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Toot (6644)
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March 2nd 2012 in like a lion!! HIGH RISK

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oakridgeweather
Tom
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Grandpa Nasty
Math/Met
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Toot
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Post by Grandpa Nasty 2012-03-02, 1:22 am

Looks like Chatty may get in on the action this time around. Just woke up and haven't looked at any other forecasts so should be iinteresting to see the local mets outlook. Last I saw yday was 80% chance, which was what we had Wednesday and received nada. puke
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Post by Grandpa Nasty 2012-03-02, 1:53 am

Didn't expect anything overnight but we have a rain shower with thunder and a little lightning. Radar froze up on this damn tablet but look like it's just a rogue pop up thundershower. Looks like it was coming i from just south and west of Chatty.

EDIT: Actually had a good 20 minute downpour with good thunder and lightning. the Wind was nonexistent but was good to see and smell the rain.Felt like one of those pop up Summertime quick hitters. Just light rain now.


Last edited by Grandpa Nasty on 2012-03-02, 2:18 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Reb 2012-03-02, 2:17 am

there was, indeed, a tornado in greenback wednesday night...

http://www.wate.com/story/17060179/ef-1-tornado-causes-damage-to-greenback-neighborhood
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Post by Grandpa Nasty 2012-03-02, 5:48 am

Really not sure what to expect today/tonight. Local morning met on NBC said scattered showers with main rain and storms south and east of Tennessee. ABC met calling for severe with heavy rain, especially tonight. Who to believe? Hopefully y'all with keep the updates rolling in. Walking into work so might try to catch an update at my 10 30 lunch break. Be safe all.
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Post by Adam2014 2012-03-02, 6:54 am

The Wright wx simulator is not looking bad at all. Of course I don't trust it, there is too much potential. It looks like my area is going to miss most of the early morning rain except for a little. Things should get rocking right after noon.
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Post by Stovepipe 2012-03-02, 7:59 am

Toot wrote:They expanded the MDT in about all directions....this is not good at all



March 2nd 2012 in like a lion!! HIGH RISK - Page 12 Day1otlk_1200

A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE IS EXPECTED FRIDAY ACROSS
MUCH OF THE OH VALLEY...SWD INTO THE CNTRL GULF STATES



AFTER THE INITIAL WARM ADVECTION CONVECTION ACROSS THE MID MS/OH VALLEY REGION...THE PRIMARY FOCUS WILL BE WITH ACTIVITY THAT EVOLVES AFTER 18Z AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. WITH QUITE STEEP LAPSE RATES IN PLACE...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS FAVOR LARGE HAIL IN ADDITION TO POSSIBLY STRONG TORNADOES WITH ANY DISCRETE SUPERCELLS THAT FORM ACROSS THE MOIST WARM SECTOR. WITH TIME A DAMAGING SQUALL LINE COULD EMERGE WITH VERY STRONG WINDS.

Welp, looks like I better go ahead and put a few roofers and the insurance company on speed dial. Seems we're gonna have a rough on our hands.
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Post by Adam2014 2012-03-02, 8:05 am

The storm around Lafayette looks like it is trying to rotate.March 2nd 2012 in like a lion!! HIGH RISK - Page 12 Qsqcuv
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Post by Toot 2012-03-02, 8:07 am

High Risk for parts of Tennessee and Kentucky....wowzers...everybody be safe today and tonight. I will be back on reguarly this evening in time for things in the eastern half of the state
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Post by skillsweather 2012-03-02, 8:08 am

high risk

March 2nd 2012 in like a lion!! HIGH RISK - Page 12 Day1otlk_1300

30% tornado risk

March 2nd 2012 in like a lion!! HIGH RISK - Page 12 Day1probotlk_1300_torn


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Post by Adam2014 2012-03-02, 8:08 am

Wow that is extreme, I am very concerned about today.
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Post by Toot 2012-03-02, 8:10 am

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Post by Adam2014 2012-03-02, 8:22 am

