Clipper Train 2013
+26
juju
etnwx
Grandpa Nasty
LoganMulti12
tom23
Vanster67
1234snow
Coach B
MSR_93
joereb1
VFL
Reb
Math/Met
skillsweather
windstorm
AndyP
John1122
tennessee storm09
Snowfacial
Dyersburg Weather
ballpark
jmundie
Jed33
Jscentraltn
connerconner
Toot
30 posters
Page 2 of 8
Page 2 of 8 • 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Re: Clipper Train 2013
We have snow currently falling here in Erwin. Maybe this morning's dusting will stick around tonight! Hope everyone has a great day!!
AndyP- Banned
- Posts : 194
Join date : 2011-12-06
Age : 44
Location : Erwin TN
Re: Clipper Train 2013
Man, I really like the looks of the WRF!
Jed33- Admin
- Posts : 930
Join date : 2011-12-09
Location : Morristown, TN
Re: Clipper Train 2013
Looks like parts of Tenn may have at least two shots at snow from now until monday. It does bring a fast mover down again on Sunday. So will watch and see. But the better chances are N and NE.
windstorm- Member
- Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn
Re: Clipper Train 2013
Me too I think eastern middle Tennessee and eastward might do pretty decent. Time will tell only 12hrs to go!
skillsweather- Banned
- Posts : 313
Join date : 2011-12-06
Age : 32
Location : tennessee Wilson county Ne Corner
Re: Clipper Train 2013
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...CURRENT SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT OVER THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY...WITH A
COLD AND DRY AIR MASS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. MODELS AGREE THAT A
SHORT WAVE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DIVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT...WHICH WILL QUICKLY PUSH THIS COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING ALONG AND BEHIND IT. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME LOW-LEVEL INSTABILITY DEVELOPING OVER THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT...WITH
CAPE VALUES UP TO 50 J/KG. ALTHOUGH THE MODELS DO NOT INDICATE MUCH MOISTURE WITH THIS QUICK-MOVING FRONT...THIS LOW-LEVEL INSTABILITY SHOULD HELP TO PRODUCE SOME INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES WITH THESE SNOW SHOWERS. IN ADDITION...TEMPS IN THE 20S TONIGHT SHOULD HELP TO ENSURE THAT ANY SNOW THAT FALLS ACCUMULATES QUICKLY (AND POSSIBLY WITH A SNOW-TO-LIQUID RATIO HIGHER THAN THE STANDARD 10:1 RATIO). WITH THIS IN MIND...WILL EXPAND THE WINTER WX ADVISORY TO INCLUDE
ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA EXCEPT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHEAST TN WHERE ANY ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE NO MORE THAN AN INCH. MODELS INDICATE THAT WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN THIS EVENING WITH THE COLD FRONT...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...CURRENT SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT OVER THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY...WITH A
COLD AND DRY AIR MASS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. MODELS AGREE THAT A
SHORT WAVE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DIVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT...WHICH WILL QUICKLY PUSH THIS COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING ALONG AND BEHIND IT. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME LOW-LEVEL INSTABILITY DEVELOPING OVER THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT...WITH
CAPE VALUES UP TO 50 J/KG. ALTHOUGH THE MODELS DO NOT INDICATE MUCH MOISTURE WITH THIS QUICK-MOVING FRONT...THIS LOW-LEVEL INSTABILITY SHOULD HELP TO PRODUCE SOME INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES WITH THESE SNOW SHOWERS. IN ADDITION...TEMPS IN THE 20S TONIGHT SHOULD HELP TO ENSURE THAT ANY SNOW THAT FALLS ACCUMULATES QUICKLY (AND POSSIBLY WITH A SNOW-TO-LIQUID RATIO HIGHER THAN THE STANDARD 10:1 RATIO). WITH THIS IN MIND...WILL EXPAND THE WINTER WX ADVISORY TO INCLUDE
ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA EXCEPT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHEAST TN WHERE ANY ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE NO MORE THAN AN INCH. MODELS INDICATE THAT WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN THIS EVENING WITH THE COLD FRONT...
AndyP- Banned
- Posts : 194
Join date : 2011-12-06
Age : 44
Location : Erwin TN
Re: Clipper Train 2013
Beat me to it Andy. Yep, MRX on board for the area, at least for tonight. Now, lets hope it pans out! I said it earlier, the WRF looks great for a lot of locations! I'd take it in a heartbeat
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
331 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013
...LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING INTO
FRIDAY MORNING...
