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White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Neals on 2013-11-24, 5:39 pm

Toot wrote:
John1122 wrote:JKL is saying 1 inch minimum for their area, with 2-4 or 3-5 not out of the question. With higher amounts in the higher ridges. They are mulling a winter storm watch and expect 6-9 hours of heavy snow Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
Thanks for the info John..looks like an interesting one for sure.


On a different note.. lets just forget about the drunk person (Jasper) who used to be a big part of this forum but went by another name then! Lets try and stick to the likely snow we're about to see smoke 
Sounds wise. So what type of set up will this be a Nor Easter? The tenn/nc border looks like it should do well.

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Toot on 2013-11-24, 5:49 pm

HPC really upped their probabilities for the eastern half of the state Wed-Thu timeframe!


Most of east TN has a 60% chance of seeing snowfall of an inch or above according to the HPC


Last edited by Toot on 2013-11-24, 6:20 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Toot on 2013-11-24, 5:55 pm

Neals wrote:
Sounds wise. So what type of set up will this be a Nor Easter? The tenn/nc border looks like it should do well.
Yep..classic Nor'easter although the surface circulation looks like it will be elongated tempering down the cold air advection and snowfall amounts. The mountains will do well..im sure Leconte will likley get at least 10-12in! I think me and another guy are gonna chase this one up into the mtns and get some good video footage but im not sure yet

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by IceMan23 on 2013-11-24, 7:22 pm

HPC also gives my area a 50% shot of seeing more than 2 inches, and a 20% chance of seeing more than 4... "so you're saying there is a chance!! Yeahhh!!!!"

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by John1122 on 2013-11-24, 7:24 pm

GFS is putting a bullseye right over the Northern Plateau for 2-4 inches.

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Jscentraltn on 2013-11-24, 9:26 pm

New Nam run is looking a little wetter for all of the mid state. Still running though.

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Jscentraltn on 2013-11-24, 9:32 pm

It looks like the northern energy is going to be just ahead of the southern energy. They really never phase to really wrap up this storm. Still impressive for this time of year. I will take what I get. Very Happy 

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Toot on 2013-11-24, 9:43 pm

The NAM slaps east TN with a pretty good thump from the comma head..the last time I seen one of these deformation bands was last year when I got thundersnow on video 
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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Jed33 on 2013-11-24, 10:23 pm

Yep remember that one we'll Toot! Only the second time I've ever seen thundersnow lets make it three shall we. Would be nice, but I'm not getting my hopes up for more thundersnow. Looks like at least we'll get to see a little pre thanksgiving flakes for the second time in two weeks! I've never seen that much November snow

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by John1122 on 2013-11-25, 1:03 am

Both the 00z NAM and 00z GFS hold onto the idea of up to an inch in the valley, with 2-4 in the Plateau and 3-6 in the mountains.

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Vanster67 on 2013-11-25, 1:51 am

hello John. I candeal with 2-4 how about you?
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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by John1122 on 2013-11-25, 3:52 am

Hey Van, I'd deal fine. I'm thinking about half what the models are showing below 2500-3000 feet. Probably 1-2 inches here.

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Pman1618 on 2013-11-25, 8:15 am

So what do you guys think Nashville will get?

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by skillsweather on 2013-11-25, 9:33 am

Dusting at most. Probably nothing but maybe a light dusting on top of roofs and cars and decks. Mainly just snow in the air but it will be windy so the snow will be blowing around. Bigger snow will miss us to the east with the heavier precip.

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by joereb1 on 2013-11-25, 11:12 am

Hey guys, I just moved to Corryton near the Union County border from W. Knoxville. Should I expect at least an inch?worry

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by VFL on 2013-11-25, 1:15 pm

Can't believe roads are being pre-treated in Knox Co. Seems like a waste IMO, unless they are worried about the onset of sleet. Temp is just 36' here, suppose to be near 45.
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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Dyersburg Weather on 2013-11-25, 1:24 pm

Well started as rain sleet mix at 34 degrees. Now 30 degrees with sleet and a few flakes mixed in. Roofs and such starting to get white.

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by skillsweather on 2013-11-25, 1:32 pm

Wow nice lol maybe we will get something today too. (ofc nothing big but I was only expecting flakes to mix in with the rain today not anything on ground or roofs) Still hoping for my dusting tomorrow!Very Happy 

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Jed33 on 2013-11-25, 1:40 pm

VFL wrote:Can't believe roads are being pre-treated in Knox Co. Seems like a waste IMO, unless they are worried about the onset of sleet. Temp is just 36' here, suppose to be near 45.


