WRF cast
Satellite Loop
Current Watches
Current Snow Cover
Conus Radar
Regional Radar
Tennessee Radar
SE RADAR
Enlarge
24 hr Temp change
Current MDs
Regional Temps
Conus Temps
Current CPC NAO and forecast
Top posters
Toot (6644)
 
Stovepipe (4148)
 
Adam2014 (1424)
 
tennessee storm09 (1302)
 
Jed33 (930)
 
windstorm (891)
 
John1122 (885)
 
snowdog (855)
 
Homemommy (824)
 
WxFreak (812)
 


Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Page 2 of 8 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-19, 9:30 pm

Lol I just seen someone on another forum compare a snow depth graphic (which represents many hours of previous snowfall) to an hours time on a sounding. lmao This snow depth graphic is NOT just what happens at that particular hour!

This poster basically dismissed the whole accumulating snowfall event in west Tennessee due to an hour of time on a sounding that was indicative of a LL warm nose. Models dont paint snow in areas that have low level warm air the algorithim takes low level temps into account Razz

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2013-03-19, 10:45 pm

the 0z nam looked better for west tn for late thurs nite... 850 looks supportive for snow

tennessee storm09
Severe Wx Specialist

Posts : 1302
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 54
Location : jackson,tennessee(home of 3 ef4 tornadoes since 1999)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Jscentraltn on 2013-03-19, 10:48 pm

The new NAM run is following 18z run of the GFS taking the heavy precip out of middle tn and puts it in sw Tennessee! It will be a heavy wet snow/ sleet for them. Sucks for me. Oh well! retard

_________________
REMEMBER!!!!!! The day when man and dinasouar walked the earth together..... In the beginning things were good!
avatar
Jscentraltn
Admin

Posts : 703
Join date : 2013-01-19
Age : 39
Location : Cheatham county

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-19, 10:50 pm

0z NAM for west TN folk

12Km NAM


And yes low level temps will support this but the GFS is further south with the stripe of snow

4km HI RES NAM




_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Jscentraltn on 2013-03-19, 10:52 pm

Maybe west tn will have to much dry air to overcome!!!!!!! pffft

_________________
REMEMBER!!!!!! The day when man and dinasouar walked the earth together..... In the beginning things were good!
avatar
Jscentraltn
Admin

Posts : 703
Join date : 2013-01-19
Age : 39
Location : Cheatham county

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2013-03-19, 10:55 pm

Toot wrote:0z NAM for west TN folk

12Km NAM

And yes low level temps will support this but the GFS is further south with the stripe of snow

4km HI RES NAM

yep, that wasnt a bad run for west tn toot... i be happy with just seeing some big fat sloppy wet flakes fly around. lol

tennessee storm09
Severe Wx Specialist

Posts : 1302
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 54
Location : jackson,tennessee(home of 3 ef4 tornadoes since 1999)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-19, 11:49 pm

A certain someone continues to downplay the possible snow in parts of west TN but back in realityville the NWS in Paducah has issued Winter storm watches just a hair north of Dyersburg TN for 3-6 inches of heavy wet snow.
retard

Code:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
915 PM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

.LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
REGION ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING MOISTURE TO
OVERRIDE A VERY COLD DOME OF COLD AIR IN PLACE OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

MOZ100-107>110-114-201015-
/O.CON.KPAH.WS.A.0001.130321T1800Z-130322T1500Z/
WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...
POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...NEW MADRID
915 PM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...IT NOW APPEARS THAT LIGHT SNOW WILL BREAK OUT THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS FROM POPLAR BLUFF WESTWARD INTO
  THE OZARK FOOTHILLS. THE SNOW WILL LIKELY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES
  AS THE PRECIPITATION SHIFTS SOUTHEAST INTO THE MISSOURI BOOT
  HILL REGION LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING.

* MAIN IMPACT...THE MAIN IMPACT WITH THIS EVENT WILL COME WITH
  LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW AMOUNTS IN THE 3 TO 6 INCH RANGE. HIGHEST
  AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE OZARK FOOTHILLS WEST OF
  POPLAR BLUFF.

* OTHER IMPACTS...UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR IN PLACE PRIOR TO THE
  EXPECTED SNOWFALL AND THE FACT THAT THE MUCH OF THE EVENT WILL
  OCCUR DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND NIGHT TIME HOURS WILL
  INCREASE THE CHANCES OF DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. MANY
  ROADWAYS COULD QUICKLY BECOME SLICK AND HAZARDOUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT WOULD GREATLY IMPACT
TRAVEL. STAY TUNED FOR LATER STATEMENTS. THIS WATCH WILL BE
UPGRADED TO A WARNING IF WINTER STORM CONDITIONS BECOME MORE
CERTAIN.

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by keithinala on 2013-03-19, 11:54 pm

how about this from rpm

keithinala
Founding Member

Posts : 62
Join date : 2011-12-30

View user profile http://www.milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by keithinala on 2013-03-19, 11:58 pm

Toot wrote:A certain someone continues to downplay the possible snow in parts of west TN but back in realityville the NWS in Paducah has issued Winter storm watches just a hair north of Dyersburg TN for 3-6 inches of heavy wet snow.
retard

Code:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
915 PM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

.LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
REGION ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING MOISTURE TO
OVERRIDE A VERY COLD DOME OF COLD AIR IN PLACE OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

MOZ100-107>110-114-201015-
/O.CON.KPAH.WS.A.0001.130321T1800Z-130322T1500Z/
WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...
POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...NEW MADRID
915 PM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...IT NOW APPEARS THAT LIGHT SNOW WILL BREAK OUT THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS FROM POPLAR BLUFF WESTWARD INTO
  THE OZARK FOOTHILLS. THE SNOW WILL LIKELY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES
  AS THE PRECIPITATION SHIFTS SOUTHEAST INTO THE MISSOURI BOOT
  HILL REGION LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING.

