Re: Late January warmup with possible severe

by **Adam2014** 2012-01-22, 2:48 pm

Probated Tom wrote:Toot, this may be a dumb question, but what do those images represent, and why the 'scared' face??

Upper Air charts, they are screaming severe weather.

by Guest 2012-01-22, 2:50 pm

Adam2014 wrote:
Probated Tom wrote:Toot, this may be a dumb question, but what do those images represent, and why the 'scared' face??
Upper Air charts, they are screaming severe weather.

Thanks for the quick response and answer to my questions! This event is gonna be big in West Tn.

by **Toot** 2012-01-22, 2:51 pm

Probated Tom wrote:Toot, this may be a dumb question, but what do those images represent, and why the 'scared' face??

If you live in the midsouth in means

Late January warmup with possible severe - Page 4 Antoine_Dodson_Hide_Your_Kids_Hide_Your_Wife_Hide_your_Kids-s795x799-83731-580

Late January warmup with possible severe - Page 4 Antoine_Dodson_Hide_Your_Kids_Hide_Your_Wife_Hide_your_Kids-s795x799-83731-580

by **tennessee storm09** 2012-01-22, 4:00 pm

i have been at church a while this mornig, but things are fixiing to get rocking back in se arkansas... these storms will go from nothing to rotations type storms within a hour... we are heading towards the delta area in a few, going to catch first half of my patriots game... everyone please be careful and watch the weather... sure toot will have great updates as waranted... i still think much later tonight, overnight.. east tn will have a damage wind threat at least... so please keep heads up.

by **Toot** 2012-01-22, 4:03 pm

Late January warmup with possible severe - Page 4 Mcd0045

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0045
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0226 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN TX...NRN LA...SRN/ERN AR...NWRN MS...WRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 222026Z - 222230Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INITIATE BY EARLY EVENING NEAR THE
ARKLATEX THEN RACE NEWD TOWARD WRN TN/NWRN MS AFTER DARK. DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED. A TORNADO WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED BY 00Z.

LEADING EDGE OF WELL DEFINED UPPER TROUGH IS ADVANCING ACROSS ERN
OK/NERN TX AND WILL SOON OVERSPREAD THE LOWER MS VALLEY. IN ADVANCE
OF THIS FEATURE...WARM MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER HAS SPREAD INTO SRN/ERN
AR...AS NOTED BY SFC DEW POINTS RISING THROUGH THE UPPER 50S INTO
THE 60S...WHILE A STUBBORN WEDGE OF COOLER AIR HAS YET TO BE
DISPLACED OVER MUCH OF CNTRL/NWRN AR. CURRENT THINKING IS GREATEST
AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR TO THE S-E OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
WEDGE FRONT AND THIS WILL BE THE CORRIDOR OF GREATEST SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

LATEST VIS IMAGERY DEPICTS AN INCREASING BAND OF LOW LEVEL CU ALONG
THE DRY LINE NEAR I-35 OVER NCNTRL TX. THIS IS ALONG THE LEADING
EDGE OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES AND IS CERTAINLY INDICATIVE OF STRONGER
FORCING THAT WILL SOON OVERSPREAD THE ARKLATEX. WITH TIME
THUNDERSTORMS COULD EVOLVE ALONG THIS LINE...OR PERHAPS EVEN DEVELOP
WELL AHEAD OF THE WIND SHIFT WITHIN DEEPER CONFLUENT ZONE NEAR THE
LA BORDER AS EXHIBITED BY SHOWERS BEGINNING TO DEEPEN FROM NEAR TYR
TO JUST WEST OF SHV. NEEDLESS TO SAY VERY STRONG SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES.

..DARROW.. 01/22/2012

Late January warmup with possible severe - Page 4 Southmissvly_loop

Late January warmup with possible severe - Page 4 Southmissvly_loop

by **Stovepipe** 2012-01-22, 4:51 pm

And so it begins, radar flaring up in Arkansas.

popcorn

by **Adam2014** 2012-01-22, 5:54 pm

About to get a nice little shower move in here, we have thunder.

by **Adam2014** 2012-01-22, 6:04 pm

Some very violent lightning outside right now.

by **Stovepipe** 2012-01-22, 6:21 pm

Radar getting very colorful.

by **jmundie** 2012-01-22, 6:56 pm

I think east tennessee will be largely spared in this situation. Timing being around day break, as well as ya'll having some cold air damming going on today, the threat should diminish quickly east of cookeville.

by **Adam2014** 2012-01-22, 6:59 pm

jmundie wrote:I think east tennessee will be largely spared in this situation. Timing being around day break, as well as ya'll having some cold air damming going on today, the threat should diminish quickly east of cookeville.

