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Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Toot on 2013-05-28, 6:17 pm

Dyersburg Weather wrote:Im sure most have seen this but if not watch. affraid

Good gawwwd..thats insane! yikes

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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Toot on 2013-05-28, 6:52 pm

Short range weather models such as the NAM are zeroing in on another potentially dangerous day in Oklahoma on Thursday! Not set in stone but the last few runs of this model would suggest a greatly enhanced tornado threat very similar to the ingredients of the last outbreak there. Instability and Helicity values are being progged off the charts for much of the state on Thursday.

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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Dyersburg Weather on 2013-05-28, 10:43 pm

VFL wrote:Holy shat, no way to describe that craziness.

They recorded 174 mph wind before their equipment was ripped off the top of TIV.

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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by windstorm on 2013-05-29, 5:40 pm

One thing to notice about this weather patten is the severe weather that these places are having are some of the same places that got some good snows back last winter. Not saying that this always happens that way but this year there seems to be a patten. Main systems back in the winter hammer parts of the plains and Midwest.
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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by windstorm on 2013-05-30, 2:18 pm

GFS wants to pull a low pressure up from the GOM 8 days out from now. I know this is a long way out on the 06 run. But we will see. U know the GFS, here today and gone tomorrow.
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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Toot on 2013-05-30, 7:26 pm

Yep..that low the GFS has is the remenants of Hurricane Barbara which crossed mexico from the Pacific and into the atlantic and is now in the bay of campeche headed northward.

Still a pretty vigorous LL spin to it too!

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop_timestamp.asp?data_folder=tropical/tropical_ge_4km_visir2_floater_2&width=640&height=480


Last edited by Toot on 2013-05-31, 10:56 am; edited 1 time in total

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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Toot on 2013-05-30, 8:19 pm

Also noticed that nobody has hit 90 yet..I think it will happen sunday if skies can stay clear before the cold front sweeps thru,

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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Toot on 2013-05-30, 10:17 pm

Heads up west TN...until 4am TOR watch just counties away!

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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Dyersburg Weather on 2013-06-02, 11:54 am

Very sad news. Storm chasers Tim Samaras , his son and Carl Long were killed in the El Rino Oklahoma tornado.

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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Toot on 2013-06-03, 8:05 am

Loop of the El Rino Tornado thanks to Brad Panovich



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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by VFL on 2013-06-05, 7:08 am

Looks like we're heading in to MCS season.
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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Toot on 2013-06-05, 8:45 pm

VFL wrote:Looks like we're heading in to MCS season.
One of my favorite times of year..especially when one those heat ridges gets going. I dont enjoy the heat but I enjoy the MCS's caused by the heat ridge!

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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Toot on 2013-06-09, 11:46 pm

June is pretty active in this neck of the woods when it comes to severe weather climatology. There is a severe weather bullseye that develops and matures during the middle of June just east of here




As for tomorrow..
An upper level trough axis approaches from the west and im expecting a strong Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) or BOW ECHO to form somewhere around the northern vicinity of the orange shaded area tomorrow afternoon and evening! This will be brought on by lift from the approaching shortwave and instability as the atmosphere becomes very unstable due to breaks in cloud cover and daytime heating! Expect this segment of storms will move south and eastward of the state of Tennessee and should weaken as it does so.

Just how quick this weakening happens is still in question tho. The slight risk area may need to be extended to cover parts of the western NC and Northern GA area tomorrow. Damaging winds are EXPECTED in the risk area with large hail also being possible.

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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Toot on 2013-06-10, 6:16 pm

Tornado just outside of Franklin, Kentucky earlier this evening


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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Dyersburg Weather on 2013-06-10, 7:55 pm

Toot wrote:Tornado just outside of Franklin, Kentucky earlier this evening


Hope no one was hurt but that thing is a beauty !!

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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by windstorm on 2013-06-11, 5:28 am

Looks like a top spinning. Sleep
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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by Toot on 2013-06-12, 9:14 am

Hottest day of the season so far! Todays progged highs

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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by VFL on 2013-06-12, 9:30 am

Bout time to hike LeConte to beat the heat.
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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

Post by windstorm on 2013-06-12, 11:42 am

93 yesterday IMBY. 91 @the airport. Today's highs they say is going to be low to mid 90's but it been cloudy all morning. It going on 12 noon now and still cloudy. Something is going to have to give to make it into even the low 90's. Won't be a disappointment to me if it don't make it that high.11:41:05   06.12.2013   smartass
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Re: Spring wx discussion 2013 edition

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