WRF cast
Satellite Loop
Current Watches
Current Snow Cover
Conus Radar
Regional Radar
Tennessee Radar
SE RADAR
Enlarge
24 hr Temp change
Current MDs
Regional Temps
Conus Temps
Current CPC NAO and forecast
Top posters
Toot (6644)
 
Stovepipe (4148)
 
Adam2014 (1424)
 
tennessee storm09 (1302)
 
Jed33 (930)
 
windstorm (891)
 
John1122 (885)
 
snowdog (855)
 
Homemommy (824)
 
WxFreak (812)
 


Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Page 2 of 8 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by VFL on 2013-02-21, 9:41 pm

Neals wrote:
Toot wrote:Yeah..that particular member explodes into a beast as it moves eastward. I will take the first one in the middle too. pals

Here's to "Beastmode" pals

I'll beer to that!!!!
avatar
VFL
Member

Posts : 367
Join date : 2012-04-10
Age : 42
Location : North Knox County

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by snowdog on 2013-02-21, 11:15 pm

jmundie wrote:There's gonna be somethign in the 120-156 timeframe for sure. 18z ensembles. There's no question which one is my favorite.

You really buying into this Mundie? I guess I somewhat see the potential but I'm just not ready to buy in yet. It's kind of a funky set-up where a strong ULL gets stuck in the northeast and pulls down some cold but the real cold is way up in Canada. Also the southern slider is pretty weak and is going to fight being sheared out. It's kind of a damned if you do damned if you don't. We need the stronger ULL in the northeast to help pull down enough cold to work with but then you run the risk of shearing out the southern low.


Last edited by Toot on 2013-02-21, 11:43 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Fixed quote tag)

snowdog
Winter Specialist

Posts : 855
Join date : 2011-12-14
Age : 39
Location : Mount Juliet, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by Jscentraltn on 2013-02-22, 9:08 am

Euro would be nice! But I think it is overdone. Will have to wait and see its always last min change that sucks. Looks good for now no good later.

_________________
REMEMBER!!!!!! The day when man and dinasouar walked the earth together..... In the beginning things were good!
avatar
Jscentraltn
Admin

Posts : 703
Join date : 2013-01-19
Age : 39
Location : Cheatham county

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by jmundie on 2013-02-22, 9:26 am

snowdog wrote:
jmundie wrote:There's gonna be somethign in the 120-156 timeframe for sure. 18z ensembles. There's no question which one is my favorite.

You really buying into this Mundie? I guess I somewhat see the potential but I'm just not ready to buy in yet. It's kind of a funky set-up where a strong ULL gets stuck in the northeast and pulls down some cold but the real cold is way up in Canada. Also the southern slider is pretty weak and is going to fight being sheared out. It's kind of a damned if you do damned if you don't. We need the stronger ULL in the northeast to help pull down enough cold to work with but then you run the risk of shearing out the southern low.

Yes - I think we're gonna have the possibility of some snow in that timeframe, but I think we probably get dryslotted, unless the ULL can come further south and occlude faster.

Modeling is still all over the place with this thing. The precip shield from the ULL doesn't make sense, but the euro is getting closer and closer to something nice. The 534 closed core of the ULL goes right over BNA on last nights run.

jmundie
Winter Specialist

Posts : 743
Join date : 2011-12-19

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by Snowflake on 2013-02-22, 9:41 am

Mundie, where is your location? Thanks.
avatar
Snowflake
Member

Posts : 26
Join date : 2012-10-24
Location : Oak Ridge, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by jmundie on 2013-02-22, 10:07 am

Nashville

jmundie
Winter Specialist

Posts : 743
Join date : 2011-12-19

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by windstorm on 2013-02-22, 10:31 am

I know this is kind of way out but we have been burn before so just for old time sakes let just look at what could, would, should have been a good snow .http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/model/gfs192hr_sfc_ptyp.gif rfl rfl facepalm slap stoned potstir
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by Toot on 2013-02-22, 12:19 pm

Lol....Windstorm are u talking about the past or the future rfl



_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by snowdog on 2013-02-22, 1:46 pm

jmundie wrote:Nashville

a.k.a. flurry dusting capitol of the world.

snowdog
Winter Specialist

Posts : 855
Join date : 2011-12-14
Age : 39
Location : Mount Juliet, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by windstorm on 2013-02-22, 4:54 pm

Early March. First few days
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by windstorm on 2013-02-22, 4:58 pm

gfs192hr_sfc_ptyp.gif show less now than it did when i first posted it. It had it down into NE Alabama. cliffdive
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by John1122 on 2013-02-22, 5:00 pm

David Aldrich is all in already. He has 60% snow in his forecast for next Friday and Saturday.

John1122
Winter Specialist

Posts : 885
Join date : 2011-12-06
Location : Campbell Co

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by Toot on 2013-02-22, 6:35 pm

Im all in too..I have never seen a more impressive setup for a major storm somewhere in the TN/Oh Valley

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by Jed33 on 2013-02-22, 7:11 pm

If it still shows up come Sunday, we may need a thread for next Fri. Into Sat. I reallly like the looks of that time period through the first week of March

Jed33
Admin

Posts : 930
Join date : 2011-12-09
Location : Morristown, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by ballpark on 2013-02-22, 7:18 pm

John1122 wrote:David Aldrich is all in already. He has 60% snow in his forecast for next Friday and Saturday.
Just curious who is David Aldrich?

ballpark
Founding Member

Posts : 155
Join date : 2011-12-07
Location : White House

View user profile http://www.leaguelineup.com/mtnsa

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by Jed33 on 2013-02-22, 7:34 pm

Met for WVLT CBS knoxville

Jed33
Admin

Posts : 930
Join date : 2011-12-09
Location : Morristown, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by John1122 on 2013-02-23, 2:21 am

This is Aldrich's current forecast.


John1122
Winter Specialist

Posts : 885
Join date : 2011-12-06
Location : Campbell Co

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by Toot on 2013-02-23, 6:23 am

First snow threat when strong upper low advects colder air into the valley



_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by Toot on 2013-02-23, 12:01 pm

k we are coming up on the most impressive pattern of the winter so far. All the key elements are there for a major to historic east coast snowstorm around the first of March with less significant snows in the east starting Feb 27. This is the type of pattern that breeds powerhouse winter storms folks!


_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by Jscentraltn on 2013-02-23, 12:03 pm

Hey guys! Been to busy at work really to look at anything! So whats the chatter I looked this morning can't really see anything big just some cold and snow showers! Or did I miss it some where? Thanks

_________________
REMEMBER!!!!!! The day when man and dinasouar walked the earth together..... In the beginning things were good!
avatar
Jscentraltn
Admin

Posts : 703
Join date : 2013-01-19
Age : 39
Location : Cheatham county

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by Jscentraltn on 2013-02-23, 12:07 pm

Hey toot! Where that come from? Never mind the statement! You answered my question when I posted I did't see your post on here thanks stoned

_________________
REMEMBER!!!!!! The day when man and dinasouar walked the earth together..... In the beginning things were good!
avatar
Jscentraltn
Admin

Posts : 703
Join date : 2013-01-19
Age : 39
Location : Cheatham county

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by Jscentraltn on 2013-02-23, 12:12 pm

Other than the snow showers that fill in after tue for the mid state! Do you think this poss snow storm will be for all of Tennessee or just up east then to the ne?

_________________
REMEMBER!!!!!! The day when man and dinasouar walked the earth together..... In the beginning things were good!
avatar
Jscentraltn
Admin

Posts : 703
Join date : 2013-01-19
Age : 39
Location : Cheatham county

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by joereb1 on 2013-02-23, 2:28 pm

Instead of flurries at my house, do you think I can really get significant accumulation in South Knoxville? The only snow that stuck was the event in mid January when we got around 4". Coming from Florida last summer, that was a beautiful site. I'm praying for this to come to pass. Let us have a historic snow storm. Amen!! rock on

_________________
Praise the Lord and Pass the Ammunition.

JoeReb. cold
avatar
joereb1
Founding Member

Posts : 76
Join date : 2011-12-06
Location : Corryton, TN.

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by snowdog on 2013-02-23, 3:25 pm

Toot wrote:k we are coming up on the most impressive pattern of the winter so far. All the key elements are there for a major to historic east coast snowstorm around the first of March with less significant snows in the east starting Feb 27. This is the type of pattern that breeds powerhouse winter storms folks!

As modeled the pattern is almost too extreme. The northern stream is dominating the flow and not allowing anything to come out of the southern stream. Maybe something can pop once the pattern relaxes or if the pattern is being modeled too extreme.

snowdog
Winter Specialist

Posts : 855
Join date : 2011-12-14
Age : 39
Location : Mount Juliet, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by windstorm on 2013-02-23, 4:03 pm

This look like another write off except in the favorite spots over the northern half of the state like it's been all winter long. There something way out there but when you keep pushing days and days out then it turns up nothing. Put it in the books folks except for those places that have got some snow this year. This winter for most of Tenn is in the books. Dud, Dud, Dud. Two in a row. Models are like Presidents, they lie. rfl rfl rfl
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Late Feb/Early March Potential Winter Weather

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 8 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum