WRF cast
Satellite Loop
Current Watches
Current Snow Cover
Conus Radar
Regional Radar
Tennessee Radar
SE RADAR
Enlarge
24 hr Temp change
Current MDs
Regional Temps
Conus Temps
Current CPC NAO and forecast
Top posters
Toot (6644)
 
Stovepipe (4148)
 
Adam2014 (1424)
 
tennessee storm09 (1302)
 
Jed33 (930)
 
windstorm (891)
 
John1122 (885)
 
snowdog (855)
 
Homemommy (824)
 
WxFreak (812)
 


Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Page 2 of 3 Previous  1, 2, 3  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-10-19, 4:57 pm

IMBY we have had 5.86 inches of rain so far this October. With only a small chance of rain for this up coming week. Low so far this month, here has been 36 degrees with some light frost. November coming up could be another month of above normal temps.
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-10-25, 9:01 am

Could this be the first killing frost/freeze next week for many of us? Or is the GFS up too it's same old tricks. Still a week out be we will see.http://weather.unisys.com/gfs/7d/gfs_850_7d.gif
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Neals on 2014-10-25, 8:01 pm

Looks cold to me. Where's the snow? Laughing

Neals
Member

Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-10-28, 12:28 pm

Looks like the GFS and some other models are backing off of the cold air that it was showing day or two ago. It still going too cool down but as of right now the cold air don't look as strong as did a few days ago. We all have seen this many times before. Hey, yesterday IMBY I had a high of 88. Airport 85/86. What ever cooling we get will be much better than mid 80's I have been seeing ...
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Toot on 2014-10-28, 6:12 pm

Snowfall (possibly heavy) expected across the highest elevations of the southern Appalachians this weekend))

An early season upper trough/low looks to plunge pretty far south for this time of year and close off over the Carolinas Saturday! With strong cold air advection and plenty of moisture snow will likely fall at elevations above 3000ft! Surface temps will likley dip well into the 20's in places such as Mt. Leconte, TN.. Mt. Mitchell, NC.. High Knob, VA etc etc.

These are the areas im expecting the snow to fall in accompanied by strong and gusty wind conditions. This all begins late Friday night..more on this later..




_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Neals on 2014-10-28, 7:01 pm

I was wondering when someone was going to post about the snow.

Neals
Member

Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Neals on 2014-10-28, 7:03 pm

It's still 3-4 days out, so a lot can change by then. However, it's nice to see snow around our area this early in the year.

Neals
Member

Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-10-28, 9:38 pm

This colder air may bring some snow in the Higher peaks of the Smoky Mts.
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-10-29, 10:32 am

Looks like the cold/cooler weather will make it way down here with Snow expect in the higher elevations .. Total snowfall not known at this time. Northern valley locations good see snfl/snow showers as of right now. A low pressure off the NC Coast should pump colder air into these areas also. This is always subject to change... Good day everyone... popcorn
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-10-29, 11:14 am

When looking at NOAA Winter Outlook and you see EC on the map, I think they should change it too DK as in Don't Know. Have a good day.
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-10-29, 11:19 am

October is usually our driest month of the year, But not always. This month I have had 6.21 inches of rain. May have a little more before the end of the month.
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by etnwx on 2014-10-29, 12:59 pm

6.65" so far here. Had 0.64" overnight. Looking forward to Toot's winter forecast.

_________________
My web site: http://www.etnwx.com
My Weather Underground data can be seen HERE.

avatar
etnwx
Storm Spotter

Posts : 313
Join date : 2012-10-25
Age : 48
Location : NW Knox County

View user profile http://www.etnwx.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Neals on 2014-10-29, 2:50 pm

I will be building a fire when I get home this evening. I love it. I think it's going to be a great fantasy snow season.

Neals
Member

Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Toot on 2014-10-29, 5:43 pm

The unusual and very strong (for this time of year) shortwave/upper level low is set to drop extremely far south into the Carolinas this weekend. It will bring some of the coldest air seen in this region as far as past Halloweens go. Along with the cold air there will be some wintry precip that will fall.

I believe that this will be MOSTLY (There could be some flakes in the lower elevations if you get under the right dynamics but no accumulations) at elevations above 2000 feet! Light accumulations will be possible between 2 and 3000ft and when you get up above 3000ft...significant accumulations are likely!

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Toot on 2014-10-29, 9:41 pm

MRX forecast..15 to 20 on Leconte and Roan Mtn!!

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by windstorm on 2014-10-30, 5:03 pm

Am ready for the colder air. It been way too warm. I rather get the warm weather out of the way now, than too have it in January. Thanks toot for the map. I started too post it but back off of doing it. I guess i better go out and cover my outside water pipes just in case.
avatar
windstorm
Member

Posts : 891
Join date : 2012-03-26
Location : Harrison, tn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Toot on 2014-10-31, 9:34 am

Its going to be interesting to see how this plays out...one shift at MRX seems to think everyone is gonna get dumped on while the other shift says just the mtns. Bowling ball ULLS are known for dumping huge amounts

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by snowman72 on 2014-10-31, 9:43 am

I agree with you Toot this looks to be very interesting. popcorn

snowman72
Founding Member

Posts : 98
Join date : 2011-12-09
Age : 45
Location : foothills of the Smokies (Walland)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Neals on 2014-10-31, 11:44 am

Is the models still showing impressive levels like they was last night?

Neals
Member

Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Toot on 2014-10-31, 3:29 pm

Yeah..the models are pretty blunt with accumulations..even in the valley. I dont know what to think?? Ive never seen a system like this in October..its new ground to me

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Neals on 2014-10-31, 4:20 pm

I bet areas that don't get much sunlight will do good even in the lower elevations. What type of storm would this be classified? If this is a common pattern this winter my area will get some good snow accumulations this year.

Neals
Member

Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Neals on 2014-10-31, 5:02 pm

My area looks like it will get the heaviest snow fall around 6:00 am. I couldn't have asked for a better time. I might get some accumulations.

Neals
Member

Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Grandpa Nasty on 2014-10-31, 9:53 pm

Whatever happens I hope 441 is open. We are heading over from Chatty in the morning. Original plans were to get a lot of Xmas shopping done in Pigeon Forge and eat a good dinner at Calhouns. New plans are to hit the snow on 441 and take some cool pics and videos before heading back down to Pigeon Forge. Either way there will be beer flowing and hopefully some flakes flying. If we get some good snow I will post some pics/videos if anyone cares to see them.


Last edited by Grandpa Nasty on 2014-10-31, 10:05 pm; edited 2 times in total (Reason for editing : confused 331 and 441. Had a blend of the 2)

_________________
Sincerely from the filthy one,


Grandpa Nasty (formerly Uncle Nasty)
avatar
Grandpa Nasty
Founding Member

Posts : 189
Join date : 2012-01-09
Location : Chattanooga, TN

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Toot on 2014-10-31, 10:52 pm

Snowing big flakes in Del Rio, TN

_________________
My Blog
avatar
Toot
La Vida Loca

Posts : 6644
Join date : 2011-12-05
Location : Cocke County, TN

View user profile http://www.facebook.com/Wxeast

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Neals on 2014-11-01, 6:02 am

Finally started laying here. It's only about 1200 ft elevation around here.

Neals
Member

Posts : 233
Join date : 2012-10-28
Location : Cocke

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Fall wx discussion 2014/2015

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 3 Previous  1, 2, 3  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum