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Possible 25-26 snow

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Toot on 2015-02-23, 6:31 pm

Pamphobeteus wrote:Toot your pretty far north aren't you? Wouldn't this put you out of the snow entirely?
No im in Cocke county, TN...more south than north. Gateway to the Smokies

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by weatherbob on 2015-02-23, 6:34 pm

Toot i'm in greeneville so I'm the next county over.

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-23, 6:39 pm

Well you to have a much better chance of getting a little bit more snow than me. However it does still only look like maybe a couple of inches for both of you

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Toot on 2015-02-23, 7:15 pm

MRX calling for about 4 inches near here..there usually a little conservative!!

MRX wrote:.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL
LINGER ALONG THE MOUNTAINS TUESDAY NIGHT WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
EXPECTED. A SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH GA ON WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE TN VALLEY ON
WEDNESDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL DRAW DEEPER MOISTURE BACK INTO THE E TN
VALLEY AND THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. GOOD LIFT DEVELOPS LATE
WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING
SNOW WILL WORK N INTO THE AREA MAINLY OVERNIGHT. NW EXTENT OF SNOW
REMAINS IN QUESTION BUT SW NC AND THE SMOKIES SHOULD RECEIVE AMOUNTS
APPROACHING 4 INCHES
. FORTUNATELY...SHORT WAVE MOVES THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY WITH A DROP OFF IN LAYER MOISTURE. LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE
MAINLY ACROSS NW FACING SLOPES. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE WELL BELOW
NORMAL...ESPECIALLY DAY TIME HIGHS. LARGE SURFACE RIDGE SETTLES
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. WARMING TEMPERATURES AND RAIN
MOVES INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AND CONTINUES ON MONDAY.

If the NAM verifies wouldnt expect much less than 6 inches here...almost a perfect setup for us in east TN

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-23, 7:28 pm

The nam is better at the closed lows out of the sw..... I look for the other models to see this Tomorrow.... Southern tn a few years back, if I remember correct got hammered from a ull. They were calling for a inch or so and many places ended up with all most a foot of snow.. Of course I got zero... But the point is ull's can dump a lot of snow in a short time... Fun to watch....

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-23, 8:50 pm

Here is the snow in mid tn from that storm! That is not on any model....

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-23, 9:34 pm

Yes that model depicts snow in middle TN... Where are the projected amounts?

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-23, 9:38 pm

Maybe you can give us some! Lol... I'm waiting on the 0z hi res nam to finish running, then I will post it along with the nam snowfall totals... 0z run is even further north!

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-23, 9:47 pm

So what is the ETA on you posting that information?

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-23, 9:48 pm

Here are the totals from the 0z nam! As soon as the hires runs I'll post the sim radar....

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-23, 9:52 pm

Here it is hi res radar....

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-23, 9:54 pm

To me that looks more than a dusting, In middle tn.... Jmo....

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-23, 9:57 pm

Okay so over southern middle Tennessee then the predictions are about 2 inches. I really don't consider that a snowstorm. Now over the mountains it looks like they're going to get quite a hefty snow maybe eight 910 inches of snow. To me that significant but it looks like middle Tennessee is going to dodge a bullet.

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-23, 9:58 pm

Isn't it possible that that model run could be bullish on the snowfall totals?

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-23, 10:06 pm

It is poss, also it is poss that it doesn't even happen! But ull are very dynamic and can put down a lot of snow in just a 3 to 4 hr window, like 4-6 inches if not more! But we will have to wait and see if the trend continues but I don't think the gfs is right. The 12z euro took the inbetween road by 12z to 18z runs tomorrow it should be clear...

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-23, 10:11 pm

ANY ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM WAYNESBORO TO MURFREESBORO TO CROSSVILLE. AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY RANGE FROM A DUSTING TO AROUND ONE INCH.
This is from the special weather statement from the NWS. They don't sound too hyped up about accumulations

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-23, 10:12 pm

Winter storm is 4 inches  or more! It is tn, people can't drive in a 1/2 inch of snow! So 2-3 is a big deal....

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-23, 10:17 pm

They never really do!!!! I remember back in early 2000's we had a storm hit, they were calling for light snow, dusting accums. It started snowing around 6:30 or 7 o clock that morning... By 10 or 11 we had about 7inches of snow on the ground everyone was stuck, kids in school, salt trucks, delv businesses... They then at that point issued a heavy snow warning. So these things really have to be watched..

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-23, 10:52 pm

Not even going to post the gfs, it's has been consistent with what it thinks.... The last to runs have came north just very slightly, not even enough to make a diffrence... Check back in the morning.....

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Neals on 2015-02-23, 10:55 pm

GFS being stingy. club

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-23, 11:13 pm

Dusting at best...

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by weatherbob on 2015-02-24, 8:14 am

We have 2 inches in greeneville tn

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by snowman72 on 2015-02-24, 8:27 am

4.5 inches here and still snowing, will post pics soon

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Knoxtron on 2015-02-24, 8:30 am

4" in West Knox / Hardin Valley and coming down hard. Roads are atrocious

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-24, 8:49 am

Looks like my dusty prediction is going to verify.

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

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