WRF cast
Satellite Loop
Current Watches
Current Snow Cover
Conus Radar
Regional Radar
Tennessee Radar
SE RADAR
Enlarge
24 hr Temp change
Current MDs
Regional Temps
Conus Temps
Current CPC NAO and forecast
Top posters
Toot (6644)
 
Stovepipe (4148)
 
Adam2014 (1424)
 
tennessee storm09 (1302)
 
Jed33 (930)
 
windstorm (891)
 
John1122 (885)
 
snowdog (855)
 
Homemommy (824)
 
WxFreak (812)
 


Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Page 8 of 10 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-15, 5:24 pm

So where are they coming up with less than an inch of snow and no ice accumulation for me? That seems like quite a drastic cut off to me.

Pamphobeteus
Member

Posts : 94
Join date : 2015-02-14

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-15, 5:26 pm

I live nw of Nashville, almost to Clarksville..

_________________
REMEMBER!!!!!! The day when man and dinasouar walked the earth together..... In the beginning things were good!
avatar
Jscentraltn
Admin

Posts : 703
Join date : 2013-01-19
Age : 38
Location : Cheatham county

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Toot on 2015-02-15, 5:31 pm

Neals wrote:Toot, that euro map don't look as great for our backyard as far as being epic? Do you have any thoughts about our county?

I'll take 4-5 inches and run with it!! Just hope we dont get the half inch of ice beer

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Neals on 2015-02-15, 5:51 pm

Half inch of ice. Omg, I hope not.

Neals
Member

Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by underdawg45 on 2015-02-15, 5:51 pm

Toot are you going to put out a map with prediction of snow totals

underdawg45
Member

Posts : 30
Join date : 2013-01-15
Location : dandridge tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Toot on 2015-02-15, 5:56 pm

underdawg45 wrote:Toot are you going to put out a map with prediction of  snow totals

Hell..ive put out two graphics and models are still changing as we speak...the GFS just came back south with the heavy snow in TN instead of KY...at this point im throwing my hands up facepalm

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-15, 5:59 pm

I have been saying this all day... Something doesn't feel right with this one. I am still going with snow for most of TN. I find it disturbing that the models don't have a handle on this yet

Pamphobeteus
Member

Posts : 94
Join date : 2015-02-14

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by underdawg45 on 2015-02-15, 6:01 pm

Lmao.. It's gonna be crazy

underdawg45
Member

Posts : 30
Join date : 2013-01-15
Location : dandridge tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Neals on 2015-02-15, 6:14 pm

Toot wrote:
Neals wrote:Toot, that euro map don't look as great for our backyard as far as being epic? Do you have any thoughts about our county?

I'll take 4-5 inches and run with it!! Just hope we dont get the half inch of ice beer

Can I double down on that low tracking a little more south please. I would rather win 10 inches of snow instead of winnng all that ice.
whiskey

Neals
Member

Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-15, 6:15 pm

Toot Can you share that graphic with the GFS?

Pamphobeteus
Member

Posts : 94
Join date : 2015-02-14

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Math/Met on 2015-02-15, 6:22 pm

I keep looking at the NAM regarding the strong WAA at 850mb. Notice how strong the 850mb flow is with this system. The NAM has a tendency to do this with regards to wrapping up the 850mb low and bringing in an artificially strong 850mb LLJ.  In fact, I’ve seen it do this a couple of time this fall and winter,  only to have the short range models shift the LLJ significantly south and east of the region as the system approaches. I usually keep a close eye on this because of my research with mountain waves.

This certainly isn’t a guarantee, but it is something to keep an eye on. Any weakening or shift of this LLJ would help our chances by weakening WAA into the area.



Last edited by Math/Met on 2015-02-15, 6:27 pm; edited 2 times in total

Math/Met
Meteorologist

Posts : 226
Join date : 2011-12-05

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Neals on 2015-02-15, 6:26 pm

Nice math met! Double down it is!

Neals
Member

Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Toot on 2015-02-15, 6:30 pm

Pamphobeteus wrote:Toot Can you share that graphic with the GFS?

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-15, 6:34 pm

Wow the GFS really changed everything. I am reporting sleet here

Pamphobeteus
Member

Posts : 94
Join date : 2015-02-14

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-15, 6:44 pm

About an hr ago had a small snow shower move through.....

_________________
REMEMBER!!!!!! The day when man and dinasouar walked the earth together..... In the beginning things were good!
avatar
Jscentraltn
Admin

Posts : 703
Join date : 2013-01-19
Age : 38
Location : Cheatham county

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Math/Met on 2015-02-15, 7:26 pm

MRX video

Math/Met
Meteorologist

Posts : 226
Join date : 2011-12-05

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Toot on 2015-02-15, 7:53 pm

Not to take away from the seriousness of the MRX vid I present the hillbilly weatherman...lol


_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by etnvolman on 2015-02-15, 7:58 pm

Outstanding toot !!! Loved it lol

etnvolman
Member

Posts : 23
Join date : 2013-02-08
Age : 47
Location : sevierville,tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Pman1618 on 2015-02-15, 9:35 pm

0z nam looks pretty good for Nashville area

Pman1618
Member

Posts : 52
Join date : 2012-12-30

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by underdawg45 on 2015-02-15, 10:22 pm

Well local weather guys saying we get pretty much nothing.... This winter stinks

underdawg45
Member

Posts : 30
Join date : 2013-01-15
Location : dandridge tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-15, 10:31 pm

The 0z nam is even further north.... Starting to look like now, even for me all out sleet storm. Instead of a nice snow storm, it still shows around a few inches of snow along the tn/ky border, but..... Who knows? I'll look at the gfs before I go to bed.

_________________
REMEMBER!!!!!! The day when man and dinasouar walked the earth together..... In the beginning things were good!
avatar
Jscentraltn
Admin

Posts : 703
Join date : 2013-01-19
Age : 38
Location : Cheatham county

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by weatherbob on 2015-02-15, 10:37 pm

check out my graphic i made[img][/img]

weatherbob
Member

Posts : 28
Join date : 2015-02-12

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Toot on 2015-02-15, 10:42 pm

I'll take the nam too..beggers cant be choosers!!


_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-15, 10:58 pm

I'll take the 0z gfs It looks better! I think the nam is still overdoing the waa.. Gfs a lot snowier look Smile

_________________
REMEMBER!!!!!! The day when man and dinasouar walked the earth together..... In the beginning things were good!
avatar
Jscentraltn
Admin

Posts : 703
Join date : 2013-01-19
Age : 38
Location : Cheatham county

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Neals on 2015-02-15, 11:01 pm

No ice. THEN ME TOO.

Neals
Member

Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 8 of 10 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum