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dec 25th trough dec 30th

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dec 25th trough dec 30th

Post by windstorm on 2015-12-14, 10:42 am

Looks like ridging backing to the NW  systems cutting underneath the ridge from time to time. Maybe some lake cutters to.  One thing I will add, and I KNOW this is not in a winter forecast.  No White Christmas where i live. 100% sure this year. looks like if models  are right could be mild to warm Christmas. As the models look today. thanks toot.
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Re: dec 25th trough dec 30th

Post by Toot on 2015-12-14, 8:46 pm

windstorm wrote:No White Christmas where i live. 100% sure this year. looks like if models  are right could be mild to warm Christmas. As the models look today. thanks toot.

LOL..windstorm its two weeks away and were gonna be in a colder and more active pattern but the 12z GFS gave a white christmas to much of east TN lapat


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Re: dec 25th trough dec 30th

Post by windstorm on 2015-12-14, 8:57 pm

Toot that snow map has 0 for my area. But early model or models had warmer temps. Not look at anything later today. I looked early early this morning.
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Re: dec 25th trough dec 30th

Post by windstorm on 2015-12-14, 8:59 pm

I hope we get in a cold pattern before December is gone. I would like to C a big thick cover of snow for Christmas.
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Re: dec 25th trough dec 30th

Post by Toot on 2015-12-14, 9:02 pm

windstorm wrote:Toot that snow map has 0 for my area. But early model or models had warmer temps. Not look at anything later today. I looked early early this morning.  

Yeah..im just saying its 13 days away each model run will be completely different until we get into the 5-7 day range. Then we'll have an idea..one thing they all agree on is a major storm system during the christmas holiday. Where it tracks is anyones guess at this point!

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Re: dec 25th trough dec 30th

Post by windstorm on 2015-12-14, 9:55 pm

i look at one map around the 24th or somewhere around that time frame. it show big rain event with the 540 line nowhere near where we are. am like you, they change all the time. But going by climate data it a stretch. Don't get me wrong, i would love to see it. I also look out on the NWS extend map 22nd to 28 or 29 showed very warm. hope it wrong. Am ready for snow and cold. 70 plus degree days in December is just not right. Of course, it may change. it always does..thanks toot.
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Re: dec 25th trough dec 30th

Post by Toot on 2015-12-15, 8:41 pm

Here we go again..two days in a row for the gfs and Christmas snow..lol

The funny thing... this is the only time period (Christmas Dec 25th) that the American model has shown measuable snowfall in the southern Appalachian and OH valley regions. This is now two days in a row where it has suggested the possibility. Take it with a huge grain of salt tho as its still 10 days away and our computer models are not advanced enough yet to accurately nail something at 10 days away (They will be within the next 10 years tho)!!
That means they cant predict temps accurately at 10 days out much less precip and type of precip!



Last edited by Toot on 2015-12-16, 9:25 am; edited 1 time in total

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Re: dec 25th trough dec 30th

Post by windstorm on 2015-12-16, 8:39 am

look for a wet patten to set up next week the way things stand now. Mostly likely a mild to warm end to 2015. Will the patten flip ? Some are saying, 1st or 2nd week of January. I hope they don't keep pushing this back. If they keep pushing it back it will be spring. But remember last year, also was a warm December to and it looked bleak for us. But the players are there for some good snows chances this winter. It just a matter of when are they going to take the playing field. Soon I hope. Suck December up and let's get into January and let the fun begin hurry .
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Re: dec 25th trough dec 30th

Post by Toot on 2015-12-16, 9:22 am

American model still trying to paint snow in the 10 day range..this time it waits til about the 27th and nails areas close to Nashville



The stuff u see in east TN is upslope snowfall this weekend!!

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Re: dec 25th trough dec 30th

Post by Jscentraltn on 2015-12-20, 12:32 pm

I know the models had backed off of the idea, but know looking at the euro and the new 12z gfs it is back on for that storm..... Interesting setup! We will see.



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