Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
+16
Jscentraltn
Pamphobeteus
fire rescue87
Math/Met
Grandpa Nasty
bigbris
weatherbob
realdeal2414
snowman72
etnwx
windstorm
Jed33
ashleyj89
Toot
Pman1618
Neals
20 posters
Page 9 of 10
Page 9 of 10 • 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Still some ice at the onset but from I40 north it still has great snow amounts, but as you can see south mixed bag...
Jscentraltn- Admin
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Join date : 2013-01-19
Age : 45
Location : Cheatham county
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Dang, Mrx saying .3-.4 ice for my area next 24 hours.
Neals- Member
- Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Here is the canidian! 0z
Jscentraltn- Admin
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Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
YES! Canadian pushed it further south and now north middle Tn is back in some major business...
Pman1618- Member
- Posts : 52
Join date : 2012-12-30
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Is that even possible this late?
Neals- Member
- Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Sounds like it's time to get away from models and watch what the storm is doing! I imagine most of us will be busy this week!
fire rescue87- Banned
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Join date : 2013-11-19
Age : 37
Location : benton county
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
I don't know!!!!! My eyes are already fuzzy and it hasn't started yet..... Lol
Jscentraltn- Admin
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Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
All out sleet!!!! I wish it would hurry up and Change to snow.... Locals still calling for 4-8 for my area... Update later.....
Jscentraltn- Admin
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Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Freezing rain in McMinnville @ 26 degrees. Temps actually went down 2 degreea
Pamphobeteus- Member
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Join date : 2015-02-14
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Yeah!!! I'm at 20 and heavy sleet had some frz rain mixed in earlier... Going to be a long day... There is not a warm nose issue yet for me, it's just the col hasn't saturated all the way yet...
Jscentraltn- Admin
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Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
One thing i said last week. It looked more and more like a cold Rain. And that's what we are going to get. Major Mess up By NWS. Hope someone on here get's a great snow. Good day, be safe and happy snowing.
windstorm- Member
- Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Some reports about 30 miles to my north already have about 5inches of snow... Still heavy sleet for me.
Jscentraltn- Admin
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Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Windstorm, as much as you post on here and follow the models, you know this wasn't NWS fault. All model consensus had us clearly in bullseye for snow. And the way the models performed this year, nobody saw the last minute shift because ALL models looked golden for us. I'm all for calling out MRX for being conservative, and glossing over what we consider to be important issues, but this wasn't their fault. Regardless, whatever we do get, is what we are gonna get and we can't change anything about it. Just be safe, and we will live for another day and another storm
Greyhound- Member
- Posts : 10
Join date : 2013-01-24
Location : Knoxville, TN
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
I'm not a weather guy but I don't understand how it can be so cold and it rain/sleet.. 23 and light rain here.. Crazy
underdawg45- Member
- Posts : 30
Join date : 2013-01-15
Location : dandridge tn
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
It is frz rain.... It is rain, but below freezing it is coating everything it has to do with the layers. at the surface it can be 10 degrees but as you go up 3 or 4 thousand feet it can be above freezing, therefore sleet/snow mix, if it is all above freezing but the surface frz rain....
Jscentraltn- Admin
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Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
I have now a sleet/snow mix..... As the col continues to to saturate I look for me to go over more to snow soon....
Jscentraltn- Admin
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Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
underdawg45 wrote:I'm not a weather guy but I don't understand how it can be so cold and it rain/sleet.. 23 and light rain here.. Crazy
Im still waiting on this slopfest to get here..lol...it could be worse could be up in the mountains where a plain rain will fall for a little while today!!
