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White Thanksgiving? (Early season Nor'easter)

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Post by Neals 2013-11-26, 9:53 pm

I believe Toot told me it was a classic Nor' Easter. However, I don't know much and storm track might be something different than what I asked him.

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Post by memoriesof85&93 2013-11-26, 9:58 pm

Thanks. I had been reviewing the thread on storm tracks and this one,at least to me,appears to be. According to the explanation and graphics ,Millar A's are the best for us here in east TN.
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Post by Toot 2013-11-26, 9:59 pm

memoriesof85&93 wrote:Is this storm track considered a Millar A?
Prob could be considered a Miller A but not the classic one! Stormcenter wayy too elongated
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Post by memoriesof85&93 2013-11-26, 10:00 pm

Thanks Toot!
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Post by John1122 2013-11-26, 10:07 pm

Most seem to be backing off the snow totals, but it's actually switched to snow for me now. 34 degrees was the changing point here.

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Post by Jscentraltn 2013-11-26, 10:25 pm

Well guys cheatham county didn't the 70 percent chance of rain today or the 60 percent chance of snow tonight! Maybe next time. County name fits well I guess! Shocked 
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Post by Toot 2013-11-26, 10:29 pm

Expect rain will change to snow in east tn valley around 1230am
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Post by VFL 2013-11-26, 10:32 pm

Toot wrote:Expect rain will change to snow in east tn valley around 1230am
Shorts are starting to get tight.
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Post by Jed33 2013-11-26, 10:39 pm

John1122 wrote:Most seem to be backing off the snow totals, but it's actually switched to snow for me now. 34 degrees was the changing point here.
Am I correct in assuming that the reason middle TN missed out on the snow was bc the ULL remained closed longer than expected, thereby causing it to dig further s before the phase occurred this evening? In essence everything is just shifted E from this AM.

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Post by Neals 2013-11-26, 10:40 pm

VFL wrote:
Toot wrote:Expect rain will change to snow in east tn valley around 1230am
Shorts are starting to get tight.
.

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Post by Vanster67 2013-11-26, 10:47 pm

29 here with light snow. back deck and vehicles have a dusting. looks like plenty of precip headed our way here in monterey (plateau) from down south. still shooting for 2-3 maybe 4 inches here when all is said and done.
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Post by 1234snow 2013-11-26, 11:12 pm

Jed33 wrote:
John1122 wrote:Most seem to be backing off the snow totals, but it's actually switched to snow for me now. 34 degrees was the changing point here.
Am I correct in assuming that the reason middle TN missed out on the snow was bc the ULL remained closed longer than expected, thereby causing it to dig further s before the phase occurred this evening? In essence everything is just shifted E from this AM.
That's what I'm thinking. What is happening is almost what the GFS advertised a few days ago of the streams not phasing as well. I noticed that earlier today and yesterday on the models(NAM specifically) that the southern vort would get sucked in close to the mountains and that is when the heavy snow band was shown to develop. Now the southern energy is going to move over the central Carolinas.

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Post by snowman72 2013-11-26, 11:15 pm

Starting to change over here

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Post by John1122 2013-11-26, 11:57 pm

Moderate snow fall here and 32 degrees. Just not much precip developing in the cold air. Holding out hope that the moisture in NW Alabama can expand into Tennessee.

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Post by etnwx 2013-11-27, 12:54 am

Light sleet/snow mix at 35.0 F here. Would like to see another 4 degree drop. Seeing an increase of precip on the radar.
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Post by John1122 2013-11-27, 1:03 am

Everything is white here now, 31 degrees and decent snow with a very nice looking area building in Eastern Middle TN.

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Post by VFL 2013-11-27, 1:43 am

Not looking good for the home team IMO. Back side moving to the east already approaching the plateau.
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Post by Math/Met 2013-11-27, 1:45 am

We have changed over to snow in Greeneville.

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Post by John1122 2013-11-27, 1:48 am

VFL wrote:Not looking good for the home team IMO. Back side moving to the east already approaching the plateau.
Once that rolls through, it'll be upslope driven for anything else most likely. Areas that do well with that should pick up some additional accums.

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Post by John1122 2013-11-27, 1:50 am

Math/Met wrote:We have changed over to snow in Greeneville.
You look to be in a better area since the axis of snow potential took a good jog East. You probably have a decent shot for 2+ inches I'd think. Especially if upslope happens in your particular area.

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Post by Math/Met 2013-11-27, 2:06 am

John1122 wrote:
You look to be in a better area since the axis of snow potential took a good jog East. You probably have a decent shot for 2+ inches I'd think. Especially if upslope happens in your particular area.
I agree. I think I'm in a slightly more favorable location compared to areas just to the west. The RAP seems to be consistent in giving my area a little more precipitation. Radar trends seem to support that as well. Obviously this won't be anything too significant, but I'll be satisfied with 1-2 inches of snow at this point.

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Post by Math/Met 2013-11-27, 2:41 am

Already have a dusting. It actually didn’t take that long for it to start accumulating considering the temperatures are still in the mid 30’s.

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Post by IceMan23 2013-11-27, 6:44 am

Looks like my call of half an inch for the Central Valley was absolutely correct. Hate to say I toldyaso... but...I told ya so.

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Post by Jed33 2013-11-27, 6:45 am

Woke up at about 3:45 this AM to see it coming down pretty good. We had around a half in then. Looks like we have about an in now and it's tapering off as I type. All in all not too bad for Nov. Not the 3in that I was hoping for yesterday AM but still great to see in Nov. Most I've ever seen in November.

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Post by windstorm 2013-11-27, 6:58 am

3:30 A.M. had SnFl. Still some falling, wind is blowing 20 to 30 MPH. After 3 plus inches of rain that about all you can expect down this way. But it good to see a few flakes flying by.
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