Euro continue to look rather bleh. The Pac really reminds me a lot of last year, which scares me. I'm not saying this winter will be like last because there are many other factors, but I think one has to be at least a little worried about the possibility of the Pac doing the majority of the driving this winter. Will be
interesting to see how it all unfolds.

Gradient winter is all I can see when I look at the post truncation gfs - starting to look like a snowy one for the OKC to NYC line and north if we can't get the PNA to cooperate.

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by jmundie on 2012-11-29, 11:13 am

Or we need the AO to go insanely negative, such that the center of the PV is about 500 miles south of where it currently is

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by snowdog on 2012-11-29, 11:47 am

jmundie wrote:Or we need the AO to go insanely negative, such that the center of the PV is about 500 miles south of where it currently is

True, however the AO is coming out of a pretty negative stretch and while we were a good bit below normal (temp wise) still nothing all that impressive (compared to what it could have been if we had other signals cooperating). A lot of cold sitting up in Canada waiting to be tapped.

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by etnwx on 2012-11-29, 1:33 pm

Called for a low of 27, and it got down to 24.2. Oh well. If u need help installing a weather station, I have all sorts of insights and tips from the actual install to software that I use. I will create a topic later this evening as im busy atm.


Last edited by etnwx on 2012-11-29, 1:35 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : busy, not buzy)

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by windstorm on 2012-11-29, 2:54 pm

I was saying last night we would get down to between 26 and 28. Here at the house we had 27 today.
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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by jmundie on 2012-11-29, 4:21 pm

more blah from the 12z suite of models.

GFS ensembles are a little interesting. But the post 168 hour euro delayed the cold and our front next week is looking weaker by the run.

Really not looking forward to decorating the Christmas tree in 70 degree weather saturday.

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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

Post by windstorm on 2012-11-29, 4:54 pm

etnwx wrote:Called for a low of 27, and it got down to 24.2. Oh well. If u need help installing a weather station, I have all sorts of insights and tips from the actual install to software that I use. I will create a topic later this evening as im busy atm.
Ok thanks. Am waiting on my bridge to connect to the internet for set up. Thanks.. I have a ACU- RITE 01010 W. One thing i like about it it is all one piece .So far the unit has been great but i have own 3 or 4 others that didn't last long. Can't afford the Davis weather station . pals
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Re: Fall 2012 wx discussion

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