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
About 1/4" to 1/3" of ice on the truck. Roads are sleet and ice.
fire rescue87- Banned
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Age : 37
Location : benton county
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Vey well put Greyhound. And yes it not the end of the world and we will get a big snow some time. Next major thing is Very cold air coming this week. Thanks for you input. Have a great day.Greyhound wrote:Windstorm, as much as you post on here and follow the models, you know this wasn't NWS fault. All model consensus had us clearly in bullseye for snow. And the way the models performed this year, nobody saw the last minute shift because ALL models looked golden for us. I'm all for calling out MRX for being conservative, and glossing over what we consider to be important issues, but this wasn't their fault. Regardless, whatever we do get, is what we are gonna get and we can't change anything about it. Just be safe, and we will live for another day and another storm..
windstorm- Member
- Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Going to take a trip!!!! Hard to believe just 10miles up the road there is 4inches of snow on the ground.. I'm only getting frz rain...
Jscentraltn- Admin
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Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
- Code:
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0069
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0909 AM CST MON FEB 16 2015
AREAS AFFECTED...A LARGE PART OF TN
CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION
VALID 161509Z - 162015Z
SUMMARY...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE SUPPORTING
SUBSTANTIAL ICING ACROSS MUCH OF TN INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE
PRECIPITATION SPREADING EWD WITH TIME.
DISCUSSION...SFC OBSERVATIONS ARE INDICATING WIDESPREAD SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH A CONTINUOUS SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION
EXTENDING FROM THE MID-SOUTH REGION TO MIDDLE TN. WITH NQA AND OHX
VWPS DEPICTING NOTABLE VEERING OF WIND DIRECTION WITH HEIGHT IN THE
LOWER TROPOSPHERE...WAA IS STRONG ACROSS THE AREA. RELATED STRONG
ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL CONTINUE IN PROXIMITY TO A LLJ THAT WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE
ASCENT/PRECIPITATION SPREADING TOWARD THE APPALACHIANS.
THE 12Z BNA RAOB SAMPLES AN ELEVATED WARM LAYER JUST ABOVE H85
SURMOUNTING DEEP SUB-FREEZING AIR...SUPPORTING SLEET.
HOWEVER...ELEVATED WAA-ENHANCED WARMING WILL ALSO HAVE A PROPENSITY
TO MELT DESCENDING HYDROMETEORS TO SUPPORT AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN
ACROSS THE REGION...AND LOCAL-AREA/UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST
FREEZING RAIN RATES OF 0.05-0.10 INCH PER HOUR THIS MORNING. SLEET
ACCUMULATION RATES MAY REACH NEAR A QUARTER INCH PER HOUR.
SUBSTANTIAL ICING WILL LIKELY RESULT FROM THESE FREEZING RAIN/SLEET
RATES...ESPECIALLY IN ANY CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS.
SHORT-RANGE FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO INDICATE NEAR-SFC WARMING
SUPPORTING A TRANSITION TO PURE LIQUID RAIN ACROSS SRN PARTS OF
MIDDLE AND SERN TN THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...OBSERVATIONS SHOW A
VERY DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE -- AS REPRESENTED BY SFC DEWPOINTS FROM
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO THE TEENS -- AND RELATED WET-BULB COOLING
MAY OFFSET SFC-LOW PRECEDING WAA AND VERY MODEST DIURNAL HEATING. AS
SUCH...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT FROZEN PRECIPITATION MAY PREDOMINATE
REGION-WIDE. ELSEWHERE...PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TAPERING OFF FROM
WEST TO EAST ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID-SOUTH BY MID-AFTERNOON...AS
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SHIFTS EWD.
..COHEN.. 02/16/2015
ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...HUN...MEG...
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
We have a beautiful Winter storm on our hands at my house. 33* and moderate rain for the last hour.
Grandpa Nasty- Banned
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Location : Chattanooga, TN
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Got sleet/snow here... 23 degrees...everything strting to glaze over quickly
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Toot what's your accumulation thoughts for Newport /Dandridge line. Was snowing now ice here
underdawg45- Member
- Posts : 30
Join date : 2013-01-15
Location : dandridge tn
Re: Winter Storm Threat 16th-18th
Id say two or three inches of sleet/snowunderdawg45 wrote:Toot what's your accumulation thoughts for Newport /Dandridge line. Was snowing now ice here
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