You can see the clouds breaking up to the south and west, this is where the instability should go sky high.
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Post by Stovepipe 2012-03-02, 8:40 am

Per the MRX briefing, it's interesting that the timing has shifted such that east TN will be under the gun from around 6 to 9pm as opposed to midnight like it was looking yesterday. They also mention the possibility of BASEBALL sized hail, Jesus.

yikes
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Post by AndyP 2012-03-02, 8:43 am

Sincerely praying for everyones safety today. Take a few minutes and text your friends, give them a heads up. Its amazing how many respones I've got that said, "severe weather today? In our area?" Also, a friend of mine in Glasgow KY says there are several storm chasers in town, NOT A GOOD THING!
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Post by Homemommy 2012-03-02, 8:47 am

Stovepipe wrote:Per the MRX briefing, it's interesting that the timing has shifted such that east TN will be under the gun from around 6 to 9pm as opposed to midnight like it was looking yesterday. They also mention the possibility of BASEBALL sized hail, Jesus.

yikes

That's kinda a good thing. Whatever comes, I hope it's not so late that people are in bed and aren't paying attention.
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Post by Stovepipe 2012-03-02, 8:51 am

Homemommy wrote:
Stovepipe wrote:Per the MRX briefing, it's interesting that the timing has shifted such that east TN will be under the gun from around 6 to 9pm as opposed to midnight like it was looking yesterday. They also mention the possibility of BASEBALL sized hail, Jesus.

yikes

That's kinda a good thing. Whatever comes, I hope it's not so late that people are in bed and aren't paying attention.

Oh the earlier timing is most definitely a welcome change. Hopefully people are paying attention today. I've sent emails to family and friends and will put something on facebook too. Spread the word folks.
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Post by AndyP 2012-03-02, 9:07 am

per Twitter: Mike Bettes from the Weather Channel is on his way to middle TN to cover the severe weather outbreak, Jim Cantore is on his way to KY.
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Post by Vanster67 2012-03-02, 9:18 am

everyone heads up today and under cover. Stay safe/ pass the word. Prayers for all. Looks to be a horrid, horrid day/night. will stay on as much as I can today.
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Post by Dyersburg Weather 2012-03-02, 9:26 am

AndyP wrote:per Twitter: Mike Bettes from the Weather Channel is on his way to middle TN to cover the severe weather outbreak, Jim Cantore is on his way to KY.


Reed timmer is in the area also.
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Post by Stovepipe 2012-03-02, 10:04 am

Apparently some schools are closing early in middle TN, glad to hear that.
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Post by AndyP 2012-03-02, 10:05 am

Pretty strong storm nearing the Cookeville area.
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Post by Homemommy 2012-03-02, 10:14 am

Watching the weather channel radar. There's a line of red storms coming up from Huntsville AL at a NE angle. Looks like it will hit K-town and surrounding areas, if I'm seeing this correctly.
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Post by Stovepipe 2012-03-02, 10:17 am

Yeah there is some hail being reported in this initial wave of storms.

Edit: First nader warning of the day:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
918 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL LIMESTONE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 945 AM CST

* AT 918 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR FRENCH
MILL...OR ABOUT NEAR ATHENS...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE...
CAPSHAW.
HARVEST.
MERIDIANVILLE.
HAZEL GREEN.
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Post by Dyersburg Weather 2012-03-02, 10:36 am

New Warning for TN

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN DE KALB COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN OVERTON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
PUTNAM COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHWESTERN WHITE COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1000 AM CST

* AT 924 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BAXTER...OR 9 MILES
NORTHEAST OF SMITHVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
BAXTER AROUND 935 AM CST.
COOKEVILLE AROUND 940 AM CST.
ALGOOD AROUND 945 AM CST.
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Post by Stovepipe 2012-03-02, 10:43 am

Reed Timmer video blog from Paducah Kentucky:

https://www.facebook.com/video/video.php?v=10100641911471157

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