WRF cast
Satellite Loop
Current Watches
Current Snow Cover
Conus Radar
Regional Radar
Tennessee Radar
SE RADAR
Enlarge
24 hr Temp change
Current MDs
Regional Temps
Conus Temps
Current CPC NAO and forecast
Top posters
Toot (6644)
 
Stovepipe (4148)
 
Adam2014 (1424)
 
tennessee storm09 (1303)
 
Jed33 (930)
 
windstorm (891)
 
John1122 (885)
 
snowdog (855)
 
Homemommy (824)
 
WxFreak (812)
 


Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Page 21 of 22 Previous  1 ... 12 ... 20, 21, 22  Next

Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2012-08-11, 9:16 am

west tn and midsouth placed under a slight risk on monday for severe weather... this threat may be best threat we had in some time... low track getting further south with each system here latley... the low level jet looks really nice with some decent shear... this could get interesting. rock on

tennessee storm09
Severe Wx Specialist

Posts : 1303
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 56
Location : jackson,tennessee(home of 3 ef4 tornadoes since 1999)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Adam2014 on 2012-08-11, 9:40 am

http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?zoom=4&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=1&mm.mdl=GFS&mm.type=SURPRE&mm.hour=0&mm.opa=100&mm.clk=0&hur=0&fire=0&tor=0&ndfd=0&pix=0&dir=0&ads=0&tfk=0&fodors=0&ski=0&ls=0&rad2=0 Wunderground won't let me post a picture, but look at the trough on the GFS at hour 177. That is a huge trough and there is some hints of the 540 line already returning to Southern Canada in that model run.

_________________
GO VOLS!!!
avatar
Adam2014
Founding Member

Posts : 1424
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 22
Location : Lawrenceburg,TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-08-12, 12:06 pm

what a nice day it is......70 and bluebird skies
"

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile https://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Adam2014 on 2012-08-12, 5:05 pm

I am under a slight risk of severe weather tomorrow, I have been looking at the WRF and there will definitly be some shear in the 0-1 KM range. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.

_________________
GO VOLS!!!
avatar
Adam2014
Founding Member

Posts : 1424
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 22
Location : Lawrenceburg,TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2012-08-12, 5:54 pm

Adam2014 wrote:I am under a slight risk of severe weather tomorrow, I have been looking at the WRF and there will definitly be some shear in the 0-1 KM range. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.
good point... you throw in very unstable air mass out ahead of front... nam has been hinting at a few super cells even. beer

tennessee storm09
Severe Wx Specialist

Posts : 1303
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 56
Location : jackson,tennessee(home of 3 ef4 tornadoes since 1999)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-08-12, 9:41 pm

Supposed to be down in the 50's in the wee AM hrs..brrr

Next weekends trough looks even stronger and looks to be the strongest/deepest yet.

All signs pointing towards a cold fall.

http://www.weatherbellmodels.com/weather/gfs/2012081218/conus/gfs_z500_uv_vort_conus_55.png


Last edited by Toot on 2012-08-12, 9:53 pm; edited 1 time in total

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile https://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Adam2014 on 2012-08-12, 9:45 pm

tennessee storm09 wrote:
Adam2014 wrote:I am under a slight risk of severe weather tomorrow, I have been looking at the WRF and there will definitly be some shear in the 0-1 KM range. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.
good point... you throw in very unstable air mass out ahead of front... nam has been hinting at a few super cells even. beer
It will be very interesting for sure, the WRF has been hinting at shear for a couple of days now. It is all going to depend on if we stay clear tomorrow morning.

_________________
GO VOLS!!!
avatar
Adam2014
Founding Member

Posts : 1424
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 22
Location : Lawrenceburg,TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-08-12, 9:46 pm

Oh yeah it got down to 43 on Leconte this morning at twilight...pob hit 30'S in the am tonight cold

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile https://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by John1122 on 2012-08-13, 4:40 am

52 here Sunday morning, felt like October all weekend.

John1122
Winter Specialist

Posts : 885
Join date : 2011-12-06
Location : Campbell Co

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-08-13, 7:29 am

Got down to 56 here this morning at daybreak. Now bring on that next trough!!

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile https://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Stovepipe on 2012-08-13, 8:44 am

Yeah, awesome weekend and the models are lookin good. Starting to get pumped for fall and winter!

rock on
avatar
Stovepipe
Founding Member

Posts : 4148
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 42
Location : Knoxville, TN

View user profile http://thecountryisgoingtohell.tumblr.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by WxFreak on 2012-08-13, 9:05 am

Every August it seems the "feel" of the air changes. Yeah, it's still summer, and it can still be hot and humid--but you know that change is a comin'. The crickets and katydids start singing (late summer and early fall is mating season for the katydids). Other sounds disappear, such as the call of the Whippoorwills and bull frogs. Early morning fogs become the norm as the nights start getting longer. Trees stop growing, and some species like the hickories start dropping leaves, along with their crop of hickory nuts for the fall season. Every season has it’s “feel,” but the transition seasons of spring and autumn are my favorite times of the year.
avatar
WxFreak
Founding Member

Posts : 812
Join date : 2012-03-27
Age : 47
Location : East Sevier County, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by WxFreak on 2012-08-13, 10:21 am

Wow...pretty deep upper trough coming into the east U.S. late week into this weekend.

avatar
WxFreak
Founding Member

Posts : 812
Join date : 2012-03-27
Age : 47
Location : East Sevier County, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Stovepipe on 2012-08-13, 10:28 am

This line means business. Several cells capable of over 1 inch hail.