I saw the same thing on I 81 awhile ago. I thought hmm what happens when we get 2-3in of rain? No more brine,lol. We will be back where we were last Jan. lot of similarities to that storm,it's just that I don't this one will put down 5in here like that one did

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by VFL on 2013-11-25, 2:13 pm

Jed33 wrote:
VFL wrote:Can't believe roads are being pre-treated in Knox Co. Seems like a waste IMO, unless they are worried about the onset of sleet. Temp is just 36' here, suppose to be near 45.
I saw the same thing on I 81 awhile ago. I thought hmm what happens when we get 2-3in of rain? No more brine,lol. We will be back where we were last Jan. lot of similarities to that storm,it's just that I don't this one will put down 5in here like that one did
Yeah but that was the fastest 4" of snow I've ever seen here in Knox Co. Took me 3 1/2 hours to get home for a 25 min drive. Crazy
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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Dyersburg Weather on 2013-11-25, 2:28 pm

Mostly rain mixed with a little sleet now. 31 degrees

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Pman1618 on 2013-11-25, 3:53 pm

It is snowing in Lebanon near Nashville,,,,amazing

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by Toot on 2013-11-25, 4:04 pm

MRX says 3-6 in NE TN/ SW VA and the Mtns. Also say .5-2in on plateau and in the valley

Code:
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
316 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-260430-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...ONEIDA...
LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL...SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...
BRISTOL...MOUNTAIN CITY...WARTBURG...CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...
MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN...NEWPORT...COSBY...
GREENEVILLE...CEDAR CREEK...JOHNSON CITY...ERWIN...ELIZABETHTON...
ROAN MOUNTAIN...KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...
MARYVILLE...CADES COVE...SEVIERVILLE...GATLINBURG...DUNLAP...
PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE...
COKER CREEK...JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND...BENTON...
DUCKTOWN...JONESVILLE...WISE...NORTON...GATE CITY...LEBANON...
ABINGDON
316 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013 /216 PM CST MON NOV 25 2013/

...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...

A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE
INITIAL IMPACTS FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING
RAIN TONIGHT...THEN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND PERHAPS SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING DUE TO THE PERSISTENT RAINS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.

TONIGHT...RAIN WILL FALL THROUGH A VERY DRY AIR MASS GENERALLY ALONG AND
NORTH OF A HUNTSVILLE TN TO TRI-CITIES TO MOUNTAIN CITY LINE. THIS
WILL CAUSE SOME OF THE RAIN TO FREEZE ON CONTACT AS TEMPERATURES IN
THESE AREAS FALL BELOW FREEZING FOR A FEW HOURS TONIGHT. THE
SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL RISE OVERNIGHT AND EVENTUALLY ANY ICE
THAT ACCUMULATES WILL MELT RATHER QUICKLY. HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR
DURING THE DAY TUESDAY.

COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT...CHANGING THE
RAIN OVER TO SNOW IN THE PLATEAU AND VALLEY LATE TUESDAY
EVENING...WITH THE REST OF THE AREA CHANGING FROM RAIN TO SNOW
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3-6 INCHES COULD BE
POSSIBLE IN NORTHEAST TN...SOUTHWEST VA...AND THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. ACCUMULATIONS OF HALF OF AN INCH TO 2 INCHES COULD BE
POSSIBLE IN THE PLATEAU AND VALLEY. ACCUMULATIONS MAINLY ON
ELEVATED SURFACES AND GRASSY AREAS...WITH SOME MELTING ON THE ROADWAYS.

WITH THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY APPROACHING...THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS STORM SYSTEM AND STAY AWARE OF
THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATES.
I will make my call later this evening but it will likely allow for 2-4in on the plateau and 4-12in in the mtns. I like a possible dusting for the southern valley around Chat and a dusting to 2 inches in the central valley. 2-4in in the Northern valley including TRI

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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by windstorm on 2013-11-25, 4:10 pm

This may be eye candy for Chattanooga but it looks good. Notice in the snowfall column.http://68.226.77.253/text/MESOSFC/NAM_kcha.txt
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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

Post by windstorm on 2013-11-25, 4:12 pm

Every once in a great while we get back lash snow but it's about like finding a needle in a hay stack, but it happens. RARE........
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Re: White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

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