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Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Neals on 2014-02-09, 8:25 pm

baby popcorn waiting

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Neals on 2014-02-09, 8:30 pm

We should start a board for the which hour in the next 48 that MRX will issue a statement.

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by snowman72 on 2014-02-09, 8:36 pm

I hope this comes true it's going to be close.

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Toot on 2014-02-09, 8:59 pm


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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by VFL on 2014-02-09, 9:06 pm

Toot wrote:

Show us the goods and know one get hurt.
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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Pman1618 on 2014-02-09, 9:32 pm

What's with wrf cast at hours 25-29? Most of tennessee gets a good 3-4 inches but no one has been mentioned it

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Jscentraltn on 2014-02-09, 9:34 pm

The nam is looking like it is holding more energy back! Then bringing it further north so the storm may come later?

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Toot on 2014-02-09, 9:37 pm

Jscentraltn wrote:The nam is looking like it is holding more energy back! Then bringing it further north so the storm may come later?
The 0z NAM is phasing much earlier..looking like a big wednesday hit if its correct!!

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Jscentraltn on 2014-02-09, 9:43 pm

I know when I checked it only had ran to 54 hr. Just went to look and man we are all back in the game I hope this is correct. Only if we keep that warm nose from creeping to far north! No sleep for me Smile

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by VFL on 2014-02-09, 9:43 pm

Clown maps please?
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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Toot on 2014-02-09, 9:47 pm

VFL wrote:Clown maps please?
As you wish


Lol

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Neals on 2014-02-09, 9:51 pm

Boom! pals 

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by VFL on 2014-02-09, 9:59 pm

Toot wrote:
VFL wrote:Clown maps please?
As you wish


Lol

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Eduardo on 2014-02-09, 10:11 pm

Anybody else feel like this monster is gonna shift further nw? If this happens this whole area will be shut down for days!!!!!

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by VFL on 2014-02-09, 10:19 pm

Afraid any more NW shift we'll start havering mid level temp problems.
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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Toot on 2014-02-09, 10:44 pm

Eduardo wrote:Anybody else feel like this monster is gonna shift further nw? If this happens this whole area will be shut down for days!!!!!
Its definately possible..when phasing occurs you never really know the exact stormtrack until it happens. Guidance models are just not good enough to correctly prog a phase outside of 24hrs

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by VFL on 2014-02-09, 10:47 pm

On to the GFS Toot. Bring us lots of paint!!!
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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Jscentraltn on 2014-02-09, 10:56 pm

Sorry !!!!! but the gfs says the nam is full of crap! The models are awful right now it will be tomorrow really before we know what's up.

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Eduardo on 2014-02-09, 11:08 pm

Sorry dude the NAM has a higher resolution which is better for short term forecasting than the Goofus model!!! The GFS is better at long term solutions. Giving you an idea of what is coming. The NAM nails it down most times.

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by VFL on 2014-02-09, 11:17 pm

Joe Bastardi says go with the NAM.
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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Toot on 2014-02-09, 11:21 pm

VFL wrote:Joe Bastardi says go with the NAM.
A safe bet right now I think would be the middle road between the GFS and the NAM which essentially is the euro  Basketball

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by VFL on 2014-02-09, 11:46 pm

Hearing the Canadian was another big hit for east tenn.
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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by snowman72 on 2014-02-10, 12:07 am

When is the next GFS model run

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Toot on 2014-02-10, 12:21 am

snowman72 wrote:When is the next  GFS model run
The next run is 6z which is in the wee hours of the morning.

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

Post by Toot on 2014-02-10, 8:00 am

Last nights euro looks very similar to the Nam posted above. Haven't looked at 6z models yet but wsw watches are likely I would think

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Re: Significant winter storm possible (Feb 12th-13th 2014)

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