10:26am

avatar
Stovepipe
Founding Member

Posts : 4148
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 42
Location : Knoxville, TN

View user profile http://thecountryisgoingtohell.tumblr.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Stovepipe on 2012-08-13, 2:23 pm

Today's line is devolving into sloppy weak sauce as it moves eastward. Hopefully tomorrow's activity along the front will allow for some boomers.

2:22pm

avatar
Stovepipe
Founding Member

Posts : 4148
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 42
Location : Knoxville, TN

View user profile http://thecountryisgoingtohell.tumblr.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by WxFreak on 2012-08-13, 2:32 pm

Stovepipe wrote:Today's line is devolving into sloppy weak sauce as it moves eastward. Hopefully tomorrow's activity along the front will allow for some boomers.

2:22pm


With dew points currently running only in the upper 50's to lower 60's, and temps barely above 80 right now, the line of thunderstorms will probably continue to weaken into showers or light rain as it moves into East Tennessee. Just not enough gasoline in the atmosphere to spark strong storms here today.
I'd say the southern valley has the best chance of a strong storm, as moisture transport is probably a little better into that area.
avatar
WxFreak
Founding Member

Posts : 812
Join date : 2012-03-27
Age : 47
Location : East Sevier County, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by snowdog on 2012-08-13, 3:48 pm

12z Euro still showing a nice healthy cool front in a few days. Quite amazing for this time of the year.

snowdog
Winter Specialist

Posts : 855
Join date : 2011-12-14
Age : 40
Location : Mount Juliet, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by tennessee storm09 on 2012-08-13, 4:36 pm

snowdog wrote:12z Euro still showing a nice healthy cool front in a few days. Quite amazing for this time of the year.
looks like this is fixing to be the pattern perhaps taking shape... front after front... gfs shows this long range also. weather fixing to get a little more interesting down the line it looks

tennessee storm09
Severe Wx Specialist

Posts : 1303
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 56
Location : jackson,tennessee(home of 3 ef4 tornadoes since 1999)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-08-13, 7:50 pm

Storms in western TN and northern MS are in an enviroment that will aid in tornadogenesis. Not an outbreak by no means but conditions are there for an isolated TOR or two. Keep an eye out if you live out that way


_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile https://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-08-13, 7:53 pm

WxFreak wrote:Wow...pretty deep upper trough coming into the east U.S. late week into this weekend.


That's definitely a site for sore eyes freak drool


Last edited by Toot on 2012-08-15, 9:38 pm; edited 1 time in total

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile https://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Toot on 2012-08-15, 7:54 pm

Spose to be in the 50's here again tonight.



LMAO

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile https://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by skillsweather on 2012-08-15, 8:20 pm

*Definitely I learned it like this def-i-nite-ly just pronounce it like that when spelling it like that and it will stick with you forever lol.and it never stops when ever you write/type it out (trust me..).
Also I am so glad to see this summer go (and all summers for that matter).
I know its not officially over yet but we are seeing alot of strong signs of a fall pattern taking place very soon so we wont have much more summer to go.

skillsweather
Founding Member

Posts : 313
Join date : 2011-12-06
Age : 27
Location : tennessee Wilson county Ne Corner

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Adam2014 on 2012-08-15, 9:12 pm

This trough is really going to be big and hang around for a few days. Not looking like a big severe weather outbreak as shear is very undirectional, there will be some heavy rain with some embedded thunderstorms. Then the trough comes in with some pretty stout winds at 20-25 mph from the Northwest. Then after this trough the pattern pretty much goes zonal with a vigorous shortwave to the North.

_________________
GO VOLS!!!
avatar
Adam2014
Founding Member

Posts : 1424
Join date : 2011-12-05
Age : 22
Location : Lawrenceburg,TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by WxFreak on 2012-08-16, 8:15 am

I, for one, am glad to see this summer on the wane. While East Tennessee escaped the drought's clutches before it became severe/extreme, the mid June to mid July extreme torch didn’t make for enjoyable cook-out weather by any means. And what is summer without back yard barbeques? Last weekend was only my second one since May.

avatar
WxFreak
Founding Member

Posts : 812
Join date : 2012-03-27
Age : 47
Location : East Sevier County, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Dyersburg Weather on 2012-08-16, 5:29 pm

Can't post it right now but look at radar. Sure hope it keeps building and coming. Even Tornado warnings in Illinois. rock on
avatar
Dyersburg Weather
Founding Member

Posts : 342
Join date : 2011-12-25
Age : 49
Location : Dyersburg , TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Summer 2012 WX Discussion

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 21 of 22 Previous  1 ... 12 ... 20, 21, 22  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum