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Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by VFL on 2013-03-23, 6:03 pm

A trace to 5" in the same area, dang Toot you work for MRX?
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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-23, 6:07 pm

VFL wrote:A trace to 5" in the same area, dang Toot you work for MRX?
LOL...its a Trace to .5" lmao

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Jscentraltn on 2013-03-23, 6:08 pm

Good map I say! Still room for a surprise! I was reading a forecast discussion from nws for the forecast and they said still a lot of uncertainties with forecast and position of lp! Only time will tell. popcorn

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-23, 6:17 pm

Thanks..Meanwhile.. its Snow weenie graphic time Smile

18z NAM



18z GFS



12zEURO stolen from DT's fb page

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Reb on 2013-03-23, 6:33 pm

id be freaking stoked with a dusting

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Dyersburg Weather on 2013-03-23, 7:02 pm

Damn. Kansas City to St. Louis has had an epic winter.

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Neals on 2013-03-23, 7:26 pm

VFL wrote:A trace to 5" in the same area, dang Toot you work for MRX?
What's up VFL? It looks like your letting Dooley's mistakes the last couple of years rub off on you.Lol. Here's to the Butch Slap! slap

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-23, 7:37 pm

Reb wrote:id be freaking stoked with a dusting


LOL lmao

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by VFL on 2013-03-23, 7:57 pm

Toot wrote:
VFL wrote:A trace to 5" in the same area, dang Toot you work for MRX?
LOL...its a Trace to .5" lmao
LMAO I really thought on your map it was 5".
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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by VFL on 2013-03-23, 7:59 pm

Neals wrote:
VFL wrote:A trace to 5" in the same area, dang Toot you work for MRX?
What's up VFL? It looks like your letting Dooley's mistakes the last couple of years rub off on you.Lol. Here's to the Butch Slap! slap
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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Jed33 on 2013-03-23, 8:01 pm

Lol Toot, I would like that for Mtown too! Haha

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Jed33 on 2013-03-23, 8:02 pm

Euro is certainly not being conservative for NE TN!


Last edited by Jed33 on 2013-03-23, 8:03 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Wrong entity not being conservative, lol)

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-23, 10:14 pm

Winter storm watches have been issued for the mountains and SW VA. I would have thought they would be needed for the northern plateau also but what do I know. While im at it there should be at least a special weather statement to cover possible light snow accumulations in the northern valley areas. Bristol/Kingsport/Johson City/Morristown/Greeneville! One wasnt issued in the northern valley last event and most of the northern valley got 2-3 inches! People were off in ditches that morning on the way to work because they watch the local tv forecasters who often just regurgitate what the NWS leads them to believe. I seen where WBIR had a "few flurries" for the weather on Monday
lol!

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-23, 11:12 pm

Just for comparison

Here is the actual upper low that slid through here back in early march


Here is this one as progged by the 0z NAM


This one is progged a little stronger/colder at 528DM compared to 534DM

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Grandpa Nasty on 2013-03-23, 11:20 pm

Scooby motherfucking Doo! Doing well with people losing against the spread ATS! Anyhoo..... wazzzzzzzzzup!! Is it really. This many beers?

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by ballpark on 2013-03-23, 11:25 pm

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/progs/index.php?prog=48

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-23, 11:26 pm

Grandpa Nasty wrote: This many beers?

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-24, 12:19 am

One last thought before Sleep

If the 0z GFS is correct and it probably is..after the cold front passes through highs will not get out of the 30's in many places until Thursday/Friday timeframe. This is totally a late December/early January type airmass. This may damage many trees thats already in bloom and I already bet that Mt. Leconte sees 15+ inches of snow with this system..there will be a strong secondary upper level sw/disturbance that will reinforce the snow/cold air. Crazy town for late March!

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Grandpa Nasty on 2013-03-24, 1:44 am

Sorry folks. Was at a bday party for my bother in law before I "fell asleep". Woke up and got home and realized I posted gibberish. Anyway, had a good downpour with lightning while my wife drove us home and complained just a little about me overdoing it. Let's get some good storms and/or a little snow here.

Once again, sorry for the gibberish.

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Neals on 2013-03-24, 11:12 am

VFL wrote:
Neals wrote:
VFL wrote:A trace to 5" in the same area, dang Toot you work for MRX?
What's up VFL? It looks like your letting Dooley's mistakes the last couple of years rub off on you.Lol. Here's to the Butch Slap! slap
"Your"?
Good point. pals I love/hate the iphone because it changes things will I type them.

As for the snow, man that stuff is really coming down in the mid states. I hope we get an early change over.

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Neals on 2013-03-24, 12:58 pm

None of the media outlets are advising snow/snow accumilations. Does anybody feel good about getting snow here in east tennessee?

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-24, 3:51 pm


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
327 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...OTHER THAN THE SLIGHTLY PROLONGED DRY SLOT THIS AFTERNOON...FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK. STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING NE FROM WRN KY THIS AFTERNOON WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TSRA HAVE BEEN PRODUCING 1/2 TO 3/4 INCH HAIL OVER MIDDLE TN...ALTHO INSTABILITY MAY DIMINISH BY THE TIME THIS ACTIVITY REACHES OUR WRN COUNTIES.

WESTERLY WINDS KICK IN AND RAIN SHOWERS CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 06Z MONDAY...AS THE LOW TRACKS FURTHER NE. TRENDED CLOSE TO PREVIOUS SNOW AMOUNTS IN THE WATCH AREA...WITH THE ADDITION OF GENERALLY 1 TO 3 INCH AMOUNTS FOR OUR PLATEAU COUNTIES AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF NE TN BY TUESDAY. LAPSE RATES ARE QUITE STEEP ON TUESDAY WITH LOW LEVEL CAPE NEAR 100 J/KG...SO ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMS AT LEAST THROUGH DAYTIME TUESDAY.

WATCH AREA WAS UPGRADED TO A WINTER STORM WARNING. STRONG GRADIENT IN PLACE BEHIND THE PASSING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...SO POSTED A WIND ADVISORY FOR ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN IN CHA AREA OVERNIGHT HAS SENT THE SOUTH CHICKAMAUGA CREEK ON A MINOR RISE TODAY...BUT APPEARS TO BE HEADED TOWARD ACREST BETWEEN 17 AND 18 FEET AT THIS POINT...JUST BELOW THE FLOOD STAGE OF 18 FEET.

THANKS TO ADJACENT NWS OFFICES FOR COORDINATION ON THIS LATE MARCH
WINTRY WEATHER SYSTEM.

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by John1122 on 2013-03-24, 4:29 pm

You'd think we'd at least get a WWA.

Tonight: Cloudy...breezy. Numerous rain showers until early morning. Isolated thunderstorms in the evening. Numerous snow showers after midnight. Snow accumulation up to 1 inch. Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph...increasing to 15 to 30 mph with gusts to near 40 mph. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

Monday: Cloudy. Snow showers likely in the morning...then snow showers and rain showers likely in the afternoon. Brisk. Snow accumulation up to 2 inches. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s. West winds 15 to 30 mph...with gusts to 40 mph. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

Monday Night: Cloudy. Rain showers and snow showers likely until early morning...then snow showers likely early in the morning. Snow accumulation up to 1 inch. Total snow accumulation up to 4 inches. Lows around 30. West winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by Toot on 2013-03-24, 5:20 pm

12z WRF-NMM

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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

Post by windstorm on 2013-03-24, 5:31 pm

NWS seems to think a change over somewhere around 06 z.
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Re: Accumulating Snow Possible Mar 24-26

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