.A COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN
REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND COLDER
TEMPERATURES. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT TIMES...PARTICULARLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE 20S TONIGHT...THIS SNOWFALL SHOULD BE ABLE TO ACCUMULATE IN
MOST AREAS.
NCZ060-061-TNZ012-013-035>040-067>071-073-081-082-098-102-010515-
/O.EXA.KMRX.WW.Y.0004.130201T0300Z-130201T1500Z/
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-
HAMBLEN-NORTHWEST COCKE-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
NORTH SEVIER-SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-MARION-EAST POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...ONEIDA...
LA FOLLETTE...WARTBURG...CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...
RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN...NEWPORT...KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...
KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...MARYVILLE...SEVIERVILLE...DUNLAP...
PIKEVILLE...JASPER...DUCKTOWN
331 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 /231 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013/
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/
THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ FRIDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST /9
PM CST/ THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ FRIDAY.
* TIMING...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL QUICKLY MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* MAIN IMPACT...1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.
* OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ON ALL UNTREATED SURFACE...
AND SECONDARY ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME HAZARDOUS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT. DRIVING AND WALKING MAY BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS
AND SIDEWALKS. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME
TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.
&&
$$
TNZ014>018-041>047-072-074-087-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010515-
/O.CON.KMRX.WW.Y.0004.130201T0300Z-130201T1500Z/
CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-
NORTHWEST CARTER-SOUTHEAST CARTER-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST MONROE-LEE-WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-
WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...
KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...MOUNTAIN CITY...COSBY...GREENEVILLE...
CEDAR CREEK...JOHNSON CITY...ERWIN...ELIZABETHTON...
ROAN MOUNTAIN...CADES COVE...GATLINBURG...COKER CREEK...
JONESVILLE...WISE...NORTON...GATE CITY...LEBANON...ABINGDON
331 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY...
* TIMING...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL QUICKLY MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* MAIN IMPACT...1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.
* OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ON ALL UNTREATED SURFACES...
AND SECONDARY ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME HAZARDOUS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT. DRIVING AND WALKING MAY BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS
AND SIDEWALKS. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME
TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.
&&
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
331 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013
...LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING INTO
FRIDAY MORNING...
.A COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN
REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND COLDER
TEMPERATURES. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT TIMES...PARTICULARLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE 20S TONIGHT...THIS SNOWFALL SHOULD BE ABLE TO ACCUMULATE IN
MOST AREAS.
NCZ060-061-TNZ012-013-035>040-067>071-073-081-082-098-102-010515-
/O.EXA.KMRX.WW.Y.0004.130201T0300Z-130201T1500Z/
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-
HAMBLEN-NORTHWEST COCKE-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
NORTH SEVIER-SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-MARION-EAST POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...ONEIDA...
LA FOLLETTE...WARTBURG...CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...
RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN...NEWPORT...KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...
KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...MARYVILLE...SEVIERVILLE...DUNLAP...
PIKEVILLE...JASPER...DUCKTOWN
331 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 /231 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013/
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/
THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ FRIDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST /9
PM CST/ THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ FRIDAY.
* TIMING...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL QUICKLY MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* MAIN IMPACT...1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.
* OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ON ALL UNTREATED SURFACE...
AND SECONDARY ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME HAZARDOUS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT. DRIVING AND WALKING MAY BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS
AND SIDEWALKS. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME
TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.
&&
$$
TNZ014>018-041>047-072-074-087-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010515-
/O.CON.KMRX.WW.Y.0004.130201T0300Z-130201T1500Z/
CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHWEST GREENE-SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-
NORTHWEST CARTER-SOUTHEAST CARTER-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST MONROE-LEE-WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-
WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...
KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...MOUNTAIN CITY...COSBY...GREENEVILLE...
CEDAR CREEK...JOHNSON CITY...ERWIN...ELIZABETHTON...
ROAN MOUNTAIN...CADES COVE...GATLINBURG...COKER CREEK...
JONESVILLE...WISE...NORTON...GATE CITY...LEBANON...ABINGDON
331 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY...
* TIMING...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL QUICKLY MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* MAIN IMPACT...1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.
* OTHER IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ON ALL UNTREATED SURFACES...
AND SECONDARY ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME HAZARDOUS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT. DRIVING AND WALKING MAY BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS
AND SIDEWALKS. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME
TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.
