Re: March 5-6th Winter Storm

by **John1122** 2013-03-05, 7:23 am

Due to the timeframe they can hold off on issuing products. They'll have to roll out by this afternoon with something.

by **Neals** 2013-03-05, 8:43 am

Just waiting hurry

and watching. popcorn

by **VFL** 2013-03-05, 9:33 am

No way Knoxville makes 58' today.

by **Dyersburg Weather** 2013-03-05, 12:41 pm

36 degrees in Dyersburg and rain/snow mix. Precip about over here.

by **VFL** 2013-03-05, 1:23 pm

Dyersburg Weather wrote:36 degrees in Dyersburg and rain/snow mix. Precip about over here.

Are you all going to get any wrap around snow? If Knox sees any that's what it will be.

by **Jed33** 2013-03-05, 1:49 pm

VFL wrote:No way Knoxville makes 58' today.

Yep, I would agree with you VFL, it's still 40 at the house, and I see Knox. At 41. Meanwhile Chatanooga is 57! It all depends on the warm front and how far N it makes it, but, I doubt that even if it makes it this far, that we hit even 50 b4 the front comes through. Remember though, too, that any snow that comes will be overnight, so eventually, the rain will stop, and it may seem that all is over. however, the ull looks to drop in after midnight, bringing it's own moisture. Assuming it plays out that way, then middle and eastern TN will see some snow. Still some if's though, as ULL's tend to be hard to pinpoint

by **VFL** 2013-03-05, 2:44 pm

Yeah Jed, MRX was suggesting with their noon update that the warm front might not make it to Knoxville and that could change the forecast. We'll see but at this point I'd be just as surprised if we got 3-4" or nothing.

by **John1122** 2013-03-05, 3:36 pm

MRX did pretty much what I figured and went with a WWA here. They are still forecasting warning criteria snow but didn't put the warning out. For whatever reason they basically never issue warnings outside the mountains, even when events exceed the criteria.

by **Aeasberry21** 2013-03-05, 3:52 pm

How much for gatlinburg area?

by **John1122** 2013-03-05, 3:56 pm

I'd guess 2-5 for Gatlinburg.

by **John1122** 2013-03-05, 3:58 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
334 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATION AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...EAST TENNESSEE... AND
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

.A COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER AIR INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP BY LATE EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...TAPERING OFF DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY BE
HEAVY AT TIMES ESPECIALLY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

TNZ012>014-035-060500-
/O.UPG.KMRX.WS.A.0004.130306T0000Z-130307T0500Z/
/O.EXB.KMRX.WW.Y.0010.130306T0300Z-130307T0500Z/
SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-MORGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONEIDA...LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL...
WARTBURG
334 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS
NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* EVENT...SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH MODERATE SNOW POSSIBLE
AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. SNOW
SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SNOW MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS TUESDAY
EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.
DRIVING AND WALKING MAY BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND
SIDEWALKS. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME
TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

by **Jed33** 2013-03-05, 3:59 pm

John1122 wrote:MRX did pretty much what I figured and went with a WWA here. They are still forecasting warning criteria snow but didn't put the warning out. For whatever reason they basically never issue warnings outside the mountains, even when events exceed the criteria.

Same here John. They say total snow accum. up to 2 inches by tomorrow, but no advisory, lol. I said it this morning, it's like they give an AFD forecast, and a separate zone forecast. That way they have both bases covered. Sux, b/c they should be exactly the same, but they hardly ever are, lol. facepalm

by **John1122** 2013-03-05, 4:06 pm

Jed33 wrote:
John1122 wrote:MRX did pretty much what I figured and went with a WWA here. They are still forecasting warning criteria snow but didn't put the warning out. For whatever reason they basically never issue warnings outside the mountains, even when events exceed the criteria.

Same here John. They say total snow accum. up to 2 inches by tomorrow, but no advisory, lol. I said it this morning, it's like they give an AFD forecast, and a separate zone forecast. That way they have both bases covered. Sux, b/c they should be exactly the same, but they hardly ever are, lol.

They only like to issue products after the fact. They issue what they're reasonably sure will happen at minimum then upgrade maybe if it becomes an extreme event.

by **Toot** 2013-03-05, 4:16 pm

Lol..DT says all rain lol!

by **Toot** 2013-03-05, 4:31 pm

Checkout that upper low sliding southeastward pals

March 5-6th Winter Storm - Page 5 Ir2_east_anim

by **John1122** 2013-03-05, 4:57 pm

It should move right over the top of us.

by **Jed33** 2013-03-05, 5:25 pm

Lol, roll baby roll

by **etnwx** 2013-03-05, 6:09 pm

Much further south than predicted?

by **Reb** 2013-03-05, 6:56 pm

49 was the high here...7 degrees below forecasted high

by **Toot** 2013-03-05, 6:58 pm

etnwx wrote:Much further south than predicted?

Not that I can tell. The whole thing may have taken on a neutral tilt a little early tho

by **VFL** 2013-03-05, 7:05 pm

Toot wrote:
etnwx wrote:Much further south than predicted?
Not that I can tell. The whole thing may have taken on a neutral tilt a little early tho

What would that change Toot?

by **John1122** 2013-03-05, 7:10 pm

It was actually an impressive flooding day here too. My driveway is washed out and the creek is out of its banks and is using the roadway.

by **John1122** 2013-03-05, 7:22 pm

The temp crashed impressively here, strong winds and down to 35 degrees. Probably won't be any more moisture until later tonight if not on towards morning.

by **Toot** 2013-03-05, 7:36 pm

VFL wrote:
What would that change Toot?

Its just a little early..not a real big change.

Meanwhile...MRX weighs in on the situation
MRX March 5-6th Winter Storm - Page 5 541636_539821076049269_1967544622_n

March 5-6th Winter Storm - Page 5 541636_539821076049269_1967544622_n

by **Reb** 2013-03-05, 7:49 pm

Their maps nor their forecasts add up. They are a joke.

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