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Presidents Day System

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by windstorm on 2013-02-11, 1:50 pm

GFS is back on board for snow come Saturday on the 6 utc run i look at just now. 12 utc is not as wet. 18 utc well it more or less gone right now. One thing about the GFS is it has lock onto cold weather for many runs now. So we will see. wash
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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by Toot on 2013-02-11, 2:01 pm

6z zGFS
Attachments
gfs_6hr_snow_acc_east_33.png You don't have permission to download attachments.(189 Kb) Downloaded 5 times

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by keithinala on 2013-02-11, 4:19 pm

windstorm wrote:GFS is back on board for snow come Saturday on the 6 utc run i look at just now. 12 utc is not as wet. 18 utc well it more or less gone right now. One thing about the GFS is it has lock onto cold weather for many runs now. So we will see. wash
18Z hasn't even started running yet
Edit: Not it's about time for it to start...so not sure what 18Z you meant....yesterdays?

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by windstorm on 2013-02-11, 4:36 pm

early today
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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by tom23 on 2013-02-11, 4:47 pm

windstorm wrote:early today

Windstorm, I believe you were referencing the 18z from yesterday. Correct me if I'm wrong though. It is very easy to make that mistake, as I'm sure everyone has done it at least once.

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by windstorm on 2013-02-11, 5:34 pm

Yes that it tom. thanks. May be picking it up again on the latest run but it may be kind of weak. I will ck it later thanks. wash
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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by windstorm on 2013-02-11, 5:54 pm

The GFS is showing a lot colder air than our local weathermen are predicting. for this up coming weekend.
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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by Jed33 on 2013-02-11, 5:59 pm

18z guys. I'm using my phone, but it looks good for a very big area of the s. Even s GA and AL get accumulating snow. On this run, E TN and the plateau do better than middle, but still maybe an inch or two there. WTN does as good as E TN too. Now b4 you say, middle TN screw again, its only been 1 run, lol, it could change at 0z and prob. Will

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by Toot on 2013-02-11, 6:12 pm

Yeah the 18z is quite goofy looking..confidence is certainly increasing on an accumulating snow event here in TN tho!
Latest GFS snowfall graphic posted in the members section.

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by keithinala on 2013-02-11, 7:28 pm

from Robert (foothills) at wxsouth:
We'll keep following this for both the Southeast and East Coast storm potential. One thing to watch is for excessive digging toward Texas on future runs..if that happens, an Amazing once a decade type Snowstorm will rip through the Southeast and up the East Coast. But you can't bank on it yet, since big snows are so rare , especially lately in the South. The Northeast stands the best shot at this storm, all things considered, but no guarantees yet for anyone.

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by Toot on 2013-02-11, 8:44 pm

If I miss an all out blizzard a couple hundered miles to my east I WILL BE PISSED!!! LOL

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by keithinala on 2013-02-11, 8:46 pm

let's take this

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by Toot on 2013-02-11, 9:13 pm

keithinala wrote:let's take this

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2013-02-11, 9:18 pm

Toot wrote:Gotta get the bread and milk video
LMAO ! if that storm onn the 18zgfs verifies early next week... we bettet get a shit load of bread and milk...

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by etnwx on 2013-02-11, 9:22 pm

Toot wrote:
keithinala wrote:let's take this

LOL!

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by John1122 on 2013-02-11, 9:34 pm

It's slowly working it's way back N and NW with the LP area after being perfect about 3-4 day ago. We'll see how far NW it will come.

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by tom23 on 2013-02-11, 9:46 pm

Ultimately, I think there will be too much dry air to overcome and downsloping winds will cut back on amounts too. I think 1-2 inches is the very best central east tn could do with this system. Looks like it may also miss us to our east as well.

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by Toot on 2013-02-11, 10:07 pm

John1122 wrote:It's slowly working it's way back N and NW with the LP area after being perfect about 3-4 day ago. We'll see how far NW it will come.
I would think so too..very odd track is being shown now. Major winter cyclones have taken the low SE coastal track like that.. but they dont happen like that very often.

tom23 wrote:Ultimately, I think there will be too much dry air to overcome and downsloping winds will cut back on amounts too. I think 1-2 inches is the very best central east tn could do with this system. Looks like it may also miss us to our east as well.
You obviously are joking or you absolutely have no idea of what you're talking about LOL

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by orangeblood1985 on 2013-02-11, 10:10 pm

tom23 wrote:Ultimately, I think there will be too much dry air to overcome and downsloping winds will cut back on amounts too. I think 1-2 inches is the very best central east tn could do with this system. Looks like it may also miss us to our east as well.

Sarcasm?

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by tom23 on 2013-02-11, 10:12 pm

LoL toot, I'm trying to find something that could potentially cause this to bust or be a non event. I'm grasping at straws here. Moisture will be there and temps will be conducive. So unless it does take a more eastern track then we are in for a big dog

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by orangeblood1985 on 2013-02-11, 10:12 pm

Toot,
What is your take of the shortwave trough digging into ok and tx on the 00Z NAM? Looks healthy... No?

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by tom23 on 2013-02-11, 10:13 pm

orangeblood1985 wrote:
tom23 wrote:Ultimately, I think there will be too much dry air to overcome and downsloping winds will cut back on amounts too. I think 1-2 inches is the very best central east tn could do with this system. Looks like it may also miss us to our east as well.

Sarcasm?

Yeppers lol

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by Toot on 2013-02-11, 10:23 pm

orangeblood1985 wrote:Toot,
What is your take of the shortwave trough digging into ok and tx on the 00Z NAM? Looks healthy... No?
Yes..it looks as good or better than the 18z GFS at hr 90

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by ballpark on 2013-02-11, 10:25 pm

I am going to get me some popcorn watch the GFS run. popcorn

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Re: Presidents Day System

Post by tom23 on 2013-02-11, 10:26 pm

Toot wrote:
orangeblood1985 wrote:Toot,
What is your take of the shortwave trough digging into ok and tx on the 00Z NAM? Looks healthy... No?
Yes..it looks as good or better than the 18z GFS at hr 90


Sigh... all of these model runs are making me wanna icecream cone:hurry:


Last edited by Vanster67 on 2013-02-11, 11:53 pm; edited 2 times in total (Reason for editing : younger viewers)

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Re: Presidents Day System

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