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Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Toot on 2014-01-05, 10:37 am

Models backing way off on snow accumulations statewide. The valley will be lucky to squeak out an inch from the front itself. Hopefully the arctic airmass will squeeze out a little more with the NW flow

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by VFL on 2014-01-05, 11:44 am

Toot wrote:Models backing way off on snow accumulations statewide. The valley will be lucky to squeak out an inch from the front itself. Hopefully the arctic airmass will squeeze out a little more with the NW flow

What? The GFS and NAM snow overlays look better today than yesterday.
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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Toot on 2014-01-05, 1:47 pm

VFL wrote:

What? The GFS and NAM snow overlays look better today than yesterday.
The window for accumulating synoptic snow will be very short but intense. It could lay down an inch in about 45 mins time. Very tricky forecast..I think the plateau will do the best with the frontal snow

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Pman1618 on 2014-01-05, 2:30 pm

So u guys still the same on accumulation totals in middle tennessee? About 1-2 inches?

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Toot on 2014-01-05, 2:45 pm

Pman1618 wrote:So u guys still the same on accumulation totals in middle tennessee? About 1-2 inches?
I would say more like an inch possible in The Nashville area but lets keep on the radar to se how well models are handling this

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by VFL on 2014-01-05, 2:55 pm

IDK what breaks my heart worse right now. Watching PGA play golf in Hawaii..... Or watching our snow chances dwindling by the minute.
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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Neals on 2014-01-05, 3:21 pm

Well the one thing that helps east tn is the sun will be set by the time the moisture gets here. But, I guess it don't look to good. Crying or Very sad 

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by OakRidgeWeatherGuy on 2014-01-05, 4:25 pm

I'm afraid this one is going to be a bust..NWS in Nashville just cancelled the WWA for all of middle TN. Not looking too good at all now for east TN. No snow is being reported at all in west TN..Afraid this one is is a bust.

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Jed33 on 2014-01-05, 4:55 pm

How is MRX reasoning that this might work out. I mean, it's not even going to work out on their part of the plateau, it's not gonna work out here I guess, unless somehow the front speeds up? Is this what they must be banking on?

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by VFL on 2014-01-05, 5:18 pm

Some areas could get a quick 1/2 from NW flow.
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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by John1122 on 2014-01-05, 5:26 pm

I expect MRX to probably cancel the WWA they have up for most places. If you squeeze out an inch, consider yourself fortunate. I wouldn't be surprised to see dustings more common. The flow is out of the west, and not off the Great Lakes, so not much flow moisture to work with.

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Toot on 2014-01-05, 6:31 pm

I'm headed to Max patch elev 4629 to ride out this one

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by VFL on 2014-01-05, 6:33 pm

New area of snow/sleet has developed behind the cold front. #itaintoveryet
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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Toot on 2014-01-05, 6:33 pm

I'm headed to Max patch elev 4629 to ride out this one

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Snowfia on 2014-01-05, 6:53 pm

Wind is howling up here on the ridge in Southern Campbell County. Can't imagine the wind at elev 4629.

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Jed33 on 2014-01-05, 7:35 pm

Toot wrote:I'm headed to Max patch elev 4629 to ride out this one
I love that place! Didn't know you could stay up there though, is there a lodge? Or, you just camping?

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Jscentraltn on 2014-01-05, 8:25 pm

That precp that was behind the front was sleet for 2 min then heavy snow for about 10 min we got about 1/2" on the ground still flurries. But looking at the radar returns to my nw in kentucky looks like some snowshowers heading down this way!

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by VFL on 2014-01-05, 8:25 pm

Wow thunder snow in Nashville. Also I'm seeing colder air over take the rain faster than I thought it would.
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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Pman1618 on 2014-01-05, 9:07 pm

Man o man, got about 3/4 inch here in Lebanon. Pretty impressive I have to say.

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Neals on 2014-01-05, 9:54 pm

Toot wrote:I'm headed to Max patch elev 4629 to ride out this one
Nice! I wish I had the opportunity! Be Careful! it's going to be slick and cold! Hope you took a camera!

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Neals on 2014-01-05, 10:05 pm

Anybody else getting any accum snow?

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by VFL on 2014-01-05, 10:34 pm

Reports of heavy snow from Crossville to Jamestown.
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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by VFL on 2014-01-05, 11:17 pm

Report of 2" in Monterey at exit 330 on I-40.
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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by Jed33 on 2014-01-05, 11:43 pm

Front just passed through here in NE Morristown heavy heavy rain and gusty winds.

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

Post by etnwx on 2014-01-05, 11:52 pm

39.3 and falling quickly with light to moderate rain. Winds gusting up to 30MPH.

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Re: Arctic Outbreak/Snow Jan 5-8 2013

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