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Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-11-01, 8:57 am

As of yesterday evening U.S. 441 is close. You can call 865-436-1200 for more info on weather and road closes in the Smokie Mts.. Just listen too the menu. Here last night we had sleet and a mix of rain and little snow at 39 degrees around midnight. It was 37 when i woke up this morning with wind gust of 25 MPH.
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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Toot on 2014-11-01, 10:32 am

Outside my window..Del Rio, TN pushing 10 inches now!





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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-11-01, 10:54 am

That what u have at ur house now !! Wow. Don't hog all the snow this winter.LOL. Enjoy the day...
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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-11-01, 6:20 pm

We set a record today for the lowest high temperature of 45 ever recorded on Nov. 1. My high today was about the same at 44 with off and on sun. Most if not all day stayed cloudy. Low tonight is going down in the 20's.
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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by etnwx on 2014-11-02, 4:30 pm

My total rain for October was 6.82" which is about 3 times as much as normal. I didn't see any snow here, not even a dusting. I suspect there might have been some flurries.

Our high yesterday was 39.4, and our low this morning was 28.7. I suspect we'll hit the upper 20's again to night.

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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Neals on 2014-11-02, 4:47 pm

Snow might come back nov. 12th timeframe.

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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Grandpa Nasty on 2014-11-02, 6:54 pm

Just got back to Chattanooga. Good news is there was a shit ton of snow in the mountains. The bad news is the only pics I got were from Pigeon Forge as all the roads were closed. Anyway, hope everyone has a great Xmas as we knocked out a lot of shopping while we were there, as well as a few bevs. Stay safe.


Last edited by Grandpa Nasty on 2014-11-02, 7:19 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : was/were...Does anyone really care what is correct?)

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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-11-29, 11:24 am

Looks like going into December temps will be mild. The first 6 to 10 days. Some are saying maybe a change mid month, others are saying it may be the warmest month of winter. ...DJF. So we will wait and see. Don't C any blocking taking hold in the first week of December.Sure hope it set up for a snowy and some what cold winter. But it early, early yet. So it will be interesting to watch what happens as winter is on it's way. Hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving...bounce
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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Neals on 2014-11-29, 7:36 pm

You too, windstorm.

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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Jscentraltn on 2014-11-30, 8:55 am

It reminds me a lot like last winter.... There are so many things going on the models are struggling, but it is going to be mild for some compared to nov. the thing is it will be normal.. for some to say warm or hot is not true! Every time the models shows a big warm up for a time period as we approach it is cooler and even colder than what it showed. Be patient because once the cold air comes back the southern branch will be very active, it will be game on..... Smile

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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-11-30, 9:57 am

Am ready for it to lock in on the cold. Not that I like paying high electric bills.
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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Jscentraltn on 2014-11-30, 7:56 pm

Very sharp contrast in temps to the nw. Going to be interesting to see how far se it makes it! Once it retreats how far north it actually goes.... Fun times in the weather.. Canadian model says cold comes back sooner than the other models that are showing a Period of warm? We will see Smile

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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by VFL on 2014-11-30, 8:02 pm

I think besides a few cool snaps it's gonna be the first of Jan before the pattern changes and settles in. This year reminds me of a few years back (can't remember the year) it seemed like the models where always predicting cold pattern change two weeks away and it seems like this year has started the same way. I'm sure eventually it'll flip to cold but IMO that may be a while.
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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Toot on 2014-12-01, 10:48 am

Im not looking for a pattern change..its pretty much the same one we wuz in last winter..ran all the way through summer! Its prob reloading which will mean a week or so of milder temps. Watch the tropical system in the pacific as it recurves.. it will likely be the catalyst that sends the next arctic intrusion/snow chances our way..

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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Jscentraltn on 2014-12-01, 10:27 pm

The Canadian is still showing by next week some very cold air.... I'm not thinking it will be that cold, but it has merit though! The euro is showing cold as well by next tue but not as cold as the Canadian... They do show some type of system coming though at the same time if the southern and northern could phase its poss it could be a healthy storm, but over a week away.... Very Happy

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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-12-02, 1:30 pm

I take it that the GFS has not lock in on the cold. But sooner or later the cold will come. More like later I guess.I have look at the GFS and as of right now GFS is not really showing anything. But always watching and waiting.May be late in the month before the change comes. But that OK.
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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Toot on 2014-12-03, 7:20 am

Early morning guidance model runs now coming into agreement with significant winter storm for parts of the east around Dec 10th as the pattern around the Arctic flips!!


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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by VFL on 2014-12-03, 11:24 am

That must be an ULL.
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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Jscentraltn on 2014-12-03, 7:33 pm

Just looking at the models, the euro is still showing a big cut off low coming down over our area.... It's going to be interesting to see the out come. It looks like any decent snow chance would still be east of my area..

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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Neals on 2014-12-27, 6:20 pm

No wày. They better win 2morrow in hopes of a bye. I don't think they can beat Greenbay or Arizona.

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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Neals on 2014-12-27, 6:21 pm

Sorry wrong thread.

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Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

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