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Possible 25-26 snow

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pman1618 on 2015-02-24, 9:07 pm

Man, I would love for Toot's map to come true because I live in Lebanon, tn...but honestly I see more like maximum of an inch occurring here. But you're map shows 5-8

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by windstorm on 2015-02-25, 8:27 am

NWS has me up to 3 to 6 inches of snow now.
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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-25, 10:10 am

Is it just me or does that precip shield look like it will be farther north than what is forecast

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-25, 10:18 am

The 12z nam brought it a littler furthe nw..... But they really still don't have a good handle on it! If you look at the nws forecast they say if, if, if , it shifts a littler further north or south it will change the accums, of course... I still think I may be to far nw for anything good.. But you may get a few inches over your way.... It is a nowcasting situation...

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-25, 10:20 am

With work I really haven't had time to look at anything!

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-25, 10:21 am

What do you mean by a little to far nw for anything good. The farther me the better right

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-25, 10:25 am

I live in cheatham county, which is nw of Nashville.... 24 w toward Clarksville. I'm about 10 miles from Clarksville..... Does anyone know where the low center is located right now? I can't check at work! Going to be a long day...

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Toot on 2015-02-25, 10:26 am

The NAM is def a little different..lol beer


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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-25, 10:31 am

Toot how was the Nam different from previous runs?

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-25, 10:34 am

From what I seen before I came in, the nam was showing some good banding setting up from about Nashville east! Toot Do you think it still has some more room for a north shift? All I need from what you posted on the new nam totals, is about a 30 to 50 mile shift!

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-25, 10:35 am

I'm not toot, but from the 6z to the 12z more and heavier precip for the mid state.... A lot more from the previous 6z run...

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Toot on 2015-02-25, 10:35 am

Pamphobeteus wrote:Toot how was the Nam different from previous runs?
Precip further north and west

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-25, 10:37 am

So how is this looking for me in McMinnville?

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-25, 10:40 am

Your good! Prob 2-4. Maybe more maybe less! According to the nws..... Lol! Someone is going to get creamed!!!

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Toot on 2015-02-25, 10:43 am

Jscentraltn wrote: Toot Do you think it still has some more room for a north shift? All I need from what you posted on the new nam totals, is about a 30 to 50 mile shift!
There is a little wiggle room..I think you'll get a couple of inches unless this thing really overperforms and it very well could

Pamphobeteus wrote:So how is this looking for me in McMinnville?
That last run of the NAM had about 4 inches in McMinnville

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by snowman72 on 2015-02-25, 11:04 am

Toot first question is along the foothills still in a good spot? And second is the storm losing some it's punch?

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Toot on 2015-02-25, 11:20 am

snowman72 wrote:Toot first question is along the foothills still in a good spot? And second is the storm losing some it's punch?
The foothills seem to be as good a spot as any in TN and no..this one is just starting to get wound up

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-25, 11:20 am

Toot do you think higher totals are possible in TN then what the NAM is showing

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-25, 11:22 am

Also wouldn't the totals that the Nam is suggesting currently warrant winter storm warning's to be issued?

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pman1618 on 2015-02-25, 11:34 am

Ok, so I live about 20 miles east of nashville. About how much snow are we talking about getting here?

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-25, 12:17 pm

When is new model information due out?

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Toot on 2015-02-25, 12:59 pm

Ok I made a graphic for the whole eastern US and im not able to fine tune that one as easy as something smaller scale. So with the storm approaching here is a TN only call map from me.


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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Math/Met on 2015-02-25, 3:29 pm

Toot wrote:Ok I made a graphic for the whole eastern US and im not able to fine tune that one as easy as something smaller scale. So with the storm approaching here is a TN only call map from me.


Toot,
I haven’t looked at locations farther west, but that looks good to me for East Tennessee.

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Math/Met on 2015-02-25, 3:36 pm

19Z RAP has .678 of precip at TRI and .646 of precip at TYS.

Here is the 18z NAM Precip.

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-02-25, 3:41 pm

So what is our snowfall to liquid precipitation breakdown?
I am assuming it would be about 10-1??

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Re: Possible 25-26 snow

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