Re: May Severe Weather

by **Stovepipe** 2012-04-05, 8:19 pm

WxFreak wrote:Storms headin my way from there. Hope they remain intact.

Build more fires, dude.

I hope they do too for your sake buddy. And if I can manage getting another fire started with wet wood I'll do it! I had to take down 4 pine trees last fall that got the blight, so I have an abundance of stuff I need to burn. You keep planting those trees and I keep taken em down!

*hugs last remaining healthy pine tree*

flower

by **WxFreak** 2012-04-05, 8:25 pm

Stovepipe wrote:
WxFreak wrote:Storms headin my way from there. Hope they remain intact.

Build more fires, dude.

I hope they do too for your sake buddy. And if I can manage getting another fire started with wet wood I'll do it! I had to take down 4 pine trees last fall that got the blight, so I have an abundance of stuff I need to burn. You keep planting those trees and I keep taken em down!

*hugs last remaining healthy pine tree*

LOL...too funny. Guess I will have to redouble my efforts to combat that thing you've been discussing in another thread.

by **WxFreak** 2012-04-05, 8:28 pm

Well, even if the storms weaken, looks like a good slug of rain about to move through. Again, nice night to leave the windows open. AWESOME sleeping weather. Sleep

by **tennessee storm09** 2012-04-05, 8:29 pm

models picking up on a monster system around 14th... big time amped jet streak on the 18z gfs... stay tuned

by **Stovepipe** 2012-04-05, 8:33 pm

WxFreak wrote:
Stovepipe wrote:
WxFreak wrote:Storms headin my way from there. Hope they remain intact.

Build more fires, dude.

I hope they do too for your sake buddy. And if I can manage getting another fire started with wet wood I'll do it! I had to take down 4 pine trees last fall that got the blight, so I have an abundance of stuff I need to burn. You keep planting those trees and I keep taken em down!

*hugs last remaining healthy pine tree*

LOL...too funny. Guess I will have to redouble my efforts to combat that thing you've been discussing in another thread.

by **WxFreak** 2012-04-05, 8:38 pm

WTH do you find this stuff?? evl

by **Stovepipe** 2012-04-05, 8:39 pm

I don't even know. It's the hard drink doing it's thing.

sauce

by **WxFreak** 2012-04-05, 8:41 pm

LOL...

in that order...

by **WxFreak** 2012-04-05, 8:52 pm

Well, storms have visibly weakened on radar. No surprise. They usually always do this time of day, and the storms that moved through earlier probably stabilized the atmosphere here. If Stove's fire had only lasted awhile longer.

Gotta get up early in the morning, so going to wind down and relax before heading to bed. Everyone have a good evening, and TGIF tomorrow!!! Cheers!

by **Stovepipe** 2012-04-05, 8:57 pm

Later bud, thanks for the laughs!

sauce

by **Adam2014** 2012-04-05, 9:55 pm

I want some more severe storms....

by **andyhb** 2012-04-05, 10:05 pm

Mid/long range patterns on the models verify and I can say with relative confidence that those chances will increase substantially by around 4/10 on.

by **WxFreak** 2012-04-06, 6:27 am

Woke up to under a half inch of rain in the gauge this morning. TYS had 2.12 or some ridiculous amount thanks to Stove's taunting the weather gods last night with a sacrificial fire. I had a gentle rain here for much of the night. No lightning, no thunder. Guess I better start piling up the dead wood.

Hope everyone has a Good Friday!

by **WxFreak** 2012-04-06, 7:58 am

Well, looks as if the NAO/AO finally trending downward in sync--something that didn't happen all winter long. I figured it would happen about now. On the plus side, we may have just endured the hottest weather of the 2012 summer. "Time for...a cool change..."

by **Adam2014** 2012-04-06, 8:17 am

O im sure we will creep into the 90s during the summertime. At least around my neck of the woods. I am not sold on a cool summer just yet.

by **WxFreak** 2012-04-06, 8:36 am

I wouldn't mind a repeat of the summer of 2009. I think I hit 90 maybe two or three times that year. And it was a wet summer--storms galore. No death ridge=no boredom.
I think we are due a "cooler" summer. The last two have been blazin hot with La Nina wearing out her welcome.

by Vanster67 2012-04-06, 8:42 am

Lets just skip summer and go right to fall. Of course as WxFreak mentions, a repeat of 2009 I could deal with. The last two summers were just aaargghhh!!! gaah

by **tennessee storm09** 2012-04-06, 12:26 pm

Adam2014 wrote:O im sure we will creep into the 90s during the summertime. At least around my neck of the woods. I am not sold on a cool summer just yet.

a cool summer in the midsouth... didnt know there was such a thing... lol

by **jmundie** 2012-04-06, 2:00 pm

Did ya'll see the CFS seasonal forecasts forthe rest of the year? Bastardi tweeted them out. Sure look cool. Fall looks brutally cold.

by **Toot** 2012-04-06, 2:09 pm

I seen them Mundie and they look cool as far as they go out...Normally I would say that model dont have a chance in hell of verifying but the CFS impressed me this last winter by predicting a warm winter many months out

smoke

by **Stovepipe** 2012-04-06, 2:46 pm

Cool summer and brutally cold fall?

May Severe Weather - Page 7 2je8dxc

I've been meaning to go over to AmericanWX and see what ol' Don Sutherland has been saying about all of this. If he's buying it I will start getting excited. The man has had one heck of a year forecasting weather. He's also a big fan of the CFS.

by **Toot** 2012-04-06, 3:19 pm

This image is from the NWS FB page of the TX outbreak...notice several cells with hook echoes...it seems almost every cell that fired in that region rotated

May Severe Weather - Page 7 557640_10151678254609041_206848514040_9353617_1767852604_n

May Severe Weather - Page 7 557640_10151678254609041_206848514040_9353617_1767852604_n

by **Adam2014** 2012-04-06, 3:21 pm

That is so awesome even the squall line has rotation on it.

by **jmundie** 2012-04-06, 5:27 pm

Toot wrote:I seen them Mundie and they look cool as far as they go out...Normally I would say that model dont have a chance in hell of verifying but the CFS impressed me this last winter by predicting a warm winter many months out

The JMA nailed the winter departures 6 months out as well.

And its cool in the summer, and balls cold in the fall. Bastardi was event commenting that he's frightened about what could follow if the fall is as cold as the JMA is forecasting.

by **Stovepipe** 2012-04-06, 5:43 pm

Where can you find these long range JMA forecasts?

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