&&
Jed33- Admin
- Posts : 930
Join date : 2011-12-09
Location : Morristown, TN
Re: Clipper Train 2013
I always like seeing those steep low level lapse rates. It usually creates some intense bands of snow with these systems.
Math/Met- Meteorologist
- Posts : 226
Join date : 2011-12-05
Re: Clipper Train 2013
downsloping is going to piss me the hell off tonight. guaranfuckinteed
Reb- Admin
- Posts : 745
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Maryville, TN
Re: Clipper Train 2013
Easy Reb! It'll be present, I guarantee too. It always is here in the great valley, but hopefully what moisture there is can combine with the cold temps and steep lapse rates, to produce some decent accums. We have MRX on board, and that takes a lot to get them on board for the valley.
Last edited by Jed33 on 2013-01-31, 5:24 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Spelling errors-wrote great valery instead of valley)
Jed33- Admin
- Posts : 930
Join date : 2011-12-09
Location : Morristown, TN
Re: Clipper Train 2013
Reb wrote:downsloping is going to piss me the hell off tonight. guaranfuckinteed
VFL- Member
- Posts : 367
Join date : 2012-04-10
Age : 49
Location : North Knox County
Re: Clipper Train 2013
todd howell is thinking a good half inch for the central valley. if it covers the roads at all ill be fairly pleased.
Reb- Admin
- Posts : 745
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Maryville, TN
Re: Clipper Train 2013
A fast moving but intense clipper system will affect parts of the state tonight. Snow could become heavy and squall like at times causing whiteout conditions due to favorable atmospheric paramaters.
Snow ratios will be rather high with this system and surface temperatures will be very cooperative allowing for most of what falls to accumulate. This is the first in a series of clipper systems to race southward out of Canada over the next few days.
Snow ratios will be rather high with this system and surface temperatures will be very cooperative allowing for most of what falls to accumulate. This is the first in a series of clipper systems to race southward out of Canada over the next few days.
Re: Clipper Train 2013
VFL wrote:Reb wrote:downsloping is going to piss me the hell off tonight. guaranfuckinteed
True dat en dem sum!!!
That reminds me of Chinese food.
joereb1- Banned
- Posts : 76
Join date : 2011-12-06
Location : Corryton, TN.
Re: Clipper Train 2013
Toot, what do you think about Sat. Clipper. It looks even better moisture wise than this one. WRF has it tapping gulf moisture it appears. MRX says temps will be borderline for it though, but i'm thinking there may be enough moisture at night for some minor accums. Any thoughts?
Jed33- Admin
- Posts : 930
Join date : 2011-12-09
Location : Morristown, TN
Re: Clipper Train 2013
Temp profiles look pretty similar to this one but it does seem to be a stronger clipper which will advect more warm air into the region than this one. Probably a rain to snow situation Knoxville and southward
Re: Clipper Train 2013
Dang, that even looks good for the mid state.Toot wrote:Radar shot out of Paducah KY..is sexy as all get out!!
MSR_93- Member
- Posts : 6
Join date : 2013-01-11
Re: Clipper Train 2013
such a tease. toot....you and i both know downsloping will suck ass tonight
Reb- Admin
- Posts : 745
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Maryville, TN
Re: Clipper Train 2013
Definately a problem the further south you go in the valley..here in Mtown..not so much!Reb wrote:such a tease. toot....you and i both know downsloping will suck ass tonight
Re: Clipper Train 2013
Temp dropped from 45 to 34 in 20 minutes and it is snowing in the Burg,
Dyersburg Weather- Banned
- Posts : 342
Join date : 2011-12-25
Age : 55
Location : Dyersburg , TN
Re: Clipper Train 2013
And I mean SNOWING quarters. You guys east of here might get a surprise. Radar not doing it justice.
Dyersburg Weather- Banned
- Posts : 342
Join date : 2011-12-25
Age : 55
Location : Dyersburg , TN
Re: Clipper Train 2013
I want some quarters, lol. Ill take my yard 1 inch deep with quarters, and plan for early retirement, lol.
Jed33- Admin
- Posts : 930
Join date : 2011-12-09
Location : Morristown, TN
Re: Clipper Train 2013
After seeing that radar image outta Paducha I knew it wouldnt be long until we heard from you..LOL Is it laying?Dyersburg Weather wrote:And I mean SNOWING quarters. You guys east of here might get a surprise. Radar not doing it justice.
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