Tail end of the line right now is looking pretty nasty, Individual cells.

by **Adam2014** 2012-01-22, 7:18 pm

Where is everyone at, some storms in Arkansas are starting to rotate and get a hook on them.

by **Grandpa Nasty** 2012-01-22, 7:41 pm

Adam2014 wrote:Where is everyone at, some storms in Arkansas are starting to rotate and get a hook on them.

Watching football. All quiet here for now. Waiting for the thunderboomers. Last I checked my sister in law had a storm at Thompson Station per TWC. Is it still banging there Adam?

by **jmundie** 2012-01-22, 7:44 pm

Adam2014 wrote:Where is everyone at, some storms in Arkansas are starting to rotate and get a hook on them.

Most folks at other forums. This place is clearly not a severe lover's forum. And even Bruce is at work right now.

by **Adam2014** 2012-01-22, 7:47 pm

jmundie wrote:
Adam2014 wrote:Where is everyone at, some storms in Arkansas are starting to rotate and get a hook on them.

Most folks at other forums. This place is clearly not a severe lover's forum. And even Bruce is at work right now.

Well couldn't you help us out here Jmundie, I always listen to what you have to say.

by **Adam2014** 2012-01-22, 7:51 pm

2 Tornado warnings out in Arkansas right now.

by **jmundie** 2012-01-22, 8:04 pm

I am not nearly as educated on severe as I am winter stuff. I generally read others thoughts to try and learn more.

by **Stovepipe** 2012-01-22, 8:07 pm

jmundie wrote:
Adam2014 wrote:Where is everyone at, some storms in Arkansas are starting to rotate and get a hook on them.

Most folks at other forums. This place is clearly not a severe lover's forum. And even Bruce is at work right now.

Correction, most folks are watching football right now. Plenty of people around here love, or are at least very interested in, severe. I for one am settling in for a night of radar watching.

by **Stovepipe** 2012-01-22, 8:10 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
658 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL LONOKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN GRANT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 730 PM CST

* AT 655 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS SEVERE
STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF SHERIDAN. DOPPLER RADAR
SHOWED THIS SEVERE STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. ANOTHER
POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF SHERIDAN...ALSO MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADOES...THESE STORMS
ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE...
SHERIDAN... REDFIELD... PINE BLUFF ARSENAL...
ORION... KEO... HENSLEY ISLAND...
ENGLAND... CANE CREEK... WRIGHT...
TUCKER... TOMBERLIN... SHERRILL...
SEATON... SAMPLES... PRAGUE...
PETTUS... PASTORIA... JEFFERSON...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 530 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 15 AND 30.

by **Stovepipe** 2012-01-22, 8:22 pm

oh snap

Late January warmup with possible severe - Page 4 Do8h79

by **Adam2014** 2012-01-22, 8:31 pm

Stovepipe wrote:oh snap

Doughtnut hole, that looks very bad there.

by **Stovepipe** 2012-01-22, 9:46 pm

Sounds like there have been several tornadoes on the ground, some causing significant damage.

Some eye candy from American:

Late January warmup with possible severe - Page 4 Sn0u80

Late January warmup with possible severe - Page 4 Sn0u80

Late January warmup with possible severe - Page 4 Ku7if

Late January warmup with possible severe - Page 4 Image_full2

by **Adam2014** 2012-01-22, 9:48 pm

Some guy on facebook in my area is writing this off, saying dry air from the southeast is drying all this up.

by **Stovepipe** 2012-01-22, 9:53 pm

Live stream weather coverage:

http://www.wreg.com/

also

* AT 843 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO 25 MILES WEST OF WATKINS
CORNER...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF DE WITT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

by **Stovepipe** 2012-01-22, 10:08 pm

You know it's bad when the local news is saying "WEAR DURABLE SHOES, KEEP IDENTIFICATION ON YOURSELF"

Late January warmup with possible severe - Page 4 ThisBusinessWillGetOutOfControl

Late January warmup with possible severe - Page 4 ThisBusinessWillGetOutOfControl

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