* MAIN IMPACT...THE MAIN IMPACT WITH THIS EVENT WILL COME WITH
  LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW AMOUNTS IN THE 3 TO 6 INCH RANGE. HIGHEST
  AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE OZARK FOOTHILLS WEST OF
  POPLAR BLUFF.

* OTHER IMPACTS...UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR IN PLACE PRIOR TO THE
  EXPECTED SNOWFALL AND THE FACT THAT THE MUCH OF THE EVENT WILL
  OCCUR DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND NIGHT TIME HOURS WILL
  INCREASE THE CHANCES OF DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. MANY
  ROADWAYS COULD QUICKLY BECOME SLICK AND HAZARDOUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT WOULD GREATLY IMPACT
TRAVEL. STAY TUNED FOR LATER STATEMENTS. THIS WATCH WILL BE
UPGRADED TO A WARNING IF WINTER STORM CONDITIONS BECOME MORE
CERTAIN.
Yeah, I'm always amazed at how some are so hostile towards anything showing snow...and it's like that all winter, not just because it's March

keithinala
Founding Member

Posts : 62
Join date : 2011-12-30

View user profile http://www.milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-20, 12:01 am

keithinala wrote: Yeah, I'm always amazed at how some are so hostile towards anything showing snow...and it's like that all winter, not just because it's March
Exactly Keith..good luck to you on the RPM there Smile

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by keithinala on 2013-03-20, 12:15 am

GFS

keithinala
Founding Member

Posts : 62
Join date : 2011-12-30

View user profile http://www.milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by keithinala on 2013-03-20, 6:26 am

euro

keithinala
Founding Member

Posts : 62
Join date : 2011-12-30

View user profile http://www.milkandbreadreport.wordpress.com

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Jed33 on 2013-03-20, 6:57 am

Lol at the GFS. Gives everyone but the plateau and Tri-Cities accumulating snow. Also a tiny sliver around Knoxville doesnt get anything. That is a wacky snowfall map. I guarantee thats not right. No way Morristown gets something when the plateau misses out. This one looks more favorable for W TN Middle TN, N MS, and AL/GA. How on earth it just decides to throw up a small blip around the lakeway area is funny.

Jed33
Admin

Posts : 930
Join date : 2011-12-09
Location : Morristown, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-20, 9:11 am

NAM continues to trend south with west TN over-running threat

Snow depth


Accumulated snowfall



_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by windstorm on 2013-03-20, 12:56 pm

Where lest we might see some snow down here. I will take it, if it's only a few flakes.
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-20, 4:50 pm

12z EURO and CMC both came significantly south again today. If the euro is correct and trends any further south it will be a crazy good snow storm. Here you can see secondary cyclogenesis taking over much more quickly than previous model runs. Interesting storm system this late in the year

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by John1122 on 2013-03-20, 7:51 pm

Very windy/cold/snow this evening. Wet nickel and quarter sized flakes blowing in sideways.

John1122
Winter Specialist

Posts : 885
Join date : 2011-12-06
Location : Campbell Co

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Snowfia on 2013-03-20, 7:58 pm

Quiet a change outside from 600pm to 800pm. Wind blowing starting to sleet/snow in Southern Campbell County.

Snowfia
Member

Posts : 12
Join date : 2013-01-13
Location : Campbell Co, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by John1122 on 2013-03-20, 8:31 pm

Snowfia wrote:Quiet a change outside from 600pm to 800pm. Wind blowing starting to sleet/snow in Southern Campbell County.

It's been snowing some big flakes up here on the mountain.

John1122
Winter Specialist

Posts : 885
Join date : 2011-12-06
Location : Campbell Co

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by etnwx on 2013-03-20, 8:40 pm

Sleet mixed with rain here in NW Knox county (for a short time).

_________________
My web site: http://www.etnwx.com
My Weather Underground data can be seen HERE.

avatar
etnwx
Storm Spotter

Posts : 313
Join date : 2012-10-25
Age : 48
Location : NW Knox County

View user profile http://www.etnwx.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Jed33 on 2013-03-20, 8:54 pm

Snowing in Morristown currently. 37 degrees

Jed33
Admin

Posts : 930
Join date : 2011-12-09
Location : Morristown, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Snowfia on 2013-03-20, 9:22 pm

Just sleeting here now. I just don't have the elevation like John probably has. My elevation is only about 1200 to 1300 feet. The wind is whipping though.

Snowfia
Member

Posts : 12
Join date : 2013-01-13
Location : Campbell Co, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Math/Met on 2013-03-20, 10:01 pm

Snowing in Greeneville as well. We actually had a brief dusting of snow on the grass and cars.

Math/Met
Meteorologist

Posts : 226
Join date : 2011-12-05

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by John1122 on 2013-03-21, 12:45 am

GFS has left the lakes and brings the low from Southern Louisiana to SE Kentucky.

I have a feeling it's going to go a bit more South and East.

John1122
Winter Specialist

Posts : 885
Join date : 2011-12-06
Location : Campbell Co

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-21, 8:28 am

John1122 wrote:GFS has left the lakes and brings the low from Southern Louisiana to SE Kentucky.

I have a feeling it's going to go a bit more South and East.

Yep..models starting to respond to the strong blocking. Probably going to get quite interesting pals

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 8 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum