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Severe storms possible April 16-19 2013

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tennessee storm09
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Severe storms possible April 16-19 2013 Empty Severe storms possible April 16-19 2013

Post by Toot 2013-04-15, 8:52 pm

Guidance models are indicating an intense mid latitude cyclone tracking from the state of Texas into the Great lakes region late this week. It has the potential to produce a widespread severe weather outbreak over much of the eastern US. As progged (18zGFS ensembles) it is the most impressive spring cyclone that I have seen yet this season with an unseasonbly cold airmass in the systems wake. System will have very large warm sector where discrete supercells cannot be ruled out. Timing is still up in the air with the more significant low later this week but there will also be a weaker disturbance tomorrow that could fire off some severe storms across the state.


Yes..that is 985Mb yikes
Severe storms possible April 16-19 2013 Rircc7
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Post by tennessee storm09 2013-04-15, 10:02 pm

yep toot, its a pretty impressive system... like you said, timing is still up in the air... but meg thinks this has a chance to effect west tn late afternoon into evening Thursday... I agree

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Post by Toot 2013-04-17, 1:35 pm

SPC goes moderate in the western part of Tenn!
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Post by Dyersburg Weather 2013-04-18, 12:22 pm

Damn. Things lining up to be interesting this afternoon.
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Post by Dyersburg Weather 2013-04-18, 1:01 pm

hurry

Severe storms possible April 16-19 2013 RAP_255_2013041812_F06_CAPE_SURFACE
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Post by Jscentraltn 2013-04-18, 7:50 pm

Only heavy rain and gusty winds with this system for us! We need a neg trough for us to have a big severe weather event. Yesterday should have been bad with tornado's. The cold air continues to undercut these systems so far! It will be may before we see any big outbreaks.
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Post by chaser2b 2013-04-18, 11:26 pm

Talk about a major failcast rfl

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Post by snowdog 2013-04-19, 10:11 am

Yep, I think I saw a stroke of lightning of 2. A bit breezy but overall it was pretty tame and lame.

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