Re: March 2nd 2012 in like a lion!! HIGH RISK

by **Stovepipe** 2012-02-29, 5:22 pm

Clarkrange, Lancing, Sunbright, and Wartburg in the path according to Howell.

by Vanster67 2012-02-29, 5:23 pm

we have hail!!!!!!!!

by **Adam2014** 2012-02-29, 5:24 pm

What size van?

by Vanster67 2012-02-29, 5:28 pm

rotation is supposed to be right over us.

by Vanster67 2012-02-29, 5:28 pm

1/2 inch size Adam

by **Toot** 2012-02-29, 5:31 pm

Oh dear!!

Kevin (Memphis weather) is having a meltdown over at Talkweather

I get tired (again) by people who are called out for talking about model data that not's declaring imminent doom and gloom...yet the exact opposite is tolerated if not encouraged by more the rest of the time. Its one of the main reasons I stopped posting here the first time and may do it again if it keeps up.

Now that I know I'm not coming back here...I don't feel worried saying screw you. Since I joined in 2004...there has been post after post from you mocking me or bashing me and I encourage any member to go through his and/or mine post history to see that and simply because I didn't cry death and destruction every time a cold front was passing through or the GFS showed a 1000 hour non-existent snow threat. Almost from the year I joined...nearly 8 years. I hope you enjoyed it.

Sorry people...but I'm tired of the forum bullying but a certain group here and I'm joining the ranks of many dozens of others who aren't standing for it either. I apologize to the remaining quality posters that are still here.

by **Adam2014** 2012-02-29, 5:33 pm

He needs to get a tissue.

by **AndyP** 2012-02-29, 5:35 pm

Anybody heard anything concerning extending the SVR watch further eastward? I would think it would be getting close to time to do that.

by **Toot** 2012-02-29, 5:36 pm

AndyP wrote:Anybody heard anything concerning extending the SVR watch further eastward? I would think it would be getting close to time to do that.

Yeah its bound to happen any minute

by **Toot** 2012-02-29, 5:42 pm

March 2nd 2012 in like a lion!! HIGH RISK - Page 7 Mcd0189

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0189 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0436 PM CST WED FEB 29 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN TN/NORTH GA/WESTERN NC/WESTERN SC CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 48... VALID 292236Z - 292330Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 48 CONTINUES. A NEW TORNADO WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED SHORTLY FOR REMAINING PORTIONS OF EASTERN TN AS WELL AS FAR NORTH GA INTO WESTERN NC/PERHAPS SC. AT THE VERY LEAST...A SPATIAL EXTENSION OF TORNADO WATCH 48 WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS EASTERN TN. A MODESTLY BROKEN LINE OF SEVERE STORMS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO STEADILY PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF TN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WHILE UPDRAFT INTENSITIES HAVE TRENDED A BIT DOWNWARD IN THE SHORT TERM AND DOWNSTREAM BUOYANCY IN VICINITY OF THE APPALACHIANS IS WEAKER /ONLY SEVERAL HUNDRED J PER KG SBCAPE/...A CONTINUED WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY MOISTURE INFLUX AND PROBABLE DOWNSTREAM/PRE-LINE DESTABILIZATION...ALONG WITH A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR A HIGHLY-ORGANIZED STORM MODE INCLUDING EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/BOWS CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES AND WIND DAMAGE. SHORT-TERM TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A NEW TORNADO WATCH. ..GUYER.. 02/29/2012

by **AndyP** 2012-02-29, 5:43 pm

Toot wrote:

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0189 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0436 PM CST WED FEB 29 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN TN/NORTH GA/WESTERN NC/WESTERN SC CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 48... VALID 292236Z - 292330Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 48 CONTINUES. A NEW TORNADO WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED SHORTLY FOR REMAINING PORTIONS OF EASTERN TN AS WELL AS FAR NORTH GA INTO WESTERN NC/PERHAPS SC. AT THE VERY LEAST...A SPATIAL EXTENSION OF TORNADO WATCH 48 WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS EASTERN TN. A MODESTLY BROKEN LINE OF SEVERE STORMS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO STEADILY PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF TN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WHILE UPDRAFT INTENSITIES HAVE TRENDED A BIT DOWNWARD IN THE SHORT TERM AND DOWNSTREAM BUOYANCY IN VICINITY OF THE APPALACHIANS IS WEAKER /ONLY SEVERAL HUNDRED J PER KG SBCAPE/...A CONTINUED WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY MOISTURE INFLUX AND PROBABLE DOWNSTREAM/PRE-LINE DESTABILIZATION...ALONG WITH A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR A HIGHLY-ORGANIZED STORM MODE INCLUDING EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/BOWS CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES AND WIND DAMAGE. SHORT-TERM TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A NEW TORNADO WATCH. ..GUYER.. 02/29/2012

Thanks Toot!

by Vanster67 2012-02-29, 5:49 pm

well, whew! I gotta say the silence after the siren with some easy rain is so sweet. But with the siren blowing, radio/tv in the house dogs barking heavy rain, hail and wind it is quite enough to ruffle some feathers. Looks like it's over here. Till maybe Friday. Ya'll please stay safe tonight, and thanks for the heads ups, thoughts and prayers. It is fascinating yet terrifying looking for severe weather. Cause what ya gona do when you see it bearing down upon ya. Well run like heck in reverse, and take some great video too. Gotta work tonight. I have stayed up all day for this. Time to go to bed. I have to work tonight. Later ya'll. Very Happy

by **Stovepipe** 2012-02-29, 5:50 pm

Glad you're ok Van.

rock on

by **Stovepipe** 2012-02-29, 5:53 pm

Just heard from family members in Smithville. They didn't have damage at their place to speak of but after driving around it is apparent the area took a hard hit. Many trees are down/uprooted as well as a number of metal buildings and other structures heavily damaged.

Toot wrote:Oh dear!!

Kevin (Memphis weather) is having a meltdown over at Talkweather

I get tired (again) by people who are called out for talking about model data that not's declaring imminent doom and gloom...yet the exact opposite is tolerated if not encouraged by more the rest of the time. Its one of the main reasons I stopped posting here the first time and may do it again if it keeps up.

Now that I know I'm not coming back here...I don't feel worried saying screw you. Since I joined in 2004...there has been post after post from you mocking me or bashing me and I encourage any member to go through his and/or mine post history to see that and simply because I didn't cry death and destruction every time a cold front was passing through or the GFS showed a 1000 hour non-existent snow threat. Almost from the year I joined...nearly 8 years. I hope you enjoyed it.

Sorry people...but I'm tired of the forum bullying but a certain group here and I'm joining the ranks of many dozens of others who aren't standing for it either. I apologize to the remaining quality posters that are still here.

March 2nd 2012 in like a lion!! HIGH RISK - Page 7 24nlok6

by **AndyP** 2012-02-29, 5:57 pm

More rotation being indicated, this time just north of Dunlap TN.

by **Stovepipe** 2012-02-29, 6:02 pm

John appears to be in the cone of concern according to WBIR.

by **Toot** 2012-02-29, 6:09 pm

Storms appear to be transistioning into mostly line segments now. I dont think the SPC will issue a TOR watch for extreme eastern TN and western NC...maybe a SVR watch but storms appear to have weakened a good bit.

But MAN are the winds howling here yikes

by **Toot** 2012-02-29, 6:35 pm

There is a cell in southeast TN that appears to have some severe qualities to it...but notice this warning was issued by FFC down in GA. Anybody know whats going on here? Maybe MRX is just too busy..IDK?

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TNC007-011-065-121-143-153-010000-
/O.NEW.KMRX.SV.W.0021.120229T2320Z-120301T0000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KNOXVILLE-TRI CITIES TN
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
620 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KNOXVILLE-TRI CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN BLEDSOE COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
NORTH CENTRAL BRADLEY COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
NORTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
CENTRAL MEIGS COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
RHEA COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
SEQUATCHIE COUNTY IN TENNESSEE

* UNTIL 700 PM EST/600 PM CST/

* AT 517 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS UP TO 70
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES WEST OF DUNLAP...MOVING EAST
AT 70 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
SODDY-DAISY...DAYTON...SPRING CITY AND DECATUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. ALTHOUGH
CURRENT DATA DOES NOT INDICATE THE EXISTENCE OF A TORNADO...A TORNADO
MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO
A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL OR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WAIT
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8 6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6.

&&

LAT...LON 3525 8543 3528 8545 3532 8556 3534 8556
3539 8550 3542 8550 3544 8555 3549 8554
3574 8476 3546 8477 3543 8482 3536 8485
3532 8478 3524 8479
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 263DEG 60KT 3536 8557

$$

Also...they did end up extending the TOR watch eastward

Valid to 10pm

March 2nd 2012 in like a lion!! HIGH RISK - Page 7 Ww0053_radar

by **Stovepipe** 2012-02-29, 7:10 pm

Seeing some great lightning from that line moving just to the south of me. Reb is probably getting rocked.

by **Math/Met** 2012-02-29, 7:13 pm

It looks like a few storms are trying to reorganize somewhat.

Like Toot mentioned (regarding the wind), there are some very strong winds being picked up on radar just above the surface. It won’t take much to get those down to the surface.

by **Toot** 2012-02-29, 7:25 pm

TOR warning for parts Blount..Monroe and Sevier counties

by **Stovepipe** 2012-02-29, 7:26 pm

The storm in Loudon county is getting impressive. Hook is forming Todd says. I'm on the very northern fringe and it's a fireworks show lemmie tell ya.

by **Stovepipe** 2012-02-29, 7:27 pm

Damn, fatality in Monterey. Sad

by **Reb** 2012-02-29, 7:27 pm

by **Toot** 2012-02-29, 7:28 pm

looks like a hook echo is trying to form there yikes

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