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Wild ride first week of March!

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Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-02-27, 11:45 pm

Artic front comes though mid week, with poss strong wave of lp developing along it. Could get very interesting by next wed... All models have shown this for several runs now... Any thoughts?

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Neals on 2015-02-28, 4:04 pm

I would rather get a cold rain than more ice and crap. I think the northwest trend will kick in again at go time but I haven't been tracking this one. I am hoping for some warm weather to get rid of these cold extremely wet grounds . It's turning into an interesting last part of winter to say the least. I am worried about flooding and such as we limp into March.

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-03-01, 10:01 am

Here is what the euro spit out! The GFS has a little less... This is not all snow, so the totals are skewed. Another mixed bag, then transition to all snow for a period of time... The nam has been the slower with the passing of the front, we will see... Pretty impressive for March!

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Toot on 2015-03-01, 11:59 am

The NAM is way north of all models and the EURO shifted way north in one run. Be interesting to see what the euro does this afternoon

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Neals on 2015-03-01, 12:37 pm

Glad to have sunshine here on this 1st day of March.☀️

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-03-01, 1:15 pm

Euro is running now! It is even more impressive with the amount of precip behind the artic front, I'll post some graphics later...

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-03-01, 1:27 pm

Here is a snapshot I took on my I phone from a app that I have.... I will post a diffrent image later..


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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-03-01, 1:37 pm

Here it is!!!! Just slightly nw of 0z run...
It all depends on where this front stalls.


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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Toot on 2015-03-01, 1:48 pm

Last three runs of the euro equals one hell of a NW trend..seems its headed towards NAM. I just cant bite with the euro and NAM headed NW!!


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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-03-01, 2:28 pm

I know, the ukmet was way north!!!!! I don't see it pulling that far north, but crazier things have happen with these storms this year... Honestly I need about 2weeks too dry out. I still have some snow and sleet on the ground, school has been closed for 2wks... My yard looks like a hog pit!!! Slop!!!!!!

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-03-01, 6:41 pm

Here is the 18z GFS and the nam.... The nam is coming further south and east, so faster with the front, but the gfs is the fastest, so more winter precip.




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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-03-01, 6:53 pm

If this event unfolds and happens, I don't ever remember a system that has had that much post frontal precip.... Can anyone else recall if Im not remembering correct?

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-03-01, 9:55 pm

Here is a snap shot of the 0z nam! That is a lot of heavy precip behind that Artic front notice where the 32 degree line is verses where the heavy precip... That looks nasty...... It is about a 9 to 12 hr period of solid precip of freezing and frozen.


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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-03-01, 10:06 pm

Nam starting to align with the euro!


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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-03-01, 11:15 pm

Here is the 0z gfs! Not making it for the euro tonight.....

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-03-02, 7:23 am

Winter storm watches, already out for west tn, before the day is out I would say all of mid tn will be under the watch as well...

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-03-02, 9:06 am

Here is the 0z euro..... The question will be really how much... Some models show a quick change from rain to snow, while others show more of a mix to snow..... It could be a real mess by wed afternoon... Not much time to post today!

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by windstorm on 2015-03-02, 9:51 am

If this holds true, this would put me in the 2 inch range.
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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by windstorm on 2015-03-02, 9:57 am

Could this be the last great push for winter weather this season ?. Maybe so. popcorn
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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by windstorm on 2015-03-02, 10:13 am

Memphis Tenn has issue a WSW AND Nashville is saying
that if thing keep going in the right direction they could get as much as 3 inches or more of snow. They do not have a WSW out as of yet.
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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Toot on 2015-03-02, 12:34 pm

This is gonna suck for me..lol watching everybody get dumped on from Knoxville west while I set here and count sleet pellets!!

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-03-02, 12:40 pm

How is it looking for me in Murfreesboro?

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Neals on 2015-03-02, 12:41 pm

Toot wrote:This is gonna suck for me..lol watching everybody get dumped on from Knoxville west while I set here and count sleet pellets!!

Yes it does.

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by fire rescue87 on 2015-03-02, 12:45 pm

Toot wrote:This is gonna suck for me..lol watching everybody get dumped on from Knoxville west while I set here and count sleet pellets!!

Sorry toot. It's about time we got some fluffy white stuff instead of the slippery stuff.
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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

Post by Pamphobeteus on 2015-03-02, 1:23 pm

Any new model information?

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Re: Wild ride first week of March!

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