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BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 Empty BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24

Post by Toot on 2016-01-20, 5:47 pm

Latest NAM model

BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 12523186_956699851104434_4494263726819867330_n

BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 12400568_956699967771089_8537340802641637445_n

BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 Ced4c90f58e86cb6726041d678a53641

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BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 Empty Re: BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24

Post by Toot on 2016-01-20, 5:56 pm

Jscentraltn wrote:That's awesome! I thought more of the northern counties across the board would have gotten around that... It's all good.  I have around 1/2 inch waiting for fri and fri night... It may get washed away.... Toot what are you thinking as far as the deform band? You think most of the state or just a general area? Thanks....

Looks like most of the state gets the deform band looking at 700mb RH which is best to look at for deform bands

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/ipsm_looper.php?PROD=2016012018_SER_NAM_700_HGT_WINDS_RH_TEMP_VV

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Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-20, 6:12 pm

That's a BIG DOG!!!! popcorn

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Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-20, 6:14 pm

I really would like to get to experience thundersnow... Never have, but it looks like everything is coming together for this to happen... Just don't know where yet...

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Post by fire rescue87 on 2016-01-20, 8:36 pm

Jscentraltn wrote:I really would like to get to experience thundersnow... Never have, but it looks like everything is coming together for this to happen... Just don't know where yet...

You and me both brother!
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Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-20, 9:55 pm

Toot! I know your busy.... But ....... The north shift with the nam and stronger... I looked at the hi res rad you see all the storms getting drawn up into it north and west ten looks to get pounded and all of Kentucky.... I can't wait til this starts to unfold.... Any thoughts?

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BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 Empty Re: BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24

Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-20, 10:01 pm

Well guys here is what the nam is coming in with... It is a lot different than the earlier runs.. If you live north and west of Nashville it looks good from this run but want to see the trend of the gfs and euro....

BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 3588gbc

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Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-20, 10:40 pm

Guys here is another short range model this is from the Canadian run... This is in line with the new nam... Still waiting for the gfs... The trend is farther nw.... For now it looks like Nashville to the nw... But, but...

BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 2n67udj

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Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-20, 10:51 pm

Well guys the gfs out through hr 42 is following the new nam. It is farther nw and stronger 998mb... I will post later!

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Post by fire rescue87 on 2016-01-20, 10:55 pm

Wish this storm would make its mind up. I'm still in a decent spot but it needs to shift back to this mornings maps!
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Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-20, 10:58 pm

I will post a snow map from the gfs soon... Euro runs to late for me I will post that one in the morning... I'm with you though on the earlier runs.... I knew it had room for a north trend but not that much... We shall see...

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Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-20, 11:17 pm

Well here you go the gfs snow fall! All 3 have shifted nw...

BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 2lu9h08

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Post by fire rescue87 on 2016-01-20, 11:45 pm

I really hope tonight's were just a fluke. I'd hate to have a big dog get so damn close just to skate by
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Post by windstorm on 2016-01-21, 9:43 am

this set up for Chattanooga, is not a good one for my area. So a big miss for us. We will get wrap around snow showers or snow flurries. We did get some sleet on the roads yesterday and schools are closed yesterday and today. Still have some on the ground. NAM Model wants to show 1 to 2 inches for us, but that could be for the mountain tops around here. Low is not digging down toward the GOM and then cutting up. It like cold chasing the rain out, and on the backside of the low, we get what left over. Not a good setup. This will be miss #2 for us..
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Post by fire rescue87 on 2016-01-21, 9:45 am

Have the new maps shifted back Southeast at all?
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Post by etnvolman on 2016-01-21, 1:52 pm

hey guys what's your thoughts on snow totals for Seymour/Sevierville area ?

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BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 Empty Re: BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24

Post by Toot on 2016-01-21, 6:41 pm

WXbells maps must be messed up cause all the other places suggest different

18zNAM
BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 12509530_957212754386477_1504008916427462530_n

18zGFS
BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 12553034_957214444386308_1160173296990099234_n


Also its a little early to be pulling out hi res mnodels below 12km

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Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-21, 9:44 pm

Hey guys! Sorry for no updates today been at the ER with a smashed pinky and laserrated to the bone and tendions... But anyway.... I would post a pic but don't won't to take away the excitement from the storm... Smile . This has started earlier for the northern counties... I'm setting at 31.4 and light freezing rain... Already getting light glaze on vehicle and tree limbs... So this will be something to watch overnight. I'm hoping for a earlier change over to sleet and snow... Still looks like I40 north will see 6-10 inches before said and done... Will update later...

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Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-21, 10:01 pm

Here is the new NAM..

BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 33bo56v

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Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-22, 12:21 pm

Setting at around 5 1/2 inches and still snowing...

BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 263evya

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Post by fire rescue87 on 2016-01-22, 1:04 pm

3 here. That dry slot really killed our totals this time
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Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-22, 4:55 pm

Here is another shot! Closing in on 7 inches... Still have light snow and blowing snow. We have some one foot drifts....

BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 2rp40vp


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BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 Empty Re: BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24

Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-22, 8:32 pm

Well guys after about 13 to 14 hrs straight of snow it is coming to a close for me. Looking at radar trends this last band seems to come to an end soon.. I will hit about 8inches total...

BIG DOG winter storm JAN 22-24 293zwwp

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Post by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-22, 8:37 pm

How did everyone else do?

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Post by Toot on 2016-01-22, 8:43 pm

Nice pics Jscentraltn..got about 4 here and expecting a few more!

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