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Toot (6644)
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Adam2014 (1424)
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tennessee storm09 (1304)
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Spring 2012 weather discussion

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Dyersburg Weather
jmundie
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Spring 2012 weather discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: Spring 2012 weather discussion

Post by Toot 2012-03-11, 10:02 pm

Bruce caught one of them on camera...it jumped right out in front of him on a chase this evening...lolz

Spring 2012 weather discussion - Page 2 Lucky-bastard_o_182768
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Post by Stovepipe 2012-03-11, 10:43 pm

That might be, quite possibly, the craziest tornader footage I've ever seen. Would love to find a real video of it. How did that guy's truck not get blown off the road??!?


Last edited by Stovepipe on 2012-03-12, 12:55 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Stovepipe 2012-03-12, 12:52 am

Reed Timmer is getting fired up about some of these naders on Facebook.

Spring 2012 weather discussion - Page 2 2hfox0j

VERY STRONG ROTATION! Had to delete post from 5 min ago and repost this since it has intensified even more. Almost definitely strong water spout/tornado near Pecan Island. Vermillion Parish take cover now it's moving northeast.
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Post by tennessee storm09 2012-03-12, 7:35 pm

i know one thing, this summer like pattern were almost in is killing any serious severe weather event for our part of the country... strong bermuda high is keeping any system that develops way west northwest.... tell you one thing, when this pattern does break down some... there will be plenty of cape to work with...just a matter of getting a strong system with shear to meet up with it... then boom goes the dynamite.

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Post by Adam2014 2012-03-12, 7:43 pm

Your correct... This strong severe season is going to go down the drain if we can't get some powerful cold fronts thorugh here.
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Post by Toot 2012-03-13, 5:53 pm

Death ridge seems to be setting up early this year

Spring 2012 weather discussion - Page 2 Off15_temp
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Post by snowdog 2012-03-14, 7:17 am

Toot wrote:Death ridge seems to be setting up early this year


This weather can suck it. I enjoy a nice long spring before we turn to summer. This 80 degree crap in mid-march for an extended period sucks. Going to be a looooong summer I'm afraid (which only makes a lack of winter that much worse).

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Post by Toot 2012-03-14, 10:56 am

I personally think that this summer will be more avg in terms of temps and probably also be a bit shorter than normal
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Post by snowdog 2012-03-14, 12:28 pm

It will be hard to be shorter than normal when it has started much earlier than normal. I hope you are right though.

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Post by John1122 2012-03-14, 3:42 pm

There will be a doomsday freeze here before spring ends like in April a few years ago. We had this same extended period of 70s in March, everything bloomed then we had low 20s in April a couple of mornings that just killed everything.

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Post by jmundie 2012-03-14, 4:35 pm

John1122 wrote:There will be a doomsday freeze here before spring ends like in April a few years ago. We had this same extended period of 70s in March, everything bloomed then we had low 20s in April a couple of mornings that just killed everything.
'

Yep - that was a disaster. Even the most serious winter lover shouldn't wish that on anyone.

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Post by Toot 2012-03-14, 5:00 pm

snowdog wrote:It will be hard to be shorter than normal when it has started much earlier than normal. I hope you are right though.

Thats the main reason I think it will be shorter..... the summer pattern has setup early and in theory it should also end early because of this.
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Post by Toot 2012-03-14, 5:14 pm

Can you say TORCH? And there is really NO sign of this letting up anytime soon

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yikes

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Post by Adam2014 2012-03-14, 5:42 pm

That is a nasty ridge right there, if the air keeps drying we could get up into the 90s for highs. I don't want that at all yet.
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Post by Adam2014 2012-03-14, 6:04 pm

We have some hailers in the midstate right now. The one in Hickman county has a POSH of 100% and a potential to produce 3 inch sized hail. Baseball sized lol!
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Post by Toot 2012-03-14, 6:46 pm

Adam2014 wrote:That is a nasty ridge right there, if the air keeps drying we could get up into the 90s for highs. I don't want that at all yet.

Im pretty confident that parts of southern Tennessee will hit the 90's before this early warm spell is over.
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Post by Stovepipe 2012-03-14, 8:31 pm

Adam2014 wrote:We have some hailers in the midstate right now. The one in Hickman county has a POSH of 100% and a potential to produce 3 inch sized hail. Baseball sized lol!

Can you explain what this POSH is? Don't reckon I ever heard tell of it before.

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Post by Toot 2012-03-14, 9:03 pm

First I have heard of it too....but I assume it stands for Probability of significant hail

Just the first thing that entered my mind though


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Post by Math/Met 2012-03-14, 9:12 pm

POSH = Probability of Severe Hail.

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Post by Stovepipe 2012-03-14, 9:15 pm

Where does one see what the POSH value is for a given cell?
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Post by Toot 2012-03-14, 9:31 pm

On level three radar its one of the settings under storm attributes
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Post by Stovepipe 2012-03-14, 9:36 pm

Ah HA! Another reason to break down and get a copy of that software.
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Post by tennessee storm09 2012-03-14, 9:51 pm

Toot wrote:Can you say TORCH? And there is really NO sign of this letting up anytime soon
yikes

actually the euro is starting to show signs of the ridge completly breaking down... 18z gfs showing signs too aftter late next week. heading into april will be a different pattern

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Post by Adam2014 2012-03-14, 9:59 pm

Yes that is what POSH means lol sorry guys.
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Post by Toot 2012-03-14, 10:07 pm

Not really Bruce

12z Euro at 240 still has the Death Ridge...there is just a cuttoff low that made its way in...and would likely just give way to the ridge

Spring 2012 weather discussion - Page 2 F240





Here is the 18z gfs ensembles at 10+ days out all still agreeing on the death ridge,

Spring 2012 weather discussion - Page 2 F252

She aint going anywhere no time soon
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