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Early Winter 2013/14

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Post by windstorm 2013-11-21, 8:59 pm

That about what i think down here where i live. I said avg to above avg in my winter forecast. Am not big fan on 30 years averages . But i know the NWS goes by it. Thanks for the video.
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Post by windstorm 2013-11-22, 12:12 pm

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2013/20131121_winteroutlook.htmlNOAA Winter Forecast Nov, 21, 2013       there also a short video.pass out 
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Post by windstorm 2013-11-23, 1:23 am

One of our local weathermen winter forecast for Chattanooga, tn.http://www.wrcbtv.com/story/23872140/only-on-3-pauls-winter-weather-forcast
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Post by Jed33 2013-11-23, 12:28 pm

I split the topic now to make just an Early Winter 2013/14 thread. I meant to move Todd's forecast too, but didn't get it. Sorry Toot. However, here is a link for it, or you can access in the old forum Early, Early Winter.   http://bcove.me/haehoz4r

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Post by Jed33 2013-11-27, 10:06 am

Just take a look at the current snow cover!!! Top Left of this page. That is unreal for this time of year! Way Way ahead of anything we've seen in a long time. wash 

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Post by skillsweather 2013-11-27, 10:28 am

We are actually around the same as we was last year in snow and ice. Maybe a little less. But the difference is the cold isn't bottled up in Canada like it was last year.

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Post by Jed33 2013-11-27, 11:04 am

Man, I guess I got carried away seeing the snow cover here in E TN I just didn't remember it being that widespread last year or any other for that matter, this early in the year. I do remember there was an event in November, either last year or the year before in parts of Middle and West TN around this time sorta like the one we had last night here in E TN though.

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Post by IceMan23 2013-11-27, 3:00 pm

Anyone else hearing about a possible major snow/ice storm coming down the pipes around the Dec. 10-12th timeframe?? It follows a major arctic air outbreak around Dec. 7/8th. I heard this from DT, so I'm not just pulling shit out of my ass on this one lol.

Man, if even a light snow comes from this, then it's already been an active winter compared to the last few. Bring it on.

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Post by John1122 2013-11-27, 5:30 pm

It's impossible to tell that far out. DT is being a bit hyperbolic. I'm just hoping the cold will return in December.

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Post by Dyersburg Weather 2013-11-28, 2:24 am

I have been duck hunting for 40 years and it has NEVER been this cold on opening day of season. 19 here as of 1am.
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Post by John1122 2013-11-28, 2:36 am

I was just posting in the other thread, this reminds me of deer hunting in November 1989 with a bit of snow and temps in the mid teens.

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Post by weathertree4u 2013-11-28, 5:20 am

John1122 wrote:I was just posting in the other thread, this reminds me of deer hunting in November 1989 with a bit of snow and temps in the mid teens.
Down to 14 here in Northern Sumner County - colder than any temp last Winter

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Post by windstorm 2013-11-28, 7:13 am

IMBY 18 degrees so far this year. Lowest it got last year all winter was 17. Snow Flurries were the rule yesterday, not a lot but enough to say i seen it. Highs stayed in the mid 30's for most of the day.
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Post by Jscentraltn 2013-11-28, 12:23 pm

It's starting to look like around or just before the middle of dec that we could be seeing another storm. popcorn 
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Post by John1122 2013-11-28, 4:44 pm

The GFS popped this up for next weekend. Almost assuredly a fantasy.

Early Winter 2013/14 Snowde10

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Post by skillsweather 2013-11-28, 7:18 pm

Dang all of Canada gets good snow.. Like the whole Canada area is at least getting what our "fantasy" storm will bring.. Sad

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Post by windstorm 2013-11-29, 12:08 pm

This looks interesting. But way out there. And the GFS loses storms a lot of time only to pick them up again 3 to 4 day's before it happens. But anyway it's good to look at.http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/gfs/18/gfs_namer_336_1000_500_thick.gif
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Post by etnwx 2013-11-29, 2:21 pm

Down to 21.1 this morning, and was down to 19.7 yesterday morning. Glad I wasn't out shopping this morning, but then again, with stores now opening at 6, 8 pm on Thanksgiving, it has took all the fun out of black Friday shopping.

Thanksgiving evening is ment to be spent with family and friends, not standing in line freezing your balls off. Just my opinion. Sorry for the rant.
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Post by Jscentraltn 2013-11-29, 5:47 pm

The next front looks to stall out just south of us due to the ridge in place. could get interesting with overrunning coming out of next weekend into the following week! Still a ways out. sneaky 
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Post by Jscentraltn 2013-11-30, 11:00 am

I think the models still are not handling the artic air next weekend very well. I think it comes in faster. The gfs is close. Could end up with a lot of overrunning winter precip here in middle tn. uh oh 
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Post by ballpark 2013-12-01, 7:32 pm

I thought I might need to get my password. It looks like we have a good winter storm to watch this coming week. Its is looking like an epic ICE Storm to me.

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Post by wxgeek 2013-12-02, 5:16 pm

This tweet of the Euro from Ryan Maue shows 30+F below normal 850hPa over Paducah and heading this way 6am Saturday.  That's trended about 12 hours faster in the last couple of days but otherwise holding firm to its ideas.  

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/407591501888106496/photo/1/large

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